Ligue 1·Etapa 34·
Ligue 1·Etapa 34·Statistici estimate
Goluri
60%
21%
19%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,031,063,09sigur1,06–3,000,21–1,911,27–4,92mai sigur0,81–3,250,00–2,140,79–5,40
Șuturi pe poartă
71%
19%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,013,809,81sigur4,15–7,882,05–5,546,21–13,42mai sigur3,66–8,371,59–6,005,25–14,37
Total șuturi
76%
18%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție15,5611,4226,98sigur11,64–19,497,86–14,9919,50–34,47mai sigur10,55–20,586,90–15,9417,45–36,52
Șuturi din careu
74%
19%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,277,0717,34sigur7,33–13,214,39–9,7511,72–22,96mai sigur6,50–14,043,65–10,4910,15–24,53
Șuturi blocate
57%
15%
29%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,872,916,78sigur1,99–5,751,26–4,563,24–10,31mai sigur1,44–6,290,76–5,052,21–11,35
Cornere
60%
28%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,894,5410,42sigur3,67–8,102,54–6,546,21–14,63mai sigur3,10–8,672,00–7,075,10–15,74
Posesie %
96%
gazdeoaspețipredicție65,4535,67sigur58,66–72,2428,89–42,46mai sigur56,99–73,9127,21–44,13
Pase
99%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție624345969sigur557–691278–411835–1103mai sigur539–710261–429800–1138
Precizie pase %
88%
gazdeoaspețipredicție77,1467,48sigur73,11–81,1763,16–71,81mai sigur71,82–82,4661,85–73,12
Faulturi
49%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,4110,9722,38sigur8,57–14,258,02–13,9116,60–28,16mai sigur7,82–15,017,28–14,6615,09–29,67
Ofsaiduri
47%
22%
31%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,931,523,45sigur0,77–3,090,43–2,621,20–5,70mai sigur0,47–3,390,14–2,900,61–6,29
Cartonașe galbene
35%
26%
39%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,311,382,69sigur0,26–2,360,25–2,510,52–4,87mai sigur0,00–2,630,00–2,800,00–5,43
Cartonașe roșii
87%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,070,080,15sigur0,00–0,230,00–0,270,00–0,50mai sigur0,00–0,380,00–0,400,00–0,78
Parade portar
25%
15%
60%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,583,756,32sigur1,14–4,012,19–5,303,33–9,31mai sigur0,75–4,401,77–5,732,52–10,13
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 2,03 1,06–3,00 0,81–3,25 | 1,06 0,21–1,91 0,00–2,14 | 3,09 1,27–4,92 0,79–5,40 | 60% 21% 19% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 6,01 4,15–7,88 3,66–8,37 | 3,80 2,05–5,54 1,59–6,00 | 9,81 6,21–13,42 5,25–14,37 | 71% 19% |
| Total șuturi | 15,56 11,64–19,49 10,55–20,58 | 11,42 7,86–14,99 6,90–15,94 | 26,98 19,50–34,47 17,45–36,52 | 76% 18% |
| Șuturi din careu | 10,27 7,33–13,21 6,50–14,04 | 7,07 4,39–9,75 3,65–10,49 | 17,34 11,72–22,96 10,15–24,53 | 74% 19% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,87 1,99–5,75 1,44–6,29 | 2,91 1,26–4,56 0,76–5,05 | 6,78 3,24–10,31 2,21–11,35 | 57% 15% 29% |
| Cornere | 5,89 3,67–8,10 3,10–8,67 | 4,54 2,54–6,54 2,00–7,07 | 10,42 6,21–14,63 5,10–15,74 | 60% 28% |
| Posesie % | 65,45 58,66–72,24 56,99–73,91 | 35,67 28,89–42,46 27,21–44,13 | — | 96% |
| Pase | 624 557–691 539–710 | 345 278–411 261–429 | 969 835–1103 800–1138 | 99% |
| Precizie pase % | 77,14 73,11–81,17 71,82–82,46 | 67,48 63,16–71,81 61,85–73,12 | — | 88% |
| Faulturi | 11,41 8,57–14,25 7,82–15,01 | 10,97 8,02–13,91 7,28–14,66 | 22,38 16,60–28,16 15,09–29,67 | 49% 42% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,93 0,77–3,09 0,47–3,39 | 1,52 0,43–2,62 0,14–2,90 | 3,45 1,20–5,70 0,61–6,29 | 47% 22% 31% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,31 0,26–2,36 0,00–2,63 | 1,38 0,25–2,51 0,00–2,80 | 2,69 0,52–4,87 0,00–5,43 | 35% 26% 39% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,07 0,00–0,23 0,00–0,38 | 0,08 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,40 | 0,15 0,00–0,50 0,00–0,78 | 87% |
| Parade portar | 2,58 1,14–4,01 0,75–4,40 | 3,75 2,19–5,30 1,77–5,73 | 6,32 3,33–9,31 2,52–10,13 | 25% 15% 60% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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