Premiership·Etapa 13·
Premiership·Etapa 13·Statistici estimate
Goluri
40%
25%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,501,392,89sigur0,53–2,470,53–2,241,07–4,71mai sigur0,28–2,720,31–2,470,59–5,19
Șuturi pe poartă
44%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,115,0610,17sigur3,25–6,973,32–6,816,57–13,78mai sigur2,76–7,462,86–7,275,61–14,73
Total șuturi
50%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,9214,4029,32sigur11,00–18,8510,84–17,9621,84–36,81mai sigur9,90–19,949,88–18,9219,78–38,86
Șuturi din careu
57%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,228,9919,21sigur7,28–13,166,31–11,6713,58–24,83mai sigur6,45–13,995,57–12,4112,02–26,40
Șuturi blocate
48%
14%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,233,838,06sigur2,35–6,112,18–5,494,53–11,60mai sigur1,80–6,661,69–5,983,49–12,63
Cornere
48%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,715,3711,09sigur3,50–7,933,37–7,376,87–15,30mai sigur2,93–8,502,84–7,905,77–16,41
Posesie %
21%
76%
gazdeoaspețipredicție43,6256,50sigur36,83–50,4149,71–63,28mai sigur35,16–52,0848,04–64,96
Pase
15%
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție400524925sigur333–468458–591791–1058mai sigur315–486441–608755–1094
Precizie pase %
20%
76%
gazdeoaspețipredicție71,4177,40sigur67,38–75,4473,07–81,72mai sigur66,09–76,7371,76–83,03
Faulturi
37%
54%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,6111,6122,23sigur7,78–13,458,67–14,5616,45–28,01mai sigur7,02–14,217,92–15,3114,94–29,52
Ofsaiduri
48%
23%
29%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,811,353,16sigur0,65–2,970,26–2,440,91–5,42mai sigur0,35–3,270,00–2,730,32–6,01
Cartonașe galbene
35%
22%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,651,833,47sigur0,60–2,690,70–2,961,30–5,65mai sigur0,33–2,960,41–3,250,74–6,21
Cartonașe roșii
84%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,080,100,18sigur0,00–0,240,00–0,280,00–0,53mai sigur0,00–0,390,00–0,420,00–0,81
Parade portar
41%
16%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,403,456,85sigur1,96–4,841,90–5,013,86–9,84mai sigur1,58–5,221,47–5,433,05–10,66
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,50 0,53–2,47 0,28–2,72 | 1,39 0,53–2,24 0,31–2,47 | 2,89 1,07–4,71 0,59–5,19 | 40% 25% 35% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,11 3,25–6,97 2,76–7,46 | 5,06 3,32–6,81 2,86–7,27 | 10,17 6,57–13,78 5,61–14,73 | 44% 43% |
| Total șuturi | 14,92 11,00–18,85 9,90–19,94 | 14,40 10,84–17,96 9,88–18,92 | 29,32 21,84–36,81 19,78–38,86 | 50% 43% |
| Șuturi din careu | 10,22 7,28–13,16 6,45–13,99 | 8,99 6,31–11,67 5,57–12,41 | 19,21 13,58–24,83 12,02–26,40 | 57% 35% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,23 2,35–6,11 1,80–6,66 | 3,83 2,18–5,49 1,69–5,98 | 8,06 4,53–11,60 3,49–12,63 | 48% 14% 37% |
| Cornere | 5,71 3,50–7,93 2,93–8,50 | 5,37 3,37–7,37 2,84–7,90 | 11,09 6,87–15,30 5,77–16,41 | 48% 40% |
| Posesie % | 43,62 36,83–50,41 35,16–52,08 | 56,50 49,71–63,28 48,04–64,96 | — | 21% 76% |
| Pase | 400 333–468 315–486 | 524 458–591 441–608 | 925 791–1058 755–1094 | 15% 85% |
| Precizie pase % | 71,41 67,38–75,44 66,09–76,73 | 77,40 73,07–81,72 71,76–83,03 | — | 20% 76% |
| Faulturi | 10,61 7,78–13,45 7,02–14,21 | 11,61 8,67–14,56 7,92–15,31 | 22,23 16,45–28,01 14,94–29,52 | 37% 54% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,81 0,65–2,97 0,35–3,27 | 1,35 0,26–2,44 0,00–2,73 | 3,16 0,91–5,42 0,32–6,01 | 48% 23% 29% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,65 0,60–2,69 0,33–2,96 | 1,83 0,70–2,96 0,41–3,25 | 3,47 1,30–5,65 0,74–6,21 | 35% 22% 43% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,08 0,00–0,24 0,00–0,39 | 0,10 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,42 | 0,18 0,00–0,53 0,00–0,81 | 84% |
| Parade portar | 3,40 1,96–4,84 1,58–5,22 | 3,45 1,90–5,01 1,47–5,43 | 6,85 3,86–9,84 3,05–10,66 | 41% 16% 43% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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