Ligue 1·Etapa 30·
Ligue 1·Etapa 30·Statistici estimate
Goluri
35%
25%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,421,522,93sigur0,45–2,380,66–2,371,11–4,75mai sigur0,20–2,640,43–2,600,63–5,23
Șuturi pe poartă
41%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,885,059,92sigur3,01–6,743,31–6,796,32–13,53mai sigur2,52–7,232,84–7,265,36–14,49
Total șuturi
51%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,9713,3327,30sigur10,05–17,899,77–16,8919,81–34,79mai sigur8,95–18,998,81–17,8517,76–36,84
Șuturi din careu
49%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,848,4617,30sigur5,90–11,785,78–11,1411,67–22,92mai sigur5,07–12,615,04–11,8810,11–24,49
Șuturi blocate
43%
15%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,553,517,06sigur1,66–5,431,86–5,163,52–10,59mai sigur1,12–5,971,37–5,662,49–11,63
Cornere
53%
34%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,464,6910,15sigur3,25–7,682,69–6,695,94–14,36mai sigur2,68–8,252,15–7,224,83–15,47
Posesie %
48%
47%
gazdeoaspețipredicție49,8649,65sigur43,07–56,6542,87–56,43mai sigur41,40–58,3241,19–58,11
Pase
54%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție497485982sigur430–565418–551849–1116mai sigur412–583401–569813–1152
Precizie pase %
36%
59%
gazdeoaspețipredicție72,6574,95sigur68,62–76,6870,62–79,27mai sigur67,33–77,9869,31–80,58
Faulturi
63%
30%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,3311,2224,56sigur10,50–16,178,28–14,1718,78–30,34mai sigur9,74–16,937,53–14,9217,27–31,85
Ofsaiduri
38%
22%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,831,893,72sigur0,67–2,990,80–2,991,47–5,98mai sigur0,37–3,290,51–3,270,88–6,57
Cartonașe galbene
33%
22%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,621,943,56sigur0,57–2,670,81–3,071,38–5,74mai sigur0,30–2,930,52–3,360,82–6,29
Cartonașe roșii
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,070,080,15sigur0,00–0,230,00–0,270,00–0,50mai sigur0,00–0,380,00–0,400,00–0,79
Parade portar
40%
16%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,133,236,36sigur1,69–4,561,68–4,793,36–9,35mai sigur1,30–4,951,25–5,212,55–10,16
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,42 0,45–2,38 0,20–2,64 | 1,52 0,66–2,37 0,43–2,60 | 2,93 1,11–4,75 0,63–5,23 | 35% 25% 40% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,88 3,01–6,74 2,52–7,23 | 5,05 3,31–6,79 2,84–7,26 | 9,92 6,32–13,53 5,36–14,49 | 41% 46% |
| Total șuturi | 13,97 10,05–17,89 8,95–18,99 | 13,33 9,77–16,89 8,81–17,85 | 27,30 19,81–34,79 17,76–36,84 | 51% 41% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,84 5,90–11,78 5,07–12,61 | 8,46 5,78–11,14 5,04–11,88 | 17,30 11,67–22,92 10,11–24,49 | 49% 42% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,55 1,66–5,43 1,12–5,97 | 3,51 1,86–5,16 1,37–5,66 | 7,06 3,52–10,59 2,49–11,63 | 43% 15% 42% |
| Cornere | 5,46 3,25–7,68 2,68–8,25 | 4,69 2,69–6,69 2,15–7,22 | 10,15 5,94–14,36 4,83–15,47 | 53% 34% |
| Posesie % | 49,86 43,07–56,65 41,40–58,32 | 49,65 42,87–56,43 41,19–58,11 | — | 48% 47% |
| Pase | 497 430–565 412–583 | 485 418–551 401–569 | 982 849–1116 813–1152 | 54% 46% |
| Precizie pase % | 72,65 68,62–76,68 67,33–77,98 | 74,95 70,62–79,27 69,31–80,58 | — | 36% 59% |
| Faulturi | 13,33 10,50–16,17 9,74–16,93 | 11,22 8,28–14,17 7,53–14,92 | 24,56 18,78–30,34 17,27–31,85 | 63% 30% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,83 0,67–2,99 0,37–3,29 | 1,89 0,80–2,99 0,51–3,27 | 3,72 1,47–5,98 0,88–6,57 | 38% 22% 40% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,62 0,57–2,67 0,30–2,93 | 1,94 0,81–3,07 0,52–3,36 | 3,56 1,38–5,74 0,82–6,29 | 33% 22% 46% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,07 0,00–0,23 0,00–0,38 | 0,08 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,40 | 0,15 0,00–0,50 0,00–0,79 | 86% |
| Parade portar | 3,13 1,69–4,56 1,30–4,95 | 3,23 1,68–4,79 1,25–5,21 | 6,36 3,36–9,35 2,55–10,16 | 40% 16% 44% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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