Ligue 1·Etapa 34·
Ligue 1·Etapa 34·Statistici estimate
Goluri
40%
25%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,511,432,94sigur0,55–2,480,57–2,281,12–4,77mai sigur0,29–2,730,35–2,510,64–5,25
Șuturi pe poartă
44%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,014,959,97sigur3,15–6,883,21–6,706,36–13,57mai sigur2,66–7,372,74–7,165,41–14,53
Total șuturi
56%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,7113,4328,14sigur10,79–18,649,87–16,9920,66–35,63mai sigur9,69–19,738,91–17,9518,61–37,68
Șuturi din careu
56%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,478,3717,85sigur6,53–12,425,69–11,0512,23–23,47mai sigur5,70–13,254,96–11,7910,66–25,04
Șuturi blocate
45%
16%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,503,336,84sigur1,62–5,391,68–4,993,30–10,37mai sigur1,08–5,931,19–5,482,27–11,41
Cornere
48%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,234,9010,12sigur3,01–7,442,90–6,905,91–14,33mai sigur2,44–8,012,36–7,434,80–15,44
Posesie %
32%
64%
gazdeoaspețipredicție46,3353,18sigur39,54–53,1246,39–59,96mai sigur37,87–54,7944,72–61,63
Pase
33%
67%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție417471888sigur350–484404–537754–1022mai sigur332–503387–555718–1057
Precizie pase %
22%
73%
gazdeoaspețipredicție66,9972,34sigur62,96–71,0268,02–76,67mai sigur61,66–72,3166,71–77,97
Faulturi
50%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,7412,2524,99sigur9,90–15,579,30–15,1919,20–30,77mai sigur9,14–16,338,56–15,9417,70–32,27
Ofsaiduri
40%
21%
39%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,021,994,01sigur0,86–3,180,90–3,081,76–6,26mai sigur0,56–3,480,61–3,371,17–6,85
Cartonașe galbene
37%
23%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,661,733,39sigur0,61–2,710,60–2,861,21–5,57mai sigur0,34–2,970,31–3,150,65–6,12
Cartonașe roșii
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,070,100,17sigur0,00–0,230,00–0,280,00–0,52mai sigur0,00–0,380,00–0,420,00–0,80
Parade portar
42%
16%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,153,166,31sigur1,71–4,591,61–4,723,32–9,30mai sigur1,33–4,971,18–5,142,51–10,12
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,51 0,55–2,48 0,29–2,73 | 1,43 0,57–2,28 0,35–2,51 | 2,94 1,12–4,77 0,64–5,25 | 40% 25% 36% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,01 3,15–6,88 2,66–7,37 | 4,95 3,21–6,70 2,74–7,16 | 9,97 6,36–13,57 5,41–14,53 | 44% 43% |
| Total șuturi | 14,71 10,79–18,64 9,69–19,73 | 13,43 9,87–16,99 8,91–17,95 | 28,14 20,66–35,63 18,61–37,68 | 56% 37% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,47 6,53–12,42 5,70–13,25 | 8,37 5,69–11,05 4,96–11,79 | 17,85 12,23–23,47 10,66–25,04 | 56% 35% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,50 1,62–5,39 1,08–5,93 | 3,33 1,68–4,99 1,19–5,48 | 6,84 3,30–10,37 2,27–11,41 | 45% 16% 40% |
| Cornere | 5,23 3,01–7,44 2,44–8,01 | 4,90 2,90–6,90 2,36–7,43 | 10,12 5,91–14,33 4,80–15,44 | 48% 40% |
| Posesie % | 46,33 39,54–53,12 37,87–54,79 | 53,18 46,39–59,96 44,72–61,63 | — | 32% 64% |
| Pase | 417 350–484 332–503 | 471 404–537 387–555 | 888 754–1022 718–1057 | 33% 67% |
| Precizie pase % | 66,99 62,96–71,02 61,66–72,31 | 72,34 68,02–76,67 66,71–77,97 | — | 22% 73% |
| Faulturi | 12,74 9,90–15,57 9,14–16,33 | 12,25 9,30–15,19 8,56–15,94 | 24,99 19,20–30,77 17,70–32,27 | 50% 42% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,02 0,86–3,18 0,56–3,48 | 1,99 0,90–3,08 0,61–3,37 | 4,01 1,76–6,26 1,17–6,85 | 40% 21% 39% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,66 0,61–2,71 0,34–2,97 | 1,73 0,60–2,86 0,31–3,15 | 3,39 1,21–5,57 0,65–6,12 | 37% 23% 40% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,07 0,00–0,23 0,00–0,38 | 0,10 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,42 | 0,17 0,00–0,52 0,00–0,80 | 85% |
| Parade portar | 3,15 1,71–4,59 1,33–4,97 | 3,16 1,61–4,72 1,18–5,14 | 6,31 3,32–9,30 2,51–10,12 | 42% 16% 42% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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