Premiership·Etapa 13·
Premiership·Etapa 13·Statistici estimate
Goluri
66%
20%
14%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,020,802,82sigur1,05–2,990,00–1,650,99–4,64mai sigur0,80–3,240,00–1,880,52–5,12
Șuturi pe poartă
82%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,162,929,09sigur4,30–8,031,18–4,675,48–12,69mai sigur3,81–8,520,72–5,134,53–13,65
Total șuturi
93%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție17,029,1326,14sigur13,09–20,945,56–12,6918,66–33,63mai sigur12,00–22,034,60–13,6516,61–35,68
Șuturi din careu
91%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,965,8217,78sigur9,02–14,903,14–8,5012,15–23,40mai sigur8,19–15,732,40–9,2410,59–24,97
Șuturi blocate
67%
21%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,703,007,70sigur2,81–6,581,35–4,654,16–11,23mai sigur2,27–7,120,86–5,153,13–12,27
Cornere
76%
15%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,503,7510,25sigur4,28–8,711,75–5,756,04–14,46mai sigur3,71–9,281,22–6,294,93–15,57
Posesie %
73%
23%
gazdeoaspețipredicție55,9744,61sigur49,18–62,7637,82–51,39mai sigur47,51–64,4336,15–53,06
Pase
82%
18%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție503392896sigur436–570326–459762–1029mai sigur418–588309–476726–1065
Precizie pase %
63%
33%
gazdeoaspețipredicție71,3668,39sigur67,34–75,3964,07–72,71mai sigur66,04–76,6962,76–74,02
Faulturi
42%
50%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,8813,3526,23sigur10,04–15,7210,40–16,2920,45–32,01mai sigur9,29–16,489,66–17,0418,94–33,52
Ofsaiduri
51%
24%
26%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,761,182,94sigur0,60–2,920,09–2,270,68–5,19mai sigur0,29–3,220,00–2,560,09–5,78
Cartonașe galbene
21%
18%
61%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,502,604,10sigur0,45–2,551,47–3,731,92–6,28mai sigur0,18–2,811,18–4,021,36–6,84
Cartonașe roșii
82%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,060,150,20sigur0,00–0,220,00–0,330,00–0,55mai sigur0,00–0,370,00–0,470,00–0,83
Parade portar
17%
70%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,123,926,04sigur0,68–3,562,36–5,473,04–9,03mai sigur0,30–3,941,93–5,902,23–9,84
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 2,02 1,05–2,99 0,80–3,24 | 0,80 0,00–1,65 0,00–1,88 | 2,82 0,99–4,64 0,52–5,12 | 66% 20% 14% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 6,16 4,30–8,03 3,81–8,52 | 2,92 1,18–4,67 0,72–5,13 | 9,09 5,48–12,69 4,53–13,65 | 82% |
| Total șuturi | 17,02 13,09–20,94 12,00–22,03 | 9,13 5,56–12,69 4,60–13,65 | 26,14 18,66–33,63 16,61–35,68 | 93% |
| Șuturi din careu | 11,96 9,02–14,90 8,19–15,73 | 5,82 3,14–8,50 2,40–9,24 | 17,78 12,15–23,40 10,59–24,97 | 91% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,70 2,81–6,58 2,27–7,12 | 3,00 1,35–4,65 0,86–5,15 | 7,70 4,16–11,23 3,13–12,27 | 67% 21% |
| Cornere | 6,50 4,28–8,71 3,71–9,28 | 3,75 1,75–5,75 1,22–6,29 | 10,25 6,04–14,46 4,93–15,57 | 76% 15% |
| Posesie % | 55,97 49,18–62,76 47,51–64,43 | 44,61 37,82–51,39 36,15–53,06 | — | 73% 23% |
| Pase | 503 436–570 418–588 | 392 326–459 309–476 | 896 762–1029 726–1065 | 82% 18% |
| Precizie pase % | 71,36 67,34–75,39 66,04–76,69 | 68,39 64,07–72,71 62,76–74,02 | — | 63% 33% |
| Faulturi | 12,88 10,04–15,72 9,29–16,48 | 13,35 10,40–16,29 9,66–17,04 | 26,23 20,45–32,01 18,94–33,52 | 42% 50% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,76 0,60–2,92 0,29–3,22 | 1,18 0,09–2,27 0,00–2,56 | 2,94 0,68–5,19 0,09–5,78 | 51% 24% 26% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,50 0,45–2,55 0,18–2,81 | 2,60 1,47–3,73 1,18–4,02 | 4,10 1,92–6,28 1,36–6,84 | 21% 18% 61% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,06 0,00–0,22 0,00–0,37 | 0,15 0,00–0,33 0,00–0,47 | 0,20 0,00–0,55 0,00–0,83 | 82% |
| Parade portar | 2,12 0,68–3,56 0,30–3,94 | 3,92 2,36–5,47 1,93–5,90 | 6,04 3,04–9,03 2,23–9,84 | 17% 70% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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