Ligue 1·Etapa 32·
Ligue 1·Etapa 32·Statistici estimate
Goluri
53%
23%
24%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,851,193,04sigur0,89–2,820,33–2,041,22–4,86mai sigur0,64–3,070,10–2,270,74–5,34
Șuturi pe poartă
61%
27%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,524,119,64sigur3,66–7,392,37–5,856,03–13,24mai sigur3,17–7,881,90–6,325,08–14,20
Total șuturi
82%
14%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție16,5911,3027,90sigur12,67–20,527,74–14,8720,41–35,38mai sigur11,57–21,616,78–15,8318,36–37,43
Șuturi din careu
70%
22%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,547,7718,31sigur7,60–13,495,09–10,4512,69–23,94mai sigur6,77–14,324,35–11,1911,12–25,50
Șuturi blocate
54%
15%
31%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,692,916,60sigur1,80–5,571,26–4,563,06–10,13mai sigur1,26–6,110,77–5,062,03–11,17
Cornere
55%
33%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,884,9310,81sigur3,67–8,092,93–6,936,60–15,03mai sigur3,09–8,672,40–7,475,49–16,13
Posesie %
93%
gazdeoaspețipredicție63,1537,30sigur56,36–69,9430,52–44,09mai sigur54,69–71,6128,84–45,76
Pase
98%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție581338919sigur514–648271–404785–1053mai sigur496–666254–422749–1088
Precizie pase %
81%
16%
gazdeoaspețipredicție74,6867,37sigur70,65–78,7163,05–71,69mai sigur69,36–80,0061,74–73,00
Faulturi
44%
48%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,2312,5324,76sigur9,39–15,079,59–15,4818,98–30,54mai sigur8,64–15,828,84–16,2217,47–32,05
Ofsaiduri
38%
22%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,721,773,50sigur0,56–2,880,68–2,871,24–5,75mai sigur0,26–3,190,39–3,150,65–6,34
Cartonașe galbene
32%
22%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,641,983,62sigur0,59–2,690,85–3,111,44–5,79mai sigur0,32–2,950,56–3,400,88–6,35
Cartonașe roșii
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,070,090,16sigur0,00–0,230,00–0,280,00–0,51mai sigur0,00–0,380,00–0,410,00–0,79
Parade portar
30%
15%
55%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,833,666,49sigur1,39–4,262,11–5,223,50–9,48mai sigur1,00–4,651,68–5,642,68–10,29
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,85 0,89–2,82 0,64–3,07 | 1,19 0,33–2,04 0,10–2,27 | 3,04 1,22–4,86 0,74–5,34 | 53% 23% 24% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,52 3,66–7,39 3,17–7,88 | 4,11 2,37–5,85 1,90–6,32 | 9,64 6,03–13,24 5,08–14,20 | 61% 27% |
| Total șuturi | 16,59 12,67–20,52 11,57–21,61 | 11,30 7,74–14,87 6,78–15,83 | 27,90 20,41–35,38 18,36–37,43 | 82% 14% |
| Șuturi din careu | 10,54 7,60–13,49 6,77–14,32 | 7,77 5,09–10,45 4,35–11,19 | 18,31 12,69–23,94 11,12–25,50 | 70% 22% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,69 1,80–5,57 1,26–6,11 | 2,91 1,26–4,56 0,77–5,06 | 6,60 3,06–10,13 2,03–11,17 | 54% 15% 31% |
| Cornere | 5,88 3,67–8,09 3,09–8,67 | 4,93 2,93–6,93 2,40–7,47 | 10,81 6,60–15,03 5,49–16,13 | 55% 33% |
| Posesie % | 63,15 56,36–69,94 54,69–71,61 | 37,30 30,52–44,09 28,84–45,76 | — | 93% |
| Pase | 581 514–648 496–666 | 338 271–404 254–422 | 919 785–1053 749–1088 | 98% |
| Precizie pase % | 74,68 70,65–78,71 69,36–80,00 | 67,37 63,05–71,69 61,74–73,00 | — | 81% 16% |
| Faulturi | 12,23 9,39–15,07 8,64–15,82 | 12,53 9,59–15,48 8,84–16,22 | 24,76 18,98–30,54 17,47–32,05 | 44% 48% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,72 0,56–2,88 0,26–3,19 | 1,77 0,68–2,87 0,39–3,15 | 3,50 1,24–5,75 0,65–6,34 | 38% 22% 40% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,64 0,59–2,69 0,32–2,95 | 1,98 0,85–3,11 0,56–3,40 | 3,62 1,44–5,79 0,88–6,35 | 32% 22% 46% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,07 0,00–0,23 0,00–0,38 | 0,09 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,41 | 0,16 0,00–0,51 0,00–0,79 | 86% |
| Parade portar | 2,83 1,39–4,26 1,00–4,65 | 3,66 2,11–5,22 1,68–5,64 | 6,49 3,50–9,48 2,68–10,29 | 30% 15% 55% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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