Ligue 1·Etapa 32·
Ligue 1·Etapa 32·Statistici estimate
Goluri
47%
25%
29%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,611,212,82sigur0,64–2,580,35–2,061,00–4,64mai sigur0,39–2,830,13–2,290,52–5,12
Șuturi pe poartă
62%
26%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,163,768,91sigur3,30–7,022,01–5,505,31–12,52mai sigur2,81–7,511,55–5,964,35–13,47
Total șuturi
75%
20%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție15,7811,8127,60sigur11,86–19,718,25–15,3820,11–35,08mai sigur10,77–20,807,29–16,3418,06–37,14
Șuturi din careu
65%
27%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,027,9317,95sigur7,08–12,965,25–10,6112,32–23,57mai sigur6,25–13,794,51–11,3510,76–25,14
Șuturi blocate
52%
15%
34%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,973,347,31sigur2,09–5,861,69–4,993,78–10,85mai sigur1,55–6,401,20–5,492,74–11,89
Cornere
56%
32%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,544,5410,08sigur3,33–7,762,54–6,545,87–14,30mai sigur2,75–8,332,01–7,074,76–15,40
Posesie %
55%
41%
gazdeoaspețipredicție51,1848,25sigur44,39–57,9741,46–55,03mai sigur42,72–59,6439,79–56,70
Pase
63%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție445406850sigur377–512339–472717–984mai sigur359–530322–490681–1020
Precizie pase %
38%
57%
gazdeoaspețipredicție68,2770,16sigur64,25–72,3065,83–74,48mai sigur62,95–73,6064,52–75,79
Faulturi
47%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,5713,5027,07sigur10,73–16,4010,56–16,4421,28–32,85mai sigur9,97–17,169,81–17,1919,78–34,35
Ofsaiduri
46%
21%
33%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,121,793,90sigur0,95–3,280,70–2,881,65–6,16mai sigur0,65–3,580,41–3,171,06–6,75
Cartonașe galbene
32%
22%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,581,913,50sigur0,53–2,630,79–3,041,32–5,68mai sigur0,27–2,900,49–3,330,76–6,23
Cartonașe roșii
84%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,080,100,18sigur0,00–0,240,00–0,290,00–0,53mai sigur0,00–0,390,00–0,420,00–0,81
Parade portar
29%
16%
55%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,593,415,99sigur1,15–4,021,85–4,963,00–8,98mai sigur0,76–4,411,43–5,392,19–9,80
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,61 0,64–2,58 0,39–2,83 | 1,21 0,35–2,06 0,13–2,29 | 2,82 1,00–4,64 0,52–5,12 | 47% 25% 29% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,16 3,30–7,02 2,81–7,51 | 3,76 2,01–5,50 1,55–5,96 | 8,91 5,31–12,52 4,35–13,47 | 62% 26% |
| Total șuturi | 15,78 11,86–19,71 10,77–20,80 | 11,81 8,25–15,38 7,29–16,34 | 27,60 20,11–35,08 18,06–37,14 | 75% 20% |
| Șuturi din careu | 10,02 7,08–12,96 6,25–13,79 | 7,93 5,25–10,61 4,51–11,35 | 17,95 12,32–23,57 10,76–25,14 | 65% 27% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,97 2,09–5,86 1,55–6,40 | 3,34 1,69–4,99 1,20–5,49 | 7,31 3,78–10,85 2,74–11,89 | 52% 15% 34% |
| Cornere | 5,54 3,33–7,76 2,75–8,33 | 4,54 2,54–6,54 2,01–7,07 | 10,08 5,87–14,30 4,76–15,40 | 56% 32% |
| Posesie % | 51,18 44,39–57,97 42,72–59,64 | 48,25 41,46–55,03 39,79–56,70 | — | 55% 41% |
| Pase | 445 377–512 359–530 | 406 339–472 322–490 | 850 717–984 681–1020 | 63% 37% |
| Precizie pase % | 68,27 64,25–72,30 62,95–73,60 | 70,16 65,83–74,48 64,52–75,79 | — | 38% 57% |
| Faulturi | 13,57 10,73–16,40 9,97–17,16 | 13,50 10,56–16,44 9,81–17,19 | 27,07 21,28–32,85 19,78–34,35 | 47% 46% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,12 0,95–3,28 0,65–3,58 | 1,79 0,70–2,88 0,41–3,17 | 3,90 1,65–6,16 1,06–6,75 | 46% 21% 33% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,58 0,53–2,63 0,27–2,90 | 1,91 0,79–3,04 0,49–3,33 | 3,50 1,32–5,68 0,76–6,23 | 32% 22% 46% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,08 0,00–0,24 0,00–0,39 | 0,10 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,42 | 0,18 0,00–0,53 0,00–0,81 | 84% |
| Parade portar | 2,59 1,15–4,02 0,76–4,41 | 3,41 1,85–4,96 1,43–5,39 | 5,99 3,00–8,98 2,19–9,80 | 29% 16% 55% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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