Ligue 1·Etapa 30·
Ligue 1·Etapa 30·Statistici estimate
Goluri
29%
25%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,161,542,70sigur0,19–2,130,69–2,400,88–4,53mai sigur0,00–2,380,46–2,630,40–5,01
Șuturi pe poartă
23%
66%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,705,419,10sigur1,83–5,563,67–7,155,50–12,71mai sigur1,34–6,053,20–7,624,54–13,67
Total șuturi
26%
68%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,2015,1327,33sigur8,28–16,1311,56–18,6919,84–34,82mai sigur7,19–17,2210,60–19,6517,79–36,87
Șuturi din careu
26%
66%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție7,8310,0717,90sigur4,88–10,777,39–12,7512,27–23,52mai sigur4,05–11,606,65–13,4910,71–25,09
Șuturi blocate
40%
16%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,093,236,31sigur1,20–4,971,57–4,882,78–9,85mai sigur0,66–5,511,08–5,371,74–10,88
Cornere
45%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,074,9910,06sigur2,86–7,282,99–6,995,85–14,28mai sigur2,28–7,862,46–7,534,74–15,38
Posesie %
24%
72%
gazdeoaspețipredicție44,4355,36sigur37,64–51,2348,58–62,15mai sigur35,98–52,8946,90–63,82
Pase
21%
78%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție378473851sigur311–446407–540718–985mai sigur293–464389–557682–1021
Precizie pase %
14%
83%
gazdeoaspețipredicție62,9570,76sigur58,92–66,9866,43–75,08mai sigur57,63–68,2765,12–76,39
Faulturi
42%
51%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,1413,7326,87sigur10,30–15,9810,78–16,6721,09–32,65mai sigur9,55–16,7310,04–17,4219,58–34,16
Ofsaiduri
35%
20%
45%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,902,154,05sigur0,74–3,061,06–3,241,80–6,30mai sigur0,44–3,360,77–3,531,21–6,89
Cartonașe galbene
35%
22%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,721,913,63sigur0,67–2,770,78–3,041,45–5,81mai sigur0,41–3,040,49–3,330,89–6,37
Cartonașe roșii
84%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,090,090,19sigur0,00–0,250,00–0,280,00–0,53mai sigur0,00–0,400,00–0,410,00–0,82
Parade portar
54%
16%
30%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,402,636,02sigur1,96–4,831,07–4,183,03–9,02mai sigur1,57–5,220,65–4,612,22–9,83
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,16 0,19–2,13 0,00–2,38 | 1,54 0,69–2,40 0,46–2,63 | 2,70 0,88–4,53 0,40–5,01 | 29% 25% 46% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 3,70 1,83–5,56 1,34–6,05 | 5,41 3,67–7,15 3,20–7,62 | 9,10 5,50–12,71 4,54–13,67 | 23% 66% |
| Total șuturi | 12,20 8,28–16,13 7,19–17,22 | 15,13 11,56–18,69 10,60–19,65 | 27,33 19,84–34,82 17,79–36,87 | 26% 68% |
| Șuturi din careu | 7,83 4,88–10,77 4,05–11,60 | 10,07 7,39–12,75 6,65–13,49 | 17,90 12,27–23,52 10,71–25,09 | 26% 66% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,09 1,20–4,97 0,66–5,51 | 3,23 1,57–4,88 1,08–5,37 | 6,31 2,78–9,85 1,74–10,88 | 40% 16% 44% |
| Cornere | 5,07 2,86–7,28 2,28–7,86 | 4,99 2,99–6,99 2,46–7,53 | 10,06 5,85–14,28 4,74–15,38 | 45% 43% |
| Posesie % | 44,43 37,64–51,23 35,98–52,89 | 55,36 48,58–62,15 46,90–63,82 | — | 24% 72% |
| Pase | 378 311–446 293–464 | 473 407–540 389–557 | 851 718–985 682–1021 | 21% 78% |
| Precizie pase % | 62,95 58,92–66,98 57,63–68,27 | 70,76 66,43–75,08 65,12–76,39 | — | 14% 83% |
| Faulturi | 13,14 10,30–15,98 9,55–16,73 | 13,73 10,78–16,67 10,04–17,42 | 26,87 21,09–32,65 19,58–34,16 | 42% 51% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,90 0,74–3,06 0,44–3,36 | 2,15 1,06–3,24 0,77–3,53 | 4,05 1,80–6,30 1,21–6,89 | 35% 20% 45% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,72 0,67–2,77 0,41–3,04 | 1,91 0,78–3,04 0,49–3,33 | 3,63 1,45–5,81 0,89–6,37 | 35% 22% 43% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,09 0,00–0,25 0,00–0,40 | 0,09 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,41 | 0,19 0,00–0,53 0,00–0,82 | 84% |
| Parade portar | 3,40 1,96–4,83 1,57–5,22 | 2,63 1,07–4,18 0,65–4,61 | 6,02 3,03–9,02 2,22–9,83 | 54% 16% 30% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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