Ligue 1·Etapa 28·
Ligue 1·Etapa 28·Statistici estimate
Goluri
51%
24%
25%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,741,152,89sigur0,77–2,700,30–2,011,06–4,71mai sigur0,52–2,950,07–2,230,58–5,19
Șuturi pe poartă
63%
25%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,453,919,35sigur3,59–7,312,16–5,655,75–12,96mai sigur3,10–7,801,70–6,114,79–13,91
Total șuturi
80%
15%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție16,1111,2527,36sigur12,19–20,047,69–14,8119,87–34,85mai sigur11,09–21,136,73–15,7717,82–36,90
Șuturi din careu
74%
18%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,056,8816,93sigur7,11–13,004,19–9,5611,31–22,55mai sigur6,28–13,833,46–10,299,74–24,12
Șuturi blocate
58%
14%
28%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,043,027,06sigur2,16–5,931,37–4,673,53–10,60mai sigur1,62–6,470,87–5,162,49–11,63
Cornere
64%
25%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,904,2510,15sigur3,69–8,122,25–6,255,94–14,37mai sigur3,11–8,691,72–6,784,83–15,47
Posesie %
35%
60%
gazdeoaspețipredicție47,4052,72sigur40,61–54,1945,94–59,51mai sigur38,94–55,8644,27–61,18
Pase
33%
67%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție420472892sigur353–487405–538758–1026mai sigur335–505388–556723–1061
Precizie pase %
28%
67%
gazdeoaspețipredicție68,5672,54sigur64,53–72,5968,21–76,86mai sigur63,24–73,8866,91–78,17
Faulturi
39%
53%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,5113,3725,89sigur9,68–15,3510,43–16,3220,11–31,67mai sigur8,92–16,119,68–17,0718,60–33,17
Ofsaiduri
46%
21%
33%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,091,773,85sigur0,93–3,250,67–2,861,60–6,11mai sigur0,63–3,550,38–3,151,01–6,70
Cartonașe galbene
35%
22%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,691,913,60sigur0,64–2,740,78–3,041,43–5,78mai sigur0,38–3,010,49–3,330,87–6,34
Cartonașe roșii
84%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,080,100,19sigur0,00–0,240,00–0,290,00–0,53mai sigur0,00–0,390,00–0,420,00–0,82
Parade portar
29%
16%
55%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,633,476,10sigur1,19–4,071,92–5,033,11–9,10mai sigur0,81–4,451,49–5,452,30–9,91
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,74 0,77–2,70 0,52–2,95 | 1,15 0,30–2,01 0,07–2,23 | 2,89 1,06–4,71 0,58–5,19 | 51% 24% 25% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,45 3,59–7,31 3,10–7,80 | 3,91 2,16–5,65 1,70–6,11 | 9,35 5,75–12,96 4,79–13,91 | 63% 25% |
| Total șuturi | 16,11 12,19–20,04 11,09–21,13 | 11,25 7,69–14,81 6,73–15,77 | 27,36 19,87–34,85 17,82–36,90 | 80% 15% |
| Șuturi din careu | 10,05 7,11–13,00 6,28–13,83 | 6,88 4,19–9,56 3,46–10,29 | 16,93 11,31–22,55 9,74–24,12 | 74% 18% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,04 2,16–5,93 1,62–6,47 | 3,02 1,37–4,67 0,87–5,16 | 7,06 3,53–10,60 2,49–11,63 | 58% 14% 28% |
| Cornere | 5,90 3,69–8,12 3,11–8,69 | 4,25 2,25–6,25 1,72–6,78 | 10,15 5,94–14,37 4,83–15,47 | 64% 25% |
| Posesie % | 47,40 40,61–54,19 38,94–55,86 | 52,72 45,94–59,51 44,27–61,18 | — | 35% 60% |
| Pase | 420 353–487 335–505 | 472 405–538 388–556 | 892 758–1026 723–1061 | 33% 67% |
| Precizie pase % | 68,56 64,53–72,59 63,24–73,88 | 72,54 68,21–76,86 66,91–78,17 | — | 28% 67% |
| Faulturi | 12,51 9,68–15,35 8,92–16,11 | 13,37 10,43–16,32 9,68–17,07 | 25,89 20,11–31,67 18,60–33,17 | 39% 53% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,09 0,93–3,25 0,63–3,55 | 1,77 0,67–2,86 0,38–3,15 | 3,85 1,60–6,11 1,01–6,70 | 46% 21% 33% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,69 0,64–2,74 0,38–3,01 | 1,91 0,78–3,04 0,49–3,33 | 3,60 1,43–5,78 0,87–6,34 | 35% 22% 43% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,08 0,00–0,24 0,00–0,39 | 0,10 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,42 | 0,19 0,00–0,53 0,00–0,82 | 84% |
| Parade portar | 2,63 1,19–4,07 0,81–4,45 | 3,47 1,92–5,03 1,49–5,45 | 6,10 3,11–9,10 2,30–9,91 | 29% 16% 55% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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