Ligue 1·Etapa 26·
Ligue 1·Etapa 26·Statistici estimate
Goluri
19%
20%
61%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,172,223,39sigur0,20–2,141,36–3,071,56–5,21mai sigur0,00–2,391,13–3,301,08–5,69
Șuturi pe poartă
20%
70%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,086,2810,35sigur2,21–5,944,53–8,026,75–13,96mai sigur1,73–6,434,07–8,485,79–14,91
Total șuturi
16%
79%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,0115,6126,62sigur7,09–14,9412,04–19,1719,13–34,10mai sigur6,00–16,0311,08–20,1317,08–36,16
Șuturi din careu
20%
73%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție7,4110,5217,93sigur4,47–10,367,84–13,2012,31–23,56mai sigur3,64–11,197,10–13,9410,74–25,12
Șuturi blocate
22%
65%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,994,557,54sigur1,11–4,872,89–6,204,00–11,07mai sigur0,57–5,422,40–6,692,97–12,11
Cornere
27%
61%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,015,359,36sigur1,80–6,233,35–7,355,15–13,57mai sigur1,23–6,802,81–7,884,04–14,68
Posesie %
94%
gazdeoaspețipredicție36,7264,57sigur29,93–43,5157,78–71,35mai sigur28,26–45,1856,11–73,02
Pase
99%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4136901104sigur346–480624–757970–1237mai sigur328–498606–774934–1273
Precizie pase %
98%
gazdeoaspețipredicție68,5984,48sigur64,57–72,6280,16–88,81mai sigur63,27–73,9278,85–90,12
Faulturi
59%
33%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,889,3820,26sigur8,04–13,726,44–12,3314,48–26,05mai sigur7,29–14,485,69–13,0812,98–27,55
Ofsaiduri
58%
19%
23%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,351,443,79sigur1,19–3,510,35–2,531,54–6,05mai sigur0,89–3,810,06–2,820,95–6,63
Cartonașe galbene
46%
24%
30%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,691,302,99sigur0,64–2,740,17–2,430,81–5,17mai sigur0,37–3,000,00–2,720,25–5,73
Cartonașe roșii
88%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,080,060,14sigur0,00–0,240,00–0,240,00–0,48mai sigur0,00–0,390,00–0,380,00–0,77
Parade portar
55%
16%
30%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,542,726,25sigur2,10–4,971,16–4,273,26–9,24mai sigur1,71–5,360,74–4,702,45–10,06
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,17 0,20–2,14 0,00–2,39 | 2,22 1,36–3,07 1,13–3,30 | 3,39 1,56–5,21 1,08–5,69 | 19% 20% 61% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,08 2,21–5,94 1,73–6,43 | 6,28 4,53–8,02 4,07–8,48 | 10,35 6,75–13,96 5,79–14,91 | 20% 70% |
| Total șuturi | 11,01 7,09–14,94 6,00–16,03 | 15,61 12,04–19,17 11,08–20,13 | 26,62 19,13–34,10 17,08–36,16 | 16% 79% |
| Șuturi din careu | 7,41 4,47–10,36 3,64–11,19 | 10,52 7,84–13,20 7,10–13,94 | 17,93 12,31–23,56 10,74–25,12 | 20% 73% |
| Șuturi blocate | 2,99 1,11–4,87 0,57–5,42 | 4,55 2,89–6,20 2,40–6,69 | 7,54 4,00–11,07 2,97–12,11 | 22% 65% |
| Cornere | 4,01 1,80–6,23 1,23–6,80 | 5,35 3,35–7,35 2,81–7,88 | 9,36 5,15–13,57 4,04–14,68 | 27% 61% |
| Posesie % | 36,72 29,93–43,51 28,26–45,18 | 64,57 57,78–71,35 56,11–73,02 | — | 94% |
| Pase | 413 346–480 328–498 | 690 624–757 606–774 | 1104 970–1237 934–1273 | 99% |
| Precizie pase % | 68,59 64,57–72,62 63,27–73,92 | 84,48 80,16–88,81 78,85–90,12 | — | 98% |
| Faulturi | 10,88 8,04–13,72 7,29–14,48 | 9,38 6,44–12,33 5,69–13,08 | 20,26 14,48–26,05 12,98–27,55 | 59% 33% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,35 1,19–3,51 0,89–3,81 | 1,44 0,35–2,53 0,06–2,82 | 3,79 1,54–6,05 0,95–6,63 | 58% 19% 23% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,69 0,64–2,74 0,37–3,00 | 1,30 0,17–2,43 0,00–2,72 | 2,99 0,81–5,17 0,25–5,73 | 46% 24% 30% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,08 0,00–0,24 0,00–0,39 | 0,06 0,00–0,24 0,00–0,38 | 0,14 0,00–0,48 0,00–0,77 | 88% |
| Parade portar | 3,54 2,10–4,97 1,71–5,36 | 2,72 1,16–4,27 0,74–4,70 | 6,25 3,26–9,24 2,45–10,06 | 55% 16% 30% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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