Ligue 1·Etapa 27·
Ligue 1·Etapa 27·Statistici estimate
Goluri
61%
21%
18%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,031,023,05sigur1,07–3,000,17–1,871,23–4,88mai sigur0,81–3,250,00–2,100,75–5,36
Șuturi pe poartă
72%
18%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,753,509,25sigur3,89–7,611,76–5,255,65–12,86mai sigur3,40–8,101,30–5,714,69–13,81
Total șuturi
88%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție16,119,7425,85sigur12,18–20,036,18–13,3118,36–33,34mai sigur11,09–21,125,22–14,2716,31–35,39
Șuturi din careu
88%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,856,4518,29sigur8,90–14,793,77–9,1312,67–23,92mai sigur8,07–15,623,03–9,8711,10–25,48
Șuturi blocate
69%
19%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,482,647,12sigur2,60–6,370,98–4,293,59–10,66mai sigur2,06–6,910,49–4,782,55–11,69
Cornere
71%
19%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,404,0910,49sigur4,19–8,612,09–6,096,27–14,70mai sigur3,61–9,191,55–6,625,17–15,81
Posesie %
68%
28%
gazdeoaspețipredicție54,7045,84sigur47,91–61,4939,06–52,63mai sigur46,24–63,1637,39–54,30
Pase
75%
25%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție506425931sigur439–574359–491798–1065mai sigur421–592341–509762–1101
Precizie pase %
52%
43%
gazdeoaspețipredicție74,3973,43sigur70,36–78,4269,11–77,76mai sigur69,07–79,7167,80–79,07
Faulturi
35%
57%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,0612,4323,49sigur8,23–13,909,48–15,3717,71–29,27mai sigur7,47–14,668,73–16,1216,20–30,78
Ofsaiduri
50%
21%
29%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,061,543,60sigur0,90–3,220,45–2,641,35–5,86mai sigur0,60–3,520,16–2,920,76–6,45
Cartonașe galbene
27%
20%
52%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,552,193,74sigur0,50–2,601,06–3,321,56–5,92mai sigur0,23–2,860,77–3,611,00–6,47
Cartonașe roșii
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,050,100,16sigur0,00–0,210,00–0,290,00–0,51mai sigur0,00–0,360,00–0,420,00–0,79
Parade portar
24%
15%
62%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,433,686,11sigur1,00–3,872,12–5,233,12–9,10mai sigur0,61–4,261,70–5,662,31–9,92
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 2,03 1,07–3,00 0,81–3,25 | 1,02 0,17–1,87 0,00–2,10 | 3,05 1,23–4,88 0,75–5,36 | 61% 21% 18% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,75 3,89–7,61 3,40–8,10 | 3,50 1,76–5,25 1,30–5,71 | 9,25 5,65–12,86 4,69–13,81 | 72% 18% |
| Total șuturi | 16,11 12,18–20,03 11,09–21,12 | 9,74 6,18–13,31 5,22–14,27 | 25,85 18,36–33,34 16,31–35,39 | 88% |
| Șuturi din careu | 11,85 8,90–14,79 8,07–15,62 | 6,45 3,77–9,13 3,03–9,87 | 18,29 12,67–23,92 11,10–25,48 | 88% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,48 2,60–6,37 2,06–6,91 | 2,64 0,98–4,29 0,49–4,78 | 7,12 3,59–10,66 2,55–11,69 | 69% 19% |
| Cornere | 6,40 4,19–8,61 3,61–9,19 | 4,09 2,09–6,09 1,55–6,62 | 10,49 6,27–14,70 5,17–15,81 | 71% 19% |
| Posesie % | 54,70 47,91–61,49 46,24–63,16 | 45,84 39,06–52,63 37,39–54,30 | — | 68% 28% |
| Pase | 506 439–574 421–592 | 425 359–491 341–509 | 931 798–1065 762–1101 | 75% 25% |
| Precizie pase % | 74,39 70,36–78,42 69,07–79,71 | 73,43 69,11–77,76 67,80–79,07 | — | 52% 43% |
| Faulturi | 11,06 8,23–13,90 7,47–14,66 | 12,43 9,48–15,37 8,73–16,12 | 23,49 17,71–29,27 16,20–30,78 | 35% 57% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,06 0,90–3,22 0,60–3,52 | 1,54 0,45–2,64 0,16–2,92 | 3,60 1,35–5,86 0,76–6,45 | 50% 21% 29% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,55 0,50–2,60 0,23–2,86 | 2,19 1,06–3,32 0,77–3,61 | 3,74 1,56–5,92 1,00–6,47 | 27% 20% 52% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,05 0,00–0,21 0,00–0,36 | 0,10 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,42 | 0,16 0,00–0,51 0,00–0,79 | 86% |
| Parade portar | 2,43 1,00–3,87 0,61–4,26 | 3,68 2,12–5,23 1,70–5,66 | 6,11 3,12–9,10 2,31–9,92 | 24% 15% 62% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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