Premiership·Etapa 13·
Premiership·Etapa 13·Statistici estimate
Goluri
69%
18%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,200,803,00sigur1,23–3,170,00–1,661,18–4,82mai sigur0,98–3,420,00–1,880,70–5,30
Șuturi pe poartă
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,773,029,79sigur4,90–8,631,28–4,766,18–13,39mai sigur4,41–9,120,81–5,235,23–14,35
Total șuturi
95%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție18,109,0127,11sigur14,18–22,035,45–12,5719,62–34,60mai sigur13,09–23,124,49–13,5317,57–36,65
Șuturi din careu
93%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,115,6317,73sigur9,17–15,052,95–8,3112,11–23,36mai sigur8,34–15,882,21–9,0510,54–24,92
Șuturi blocate
74%
16%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,832,627,45sigur2,95–6,720,96–4,273,92–10,99mai sigur2,41–7,260,47–4,762,88–12,02
Cornere
88%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție7,783,3511,13sigur5,57–9,991,35–5,356,91–15,34mai sigur4,99–10,570,81–5,885,81–16,45
Posesie %
91%
gazdeoaspețipredicție61,8337,88sigur55,04–68,6231,10–44,67mai sigur53,37–70,2929,43–46,34
Pase
98%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție617363980sigur550–684296–429846–1113mai sigur532–702279–447810–1149
Precizie pase %
88%
gazdeoaspețipredicție76,1566,57sigur72,12–80,1862,24–70,89mai sigur70,83–81,4760,93–72,20
Faulturi
57%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,6810,3322,01sigur8,84–14,527,38–13,2716,22–27,79mai sigur8,08–15,276,63–14,0214,72–29,29
Ofsaiduri
54%
22%
24%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,961,253,21sigur0,80–3,120,16–2,340,96–5,46mai sigur0,50–3,420,00–2,630,37–6,05
Cartonașe galbene
29%
23%
48%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,341,773,12sigur0,29–2,390,64–2,900,94–5,29mai sigur0,03–2,660,35–3,190,38–5,85
Cartonașe roșii
87%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,060,090,15sigur0,00–0,220,00–0,280,00–0,50mai sigur0,00–0,370,00–0,410,00–0,78
Parade portar
15%
73%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,194,256,43sigur0,75–3,622,69–5,803,44–9,42mai sigur0,36–4,012,26–6,232,63–10,24
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 2,20 1,23–3,17 0,98–3,42 | 0,80 0,00–1,66 0,00–1,88 | 3,00 1,18–4,82 0,70–5,30 | 69% 18% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 6,77 4,90–8,63 4,41–9,12 | 3,02 1,28–4,76 0,81–5,23 | 9,79 6,18–13,39 5,23–14,35 | 85% |
| Total șuturi | 18,10 14,18–22,03 13,09–23,12 | 9,01 5,45–12,57 4,49–13,53 | 27,11 19,62–34,60 17,57–36,65 | 95% |
| Șuturi din careu | 12,11 9,17–15,05 8,34–15,88 | 5,63 2,95–8,31 2,21–9,05 | 17,73 12,11–23,36 10,54–24,92 | 93% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,83 2,95–6,72 2,41–7,26 | 2,62 0,96–4,27 0,47–4,76 | 7,45 3,92–10,99 2,88–12,02 | 74% 16% |
| Cornere | 7,78 5,57–9,99 4,99–10,57 | 3,35 1,35–5,35 0,81–5,88 | 11,13 6,91–15,34 5,81–16,45 | 88% |
| Posesie % | 61,83 55,04–68,62 53,37–70,29 | 37,88 31,10–44,67 29,43–46,34 | — | 91% |
| Pase | 617 550–684 532–702 | 363 296–429 279–447 | 980 846–1113 810–1149 | 98% |
| Precizie pase % | 76,15 72,12–80,18 70,83–81,47 | 66,57 62,24–70,89 60,93–72,20 | — | 88% |
| Faulturi | 11,68 8,84–14,52 8,08–15,27 | 10,33 7,38–13,27 6,63–14,02 | 22,01 16,22–27,79 14,72–29,29 | 57% 35% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,96 0,80–3,12 0,50–3,42 | 1,25 0,16–2,34 0,00–2,63 | 3,21 0,96–5,46 0,37–6,05 | 54% 22% 24% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,34 0,29–2,39 0,03–2,66 | 1,77 0,64–2,90 0,35–3,19 | 3,12 0,94–5,29 0,38–5,85 | 29% 23% 48% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,06 0,00–0,22 0,00–0,37 | 0,09 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,41 | 0,15 0,00–0,50 0,00–0,78 | 87% |
| Parade portar | 2,19 0,75–3,62 0,36–4,01 | 4,25 2,69–5,80 2,26–6,23 | 6,43 3,44–9,42 2,63–10,24 | 15% 73% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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