Premiership·Etapa 10·
Premiership·Etapa 10·Statistici estimate
Goluri
56%
24%
20%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,740,932,68sigur0,77–2,710,08–1,790,86–4,50mai sigur0,52–2,960,00–2,020,38–4,98
Șuturi pe poartă
70%
19%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,423,398,81sigur3,55–7,281,65–5,135,20–12,41mai sigur3,06–7,771,18–5,604,25–13,37
Total șuturi
79%
16%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție15,2810,7626,04sigur11,36–19,207,20–14,3218,55–33,53mai sigur10,26–20,306,24–15,2816,50–35,58
Șuturi din careu
78%
16%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,096,5016,59sigur7,14–13,033,82–9,1810,97–22,21mai sigur6,31–13,863,08–9,929,40–23,78
Șuturi blocate
59%
14%
28%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,393,287,67sigur2,51–6,281,63–4,934,14–11,21mai sigur1,97–6,821,13–5,423,10–12,24
Cornere
64%
25%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,974,3110,29sigur3,76–8,192,31–6,316,07–14,50mai sigur3,18–8,761,78–6,854,97–15,61
Posesie %
72%
24%
gazdeoaspețipredicție55,6544,78sigur48,86–62,4437,99–51,56mai sigur47,19–64,1136,32–53,23
Pase
86%
14%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție499371871sigur432–567305–438737–1004mai sigur414–585287–455701–1040
Precizie pase %
66%
29%
gazdeoaspețipredicție72,4968,79sigur68,46–76,5264,46–73,11mai sigur67,17–77,8163,15–74,42
Faulturi
33%
59%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,0312,6623,68sigur8,19–13,869,71–15,6017,90–29,47mai sigur7,43–14,628,96–16,3516,40–30,97
Ofsaiduri
44%
24%
32%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,621,372,99sigur0,46–2,780,27–2,460,74–5,24mai sigur0,16–3,080,00–2,750,15–5,83
Cartonașe galbene
33%
20%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,922,324,24sigur0,87–2,971,19–3,442,06–6,42mai sigur0,61–3,240,90–3,741,50–6,97
Cartonașe roșii
83%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,080,120,20sigur0,00–0,240,00–0,310,00–0,55mai sigur0,00–0,390,00–0,440,00–0,83
Parade portar
24%
15%
61%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,343,535,87sigur0,91–3,781,97–5,092,88–8,86mai sigur0,52–4,171,55–5,512,07–9,68
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,74 0,77–2,71 0,52–2,96 | 0,93 0,08–1,79 0,00–2,02 | 2,68 0,86–4,50 0,38–4,98 | 56% 24% 20% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,42 3,55–7,28 3,06–7,77 | 3,39 1,65–5,13 1,18–5,60 | 8,81 5,20–12,41 4,25–13,37 | 70% 19% |
| Total șuturi | 15,28 11,36–19,20 10,26–20,30 | 10,76 7,20–14,32 6,24–15,28 | 26,04 18,55–33,53 16,50–35,58 | 79% 16% |
| Șuturi din careu | 10,09 7,14–13,03 6,31–13,86 | 6,50 3,82–9,18 3,08–9,92 | 16,59 10,97–22,21 9,40–23,78 | 78% 16% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,39 2,51–6,28 1,97–6,82 | 3,28 1,63–4,93 1,13–5,42 | 7,67 4,14–11,21 3,10–12,24 | 59% 14% 28% |
| Cornere | 5,97 3,76–8,19 3,18–8,76 | 4,31 2,31–6,31 1,78–6,85 | 10,29 6,07–14,50 4,97–15,61 | 64% 25% |
| Posesie % | 55,65 48,86–62,44 47,19–64,11 | 44,78 37,99–51,56 36,32–53,23 | — | 72% 24% |
| Pase | 499 432–567 414–585 | 371 305–438 287–455 | 871 737–1004 701–1040 | 86% 14% |
| Precizie pase % | 72,49 68,46–76,52 67,17–77,81 | 68,79 64,46–73,11 63,15–74,42 | — | 66% 29% |
| Faulturi | 11,03 8,19–13,86 7,43–14,62 | 12,66 9,71–15,60 8,96–16,35 | 23,68 17,90–29,47 16,40–30,97 | 33% 59% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,62 0,46–2,78 0,16–3,08 | 1,37 0,27–2,46 0,00–2,75 | 2,99 0,74–5,24 0,15–5,83 | 44% 24% 32% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,92 0,87–2,97 0,61–3,24 | 2,32 1,19–3,44 0,90–3,74 | 4,24 2,06–6,42 1,50–6,97 | 33% 20% 47% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,08 0,00–0,24 0,00–0,39 | 0,12 0,00–0,31 0,00–0,44 | 0,20 0,00–0,55 0,00–0,83 | 83% |
| Parade portar | 2,34 0,91–3,78 0,52–4,17 | 3,53 1,97–5,09 1,55–5,51 | 5,87 2,88–8,86 2,07–9,68 | 24% 15% 61% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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