Ligue 1·Etapa 26·
Ligue 1·Etapa 26·Statistici estimate
Goluri
50%
25%
25%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,631,092,72sigur0,67–2,600,23–1,940,90–4,54mai sigur0,41–2,850,00–2,170,42–5,02
Șuturi pe poartă
62%
26%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,273,849,10sigur3,40–7,132,10–5,585,50–12,71mai sigur2,91–7,621,63–6,054,54–13,66
Total șuturi
74%
20%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție15,3311,5626,90sigur11,41–19,268,00–15,1319,41–34,38mai sigur10,32–20,357,04–16,0917,36–36,43
Șuturi din careu
66%
26%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,807,5817,38sigur6,86–12,744,90–10,2611,76–23,00mai sigur6,03–13,574,16–11,0010,19–24,57
Șuturi blocate
56%
15%
29%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,892,996,88sigur2,01–5,771,34–4,643,35–10,42mai sigur1,46–6,320,84–5,142,31–11,45
Cornere
58%
31%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,744,6110,36sigur3,53–7,962,61–6,616,14–14,57mai sigur2,95–8,532,08–7,155,04–15,68
Posesie %
80%
17%
gazdeoaspețipredicție57,4842,52sigur50,69–64,2735,73–49,30mai sigur49,02–65,9434,06–50,97
Pase
89%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție494348842sigur427–561282–415709–976mai sigur409–579264–432673–1012
Precizie pase %
65%
30%
gazdeoaspețipredicție68,7865,19sigur64,75–72,8160,87–69,52mai sigur63,45–74,1059,56–70,83
Faulturi
40%
53%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,3914,2527,64sigur10,56–16,2311,31–17,2021,86–33,43mai sigur9,80–16,9910,56–17,9420,36–34,93
Ofsaiduri
36%
21%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,842,033,87sigur0,68–3,000,94–3,131,62–6,12mai sigur0,38–3,300,65–3,411,03–6,71
Cartonașe galbene
35%
22%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,731,933,66sigur0,68–2,780,80–3,061,48–5,84mai sigur0,42–3,050,51–3,350,93–6,40
Cartonașe roșii
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,080,090,17sigur0,00–0,240,00–0,280,00–0,52mai sigur0,00–0,390,00–0,410,00–0,80
Parade portar
30%
16%
54%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,653,416,06sigur1,21–4,091,86–4,973,07–9,05mai sigur0,83–4,471,43–5,392,26–9,87
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,63 0,67–2,60 0,41–2,85 | 1,09 0,23–1,94 0,00–2,17 | 2,72 0,90–4,54 0,42–5,02 | 50% 25% 25% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,27 3,40–7,13 2,91–7,62 | 3,84 2,10–5,58 1,63–6,05 | 9,10 5,50–12,71 4,54–13,66 | 62% 26% |
| Total șuturi | 15,33 11,41–19,26 10,32–20,35 | 11,56 8,00–15,13 7,04–16,09 | 26,90 19,41–34,38 17,36–36,43 | 74% 20% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,80 6,86–12,74 6,03–13,57 | 7,58 4,90–10,26 4,16–11,00 | 17,38 11,76–23,00 10,19–24,57 | 66% 26% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,89 2,01–5,77 1,46–6,32 | 2,99 1,34–4,64 0,84–5,14 | 6,88 3,35–10,42 2,31–11,45 | 56% 15% 29% |
| Cornere | 5,74 3,53–7,96 2,95–8,53 | 4,61 2,61–6,61 2,08–7,15 | 10,36 6,14–14,57 5,04–15,68 | 58% 31% |
| Posesie % | 57,48 50,69–64,27 49,02–65,94 | 42,52 35,73–49,30 34,06–50,97 | — | 80% 17% |
| Pase | 494 427–561 409–579 | 348 282–415 264–432 | 842 709–976 673–1012 | 89% |
| Precizie pase % | 68,78 64,75–72,81 63,45–74,10 | 65,19 60,87–69,52 59,56–70,83 | — | 65% 30% |
| Faulturi | 13,39 10,56–16,23 9,80–16,99 | 14,25 11,31–17,20 10,56–17,94 | 27,64 21,86–33,43 20,36–34,93 | 40% 53% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,84 0,68–3,00 0,38–3,30 | 2,03 0,94–3,13 0,65–3,41 | 3,87 1,62–6,12 1,03–6,71 | 36% 21% 43% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,73 0,68–2,78 0,42–3,05 | 1,93 0,80–3,06 0,51–3,35 | 3,66 1,48–5,84 0,93–6,40 | 35% 22% 43% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,08 0,00–0,24 0,00–0,39 | 0,09 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,41 | 0,17 0,00–0,52 0,00–0,80 | 85% |
| Parade portar | 2,65 1,21–4,09 0,83–4,47 | 3,41 1,86–4,97 1,43–5,39 | 6,06 3,07–9,05 2,26–9,87 | 30% 16% 54% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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