Ligue 1·Etapa 29·
Ligue 1·Etapa 29·Statistici estimate
Goluri
28%
22%
50%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,361,883,25sigur0,39–2,331,03–2,741,42–5,07mai sigur0,14–2,580,80–2,970,94–5,55
Șuturi pe poartă
33%
54%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,545,389,92sigur2,67–6,403,64–7,126,31–13,52mai sigur2,18–6,893,17–7,595,36–14,48
Total șuturi
37%
56%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,3014,5427,84sigur9,38–17,2310,98–18,1020,35–35,33mai sigur8,29–18,3210,02–19,0618,30–37,38
Șuturi din careu
34%
57%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,529,8318,35sigur5,58–11,467,15–12,5112,72–23,97mai sigur4,75–12,296,41–13,2511,16–25,54
Șuturi blocate
30%
14%
56%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,454,417,87sigur1,57–5,342,76–6,074,33–11,40mai sigur1,03–5,882,27–6,563,30–12,44
Cornere
36%
51%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,855,4710,32sigur2,64–7,073,47–7,476,11–14,53mai sigur2,06–7,642,93–8,005,00–15,64
Posesie %
50%
45%
gazdeoaspețipredicție50,9749,90sigur44,18–57,7643,12–56,69mai sigur42,51–59,4341,45–58,36
Pase
56%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție466448914sigur399–533382–515781–1048mai sigur381–551364–532745–1084
Precizie pase %
20%
76%
gazdeoaspețipredicție68,3074,34sigur64,27–72,3370,02–78,66mai sigur62,98–73,6268,71–79,97
Faulturi
44%
48%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,1712,4624,64sigur9,34–15,019,52–15,4118,86–30,42mai sigur8,58–15,778,77–16,1617,35–31,93
Ofsaiduri
31%
22%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,551,933,49sigur0,39–2,710,84–3,031,23–5,74mai sigur0,09–3,010,55–3,320,64–6,33
Cartonașe galbene
32%
20%
48%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,902,324,22sigur0,85–2,951,19–3,452,04–6,40mai sigur0,58–3,210,90–3,741,48–6,95
Cartonașe roșii
82%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,110,090,20sigur0,00–0,270,00–0,280,00–0,55mai sigur0,00–0,420,00–0,410,00–0,83
Parade portar
48%
16%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,513,096,60sigur2,07–4,941,54–4,653,61–9,59mai sigur1,68–5,331,11–5,072,79–10,40
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,36 0,39–2,33 0,14–2,58 | 1,88 1,03–2,74 0,80–2,97 | 3,25 1,42–5,07 0,94–5,55 | 28% 22% 50% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,54 2,67–6,40 2,18–6,89 | 5,38 3,64–7,12 3,17–7,59 | 9,92 6,31–13,52 5,36–14,48 | 33% 54% |
| Total șuturi | 13,30 9,38–17,23 8,29–18,32 | 14,54 10,98–18,10 10,02–19,06 | 27,84 20,35–35,33 18,30–37,38 | 37% 56% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,52 5,58–11,46 4,75–12,29 | 9,83 7,15–12,51 6,41–13,25 | 18,35 12,72–23,97 11,16–25,54 | 34% 57% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,45 1,57–5,34 1,03–5,88 | 4,41 2,76–6,07 2,27–6,56 | 7,87 4,33–11,40 3,30–12,44 | 30% 14% 56% |
| Cornere | 4,85 2,64–7,07 2,06–7,64 | 5,47 3,47–7,47 2,93–8,00 | 10,32 6,11–14,53 5,00–15,64 | 36% 51% |
| Posesie % | 50,97 44,18–57,76 42,51–59,43 | 49,90 43,12–56,69 41,45–58,36 | — | 50% 45% |
| Pase | 466 399–533 381–551 | 448 382–515 364–532 | 914 781–1048 745–1084 | 56% 44% |
| Precizie pase % | 68,30 64,27–72,33 62,98–73,62 | 74,34 70,02–78,66 68,71–79,97 | — | 20% 76% |
| Faulturi | 12,17 9,34–15,01 8,58–15,77 | 12,46 9,52–15,41 8,77–16,16 | 24,64 18,86–30,42 17,35–31,93 | 44% 48% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,55 0,39–2,71 0,09–3,01 | 1,93 0,84–3,03 0,55–3,32 | 3,49 1,23–5,74 0,64–6,33 | 31% 22% 47% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,90 0,85–2,95 0,58–3,21 | 2,32 1,19–3,45 0,90–3,74 | 4,22 2,04–6,40 1,48–6,95 | 32% 20% 48% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,11 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,42 | 0,09 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,41 | 0,20 0,00–0,55 0,00–0,83 | 82% |
| Parade portar | 3,51 2,07–4,94 1,68–5,33 | 3,09 1,54–4,65 1,11–5,07 | 6,60 3,61–9,59 2,79–10,40 | 48% 16% 36% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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