Premiership·Etapa 14·
Premiership·Etapa 14·Statistici estimate
Goluri
18%
21%
61%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,032,063,09sigur0,06–2,001,21–2,921,27–4,91mai sigur0,00–2,250,98–3,140,79–5,39
Șuturi pe poartă
16%
74%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,125,558,66sigur1,25–4,983,80–7,295,06–12,27mai sigur0,76–5,473,34–7,764,10–13,22
Total șuturi
83%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,3415,6826,02sigur6,41–14,2612,12–19,2418,53–33,51mai sigur5,32–15,3511,16–20,2016,48–35,56
Șuturi din careu
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,1310,8917,03sigur3,19–9,088,21–13,5811,41–22,65mai sigur2,36–9,917,48–14,319,84–24,22
Șuturi blocate
20%
68%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,964,787,75sigur1,08–4,853,13–6,444,21–11,28mai sigur0,54–5,392,64–6,933,18–12,32
Cornere
23%
66%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,256,1010,35sigur2,03–6,464,10–8,106,14–14,56mai sigur1,46–7,043,57–8,635,03–15,67
Posesie %
19%
78%
gazdeoaspețipredicție43,7057,67sigur36,91–50,4950,88–64,45mai sigur35,24–52,1649,21–66,13
Pase
17%
83%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție384496880sigur317–451430–563747–1014mai sigur299–469412–580711–1050
Precizie pase %
95%
gazdeoaspețipredicție60,6574,15sigur56,63–64,6869,83–78,47mai sigur55,33–65,9868,52–79,78
Faulturi
42%
50%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,8712,4024,26sigur9,03–14,709,45–15,3418,48–30,05mai sigur8,27–15,468,71–16,0916,98–31,55
Ofsaiduri
27%
22%
51%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,351,923,27sigur0,19–2,520,83–3,011,02–5,53mai sigur0,00–2,820,54–3,300,43–6,12
Cartonașe galbene
36%
23%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,641,783,42sigur0,59–2,690,65–2,911,24–5,60mai sigur0,32–2,960,36–3,200,68–6,15
Cartonașe roșii
84%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,080,090,18sigur0,00–0,240,00–0,280,00–0,52mai sigur0,00–0,390,00–0,410,00–0,81
Parade portar
67%
14%
19%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,712,165,87sigur2,27–5,140,60–3,712,87–8,86mai sigur1,88–5,530,18–4,142,06–9,67
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,03 0,06–2,00 0,00–2,25 | 2,06 1,21–2,92 0,98–3,14 | 3,09 1,27–4,91 0,79–5,39 | 18% 21% 61% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 3,12 1,25–4,98 0,76–5,47 | 5,55 3,80–7,29 3,34–7,76 | 8,66 5,06–12,27 4,10–13,22 | 16% 74% |
| Total șuturi | 10,34 6,41–14,26 5,32–15,35 | 15,68 12,12–19,24 11,16–20,20 | 26,02 18,53–33,51 16,48–35,56 | 83% |
| Șuturi din careu | 6,13 3,19–9,08 2,36–9,91 | 10,89 8,21–13,58 7,48–14,31 | 17,03 11,41–22,65 9,84–24,22 | 85% |
| Șuturi blocate | 2,96 1,08–4,85 0,54–5,39 | 4,78 3,13–6,44 2,64–6,93 | 7,75 4,21–11,28 3,18–12,32 | 20% 68% |
| Cornere | 4,25 2,03–6,46 1,46–7,04 | 6,10 4,10–8,10 3,57–8,63 | 10,35 6,14–14,56 5,03–15,67 | 23% 66% |
| Posesie % | 43,70 36,91–50,49 35,24–52,16 | 57,67 50,88–64,45 49,21–66,13 | — | 19% 78% |
| Pase | 384 317–451 299–469 | 496 430–563 412–580 | 880 747–1014 711–1050 | 17% 83% |
| Precizie pase % | 60,65 56,63–64,68 55,33–65,98 | 74,15 69,83–78,47 68,52–79,78 | — | 95% |
| Faulturi | 11,87 9,03–14,70 8,27–15,46 | 12,40 9,45–15,34 8,71–16,09 | 24,26 18,48–30,05 16,98–31,55 | 42% 50% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,35 0,19–2,52 0,00–2,82 | 1,92 0,83–3,01 0,54–3,30 | 3,27 1,02–5,53 0,43–6,12 | 27% 22% 51% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,64 0,59–2,69 0,32–2,96 | 1,78 0,65–2,91 0,36–3,20 | 3,42 1,24–5,60 0,68–6,15 | 36% 23% 42% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,08 0,00–0,24 0,00–0,39 | 0,09 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,41 | 0,18 0,00–0,52 0,00–0,81 | 84% |
| Parade portar | 3,71 2,27–5,14 1,88–5,53 | 2,16 0,60–3,71 0,18–4,14 | 5,87 2,87–8,86 2,06–9,67 | 67% 14% 19% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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