Ligue 1·Etapa 28·
Ligue 1·Etapa 28·Statistici estimate
Goluri
46%
24%
29%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,641,252,89sigur0,67–2,600,40–2,101,06–4,71mai sigur0,42–2,860,17–2,330,58–5,19
Șuturi pe poartă
59%
29%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,484,309,78sigur3,62–7,352,55–6,046,17–13,38mai sigur3,13–7,832,09–6,505,22–14,34
Total șuturi
58%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,0612,5226,58sigur10,13–17,988,96–16,0819,09–34,06mai sigur9,04–19,078,00–17,0417,04–36,11
Șuturi din careu
59%
32%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,207,7816,99sigur6,26–12,145,10–10,4711,36–22,61mai sigur5,43–12,974,37–11,209,80–24,18
Șuturi blocate
46%
15%
39%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,783,567,34sigur1,90–5,671,90–5,213,81–10,88mai sigur1,36–6,211,41–5,702,77–11,91
Cornere
55%
33%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,414,519,92sigur3,19–7,622,51–6,515,71–14,13mai sigur2,62–8,201,98–7,054,60–15,24
Posesie %
60%
36%
gazdeoaspețipredicție53,3248,15sigur46,53–60,1241,37–54,94mai sigur44,86–61,7839,70–56,61
Pase
69%
30%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5314701001sigur464–598404–537868–1135mai sigur446–616386–554832–1171
Precizie pase %
39%
56%
gazdeoaspețipredicție73,7275,44sigur69,69–77,7571,11–79,76mai sigur68,40–79,0569,80–81,07
Faulturi
55%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,6210,4922,11sigur8,78–14,457,55–13,4416,33–27,89mai sigur8,02–15,216,80–14,1914,82–29,40
Ofsaiduri
51%
22%
27%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,011,423,43sigur0,85–3,170,33–2,511,18–5,68mai sigur0,55–3,470,04–2,800,59–6,27
Cartonașe galbene
38%
23%
39%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,591,613,21sigur0,54–2,640,49–2,741,03–5,38mai sigur0,28–2,910,19–3,040,47–5,94
Cartonașe roșii
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,070,080,16sigur0,00–0,230,00–0,270,00–0,50mai sigur0,00–0,380,00–0,400,00–0,79
Parade portar
34%
16%
51%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,953,506,44sigur1,51–4,381,94–5,053,45–9,44mai sigur1,12–4,771,52–5,482,64–10,25
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,64 0,67–2,60 0,42–2,86 | 1,25 0,40–2,10 0,17–2,33 | 2,89 1,06–4,71 0,58–5,19 | 46% 24% 29% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,48 3,62–7,35 3,13–7,83 | 4,30 2,55–6,04 2,09–6,50 | 9,78 6,17–13,38 5,22–14,34 | 59% 29% |
| Total șuturi | 14,06 10,13–17,98 9,04–19,07 | 12,52 8,96–16,08 8,00–17,04 | 26,58 19,09–34,06 17,04–36,11 | 58% 35% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,20 6,26–12,14 5,43–12,97 | 7,78 5,10–10,47 4,37–11,20 | 16,99 11,36–22,61 9,80–24,18 | 59% 32% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,78 1,90–5,67 1,36–6,21 | 3,56 1,90–5,21 1,41–5,70 | 7,34 3,81–10,88 2,77–11,91 | 46% 15% 39% |
| Cornere | 5,41 3,19–7,62 2,62–8,20 | 4,51 2,51–6,51 1,98–7,05 | 9,92 5,71–14,13 4,60–15,24 | 55% 33% |
| Posesie % | 53,32 46,53–60,12 44,86–61,78 | 48,15 41,37–54,94 39,70–56,61 | — | 60% 36% |
| Pase | 531 464–598 446–616 | 470 404–537 386–554 | 1001 868–1135 832–1171 | 69% 30% |
| Precizie pase % | 73,72 69,69–77,75 68,40–79,05 | 75,44 71,11–79,76 69,80–81,07 | — | 39% 56% |
| Faulturi | 11,62 8,78–14,45 8,02–15,21 | 10,49 7,55–13,44 6,80–14,19 | 22,11 16,33–27,89 14,82–29,40 | 55% 36% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,01 0,85–3,17 0,55–3,47 | 1,42 0,33–2,51 0,04–2,80 | 3,43 1,18–5,68 0,59–6,27 | 51% 22% 27% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,59 0,54–2,64 0,28–2,91 | 1,61 0,49–2,74 0,19–3,04 | 3,21 1,03–5,38 0,47–5,94 | 38% 23% 39% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,07 0,00–0,23 0,00–0,38 | 0,08 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,40 | 0,16 0,00–0,50 0,00–0,79 | 86% |
| Parade portar | 2,95 1,51–4,38 1,12–4,77 | 3,50 1,94–5,05 1,52–5,48 | 6,44 3,45–9,44 2,64–10,25 | 34% 16% 51% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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