Ligue 1·Etapa 29·
Ligue 1·Etapa 29·Statistici estimate
Goluri
60%
22%
17%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,870,892,76sigur0,90–2,840,04–1,750,94–4,58mai sigur0,65–3,090,00–1,970,46–5,06
Șuturi pe poartă
72%
17%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,503,278,77sigur3,64–7,361,53–5,015,16–12,37mai sigur3,15–7,851,06–5,484,21–13,33
Total șuturi
89%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție16,139,5125,64sigur12,21–20,065,95–13,0718,15–33,13mai sigur11,12–21,154,99–14,0316,10–35,18
Șuturi din careu
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,066,2217,29sigur8,12–14,013,54–8,9011,66–22,91mai sigur7,29–14,842,80–9,6410,10–24,48
Șuturi blocate
73%
15%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,272,236,50sigur2,39–6,150,57–3,882,96–10,03mai sigur1,84–6,700,08–4,371,93–11,07
Cornere
78%
14%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,623,6710,29sigur4,40–8,831,67–5,676,08–14,50mai sigur3,83–9,401,14–6,214,97–15,61
Posesie %
90%
gazdeoaspețipredicție61,7138,69sigur54,92–68,5031,91–45,48mai sigur53,25–70,1730,24–47,15
Pase
97%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție574353927sigur507–641286–419793–1060mai sigur488–659269–437757–1096
Precizie pase %
80%
16%
gazdeoaspețipredicție75,5168,35sigur71,48–79,5464,02–72,67mai sigur70,18–80,8362,72–73,98
Faulturi
26%
67%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,5614,3525,92sigur8,72–14,4011,41–17,3020,13–31,70mai sigur7,97–15,1610,66–18,0518,63–33,20
Ofsaiduri
44%
21%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,051,813,86sigur0,89–3,210,72–2,901,61–6,12mai sigur0,59–3,510,43–3,191,02–6,71
Cartonașe galbene
25%
20%
55%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,502,293,80sigur0,45–2,551,16–3,421,62–5,97mai sigur0,19–2,820,87–3,711,06–6,53
Cartonașe roșii
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,060,100,16sigur0,00–0,220,00–0,290,00–0,51mai sigur0,00–0,370,00–0,420,00–0,79
Parade portar
24%
15%
62%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,333,555,89sigur0,90–3,772,00–5,112,89–8,88mai sigur0,51–4,161,57–5,542,08–9,69
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,87 0,90–2,84 0,65–3,09 | 0,89 0,04–1,75 0,00–1,97 | 2,76 0,94–4,58 0,46–5,06 | 60% 22% 17% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,50 3,64–7,36 3,15–7,85 | 3,27 1,53–5,01 1,06–5,48 | 8,77 5,16–12,37 4,21–13,33 | 72% 17% |
| Total șuturi | 16,13 12,21–20,06 11,12–21,15 | 9,51 5,95–13,07 4,99–14,03 | 25,64 18,15–33,13 16,10–35,18 | 89% |
| Șuturi din careu | 11,06 8,12–14,01 7,29–14,84 | 6,22 3,54–8,90 2,80–9,64 | 17,29 11,66–22,91 10,10–24,48 | 85% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,27 2,39–6,15 1,84–6,70 | 2,23 0,57–3,88 0,08–4,37 | 6,50 2,96–10,03 1,93–11,07 | 73% 15% |
| Cornere | 6,62 4,40–8,83 3,83–9,40 | 3,67 1,67–5,67 1,14–6,21 | 10,29 6,08–14,50 4,97–15,61 | 78% 14% |
| Posesie % | 61,71 54,92–68,50 53,25–70,17 | 38,69 31,91–45,48 30,24–47,15 | — | 90% |
| Pase | 574 507–641 488–659 | 353 286–419 269–437 | 927 793–1060 757–1096 | 97% |
| Precizie pase % | 75,51 71,48–79,54 70,18–80,83 | 68,35 64,02–72,67 62,72–73,98 | — | 80% 16% |
| Faulturi | 11,56 8,72–14,40 7,97–15,16 | 14,35 11,41–17,30 10,66–18,05 | 25,92 20,13–31,70 18,63–33,20 | 26% 67% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,05 0,89–3,21 0,59–3,51 | 1,81 0,72–2,90 0,43–3,19 | 3,86 1,61–6,12 1,02–6,71 | 44% 21% 35% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,50 0,45–2,55 0,19–2,82 | 2,29 1,16–3,42 0,87–3,71 | 3,80 1,62–5,97 1,06–6,53 | 25% 20% 55% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,06 0,00–0,22 0,00–0,37 | 0,10 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,42 | 0,16 0,00–0,51 0,00–0,79 | 85% |
| Parade portar | 2,33 0,90–3,77 0,51–4,16 | 3,55 2,00–5,11 1,57–5,54 | 5,89 2,89–8,88 2,08–9,69 | 24% 15% 62% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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