Ligue 1·Etapa 33·
Ligue 1·Etapa 33·Statistici estimate
Goluri
36%
23%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,531,653,17sigur0,56–2,490,79–2,501,35–5,00mai sigur0,31–2,750,57–2,730,87–5,48
Șuturi pe poartă
45%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,984,899,87sigur3,12–6,843,15–6,636,26–13,47mai sigur2,63–7,332,68–7,105,31–14,43
Total șuturi
41%
52%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,4714,2127,68sigur9,55–17,4010,65–17,7720,19–35,17mai sigur8,46–18,499,69–18,7318,14–37,22
Șuturi din careu
41%
50%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,169,6418,81sigur6,22–12,116,96–12,3213,18–24,43mai sigur5,39–12,946,22–13,0611,62–26,00
Șuturi blocate
39%
15%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,473,727,19sigur1,59–5,352,07–5,373,65–10,72mai sigur1,04–5,891,57–5,862,62–11,76
Cornere
39%
49%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,765,179,93sigur2,55–6,973,17–7,175,71–14,14mai sigur1,97–7,552,64–7,704,61–15,25
Posesie %
41%
54%
gazdeoaspețipredicție48,9251,72sigur42,13–55,7144,94–58,51mai sigur40,46–57,3843,27–60,18
Pase
48%
52%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție476482958sigur409–543416–549825–1092mai sigur391–561398–566789–1128
Precizie pase %
25%
71%
gazdeoaspețipredicție70,7675,60sigur66,74–74,7971,28–79,93mai sigur65,44–76,0969,97–81,24
Faulturi
61%
32%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,9711,1624,13sigur10,14–15,818,21–14,1018,35–29,91mai sigur9,38–16,577,46–14,8516,84–31,42
Ofsaiduri
40%
22%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,881,823,69sigur0,72–3,040,72–2,911,44–5,95mai sigur0,42–3,340,44–3,200,85–6,54
Cartonașe galbene
37%
22%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,771,863,63sigur0,72–2,820,73–2,991,46–5,81mai sigur0,46–3,090,44–3,280,90–6,37
Cartonașe roșii
84%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,070,120,19sigur0,00–0,230,00–0,300,00–0,53mai sigur0,00–0,380,00–0,430,00–0,82
Parade portar
44%
16%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,303,166,46sigur1,87–4,741,60–4,723,47–9,45mai sigur1,48–5,121,18–5,142,66–10,27
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,53 0,56–2,49 0,31–2,75 | 1,65 0,79–2,50 0,57–2,73 | 3,17 1,35–5,00 0,87–5,48 | 36% 23% 41% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,98 3,12–6,84 2,63–7,33 | 4,89 3,15–6,63 2,68–7,10 | 9,87 6,26–13,47 5,31–14,43 | 45% 42% |
| Total șuturi | 13,47 9,55–17,40 8,46–18,49 | 14,21 10,65–17,77 9,69–18,73 | 27,68 20,19–35,17 18,14–37,22 | 41% 52% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,16 6,22–12,11 5,39–12,94 | 9,64 6,96–12,32 6,22–13,06 | 18,81 13,18–24,43 11,62–26,00 | 41% 50% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,47 1,59–5,35 1,04–5,89 | 3,72 2,07–5,37 1,57–5,86 | 7,19 3,65–10,72 2,62–11,76 | 39% 15% 46% |
| Cornere | 4,76 2,55–6,97 1,97–7,55 | 5,17 3,17–7,17 2,64–7,70 | 9,93 5,71–14,14 4,61–15,25 | 39% 49% |
| Posesie % | 48,92 42,13–55,71 40,46–57,38 | 51,72 44,94–58,51 43,27–60,18 | — | 41% 54% |
| Pase | 476 409–543 391–561 | 482 416–549 398–566 | 958 825–1092 789–1128 | 48% 52% |
| Precizie pase % | 70,76 66,74–74,79 65,44–76,09 | 75,60 71,28–79,93 69,97–81,24 | — | 25% 71% |
| Faulturi | 12,97 10,14–15,81 9,38–16,57 | 11,16 8,21–14,10 7,46–14,85 | 24,13 18,35–29,91 16,84–31,42 | 61% 32% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,88 0,72–3,04 0,42–3,34 | 1,82 0,72–2,91 0,44–3,20 | 3,69 1,44–5,95 0,85–6,54 | 40% 22% 38% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,77 0,72–2,82 0,46–3,09 | 1,86 0,73–2,99 0,44–3,28 | 3,63 1,46–5,81 0,90–6,37 | 37% 22% 41% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,07 0,00–0,23 0,00–0,38 | 0,12 0,00–0,30 0,00–0,43 | 0,19 0,00–0,53 0,00–0,82 | 84% |
| Parade portar | 3,30 1,87–4,74 1,48–5,12 | 3,16 1,60–4,72 1,18–5,14 | 6,46 3,47–9,45 2,66–10,27 | 44% 16% 40% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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