Premiership·Etapa 14·
Premiership·Etapa 14·Statistici estimate
Goluri
45%
27%
28%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,431,072,50sigur0,46–2,390,21–1,920,67–4,32mai sigur0,21–2,650,00–2,150,19–4,80
Șuturi pe poartă
55%
13%
32%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,593,728,31sigur2,73–6,451,98–5,474,71–11,92mai sigur2,24–6,941,51–5,933,75–12,88
Total șuturi
69%
24%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,8710,9324,81sigur9,95–17,807,37–14,5017,32–32,29mai sigur8,86–18,896,41–15,4615,27–34,35
Șuturi din careu
69%
23%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,316,8016,11sigur6,37–12,254,12–9,4810,48–21,73mai sigur5,54–13,083,38–10,218,92–23,30
Șuturi blocate
54%
15%
31%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,853,066,91sigur1,97–5,741,41–4,713,38–10,45mai sigur1,43–6,280,91–5,202,34–11,48
Cornere
65%
24%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,764,049,80sigur3,54–7,972,04–6,045,59–14,01mai sigur2,97–8,541,51–6,584,48–15,12
Posesie %
44%
51%
gazdeoaspețipredicție49,3850,72sigur42,58–56,1743,94–57,51mai sigur40,92–57,8442,27–59,18
Pase
53%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție452441892sigur384–519374–507759–1026mai sigur366–537357–525723–1062
Precizie pase %
33%
62%
gazdeoaspețipredicție65,2868,18sigur61,25–69,3163,85–72,50mai sigur59,95–70,6062,54–73,81
Faulturi
39%
54%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,1914,1927,38sigur10,36–16,0311,25–17,1321,60–33,17mai sigur9,60–16,7910,50–17,8820,10–34,67
Ofsaiduri
38%
23%
39%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,611,623,23sigur0,45–2,770,53–2,720,98–5,48mai sigur0,14–3,070,24–3,010,39–6,07
Cartonașe galbene
35%
20%
45%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,942,224,16sigur0,89–2,991,09–3,351,98–6,34mai sigur0,62–3,250,80–3,641,42–6,89
Cartonașe roșii
82%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,090,120,20sigur0,00–0,250,00–0,310,00–0,55mai sigur0,00–0,400,00–0,440,00–0,84
Parade portar
30%
16%
54%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,643,416,05sigur1,20–4,081,86–4,973,06–9,04mai sigur0,82–4,461,43–5,392,25–9,86
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,43 0,46–2,39 0,21–2,65 | 1,07 0,21–1,92 0,00–2,15 | 2,50 0,67–4,32 0,19–4,80 | 45% 27% 28% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,59 2,73–6,45 2,24–6,94 | 3,72 1,98–5,47 1,51–5,93 | 8,31 4,71–11,92 3,75–12,88 | 55% 13% 32% |
| Total șuturi | 13,87 9,95–17,80 8,86–18,89 | 10,93 7,37–14,50 6,41–15,46 | 24,81 17,32–32,29 15,27–34,35 | 69% 24% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,31 6,37–12,25 5,54–13,08 | 6,80 4,12–9,48 3,38–10,21 | 16,11 10,48–21,73 8,92–23,30 | 69% 23% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,85 1,97–5,74 1,43–6,28 | 3,06 1,41–4,71 0,91–5,20 | 6,91 3,38–10,45 2,34–11,48 | 54% 15% 31% |
| Cornere | 5,76 3,54–7,97 2,97–8,54 | 4,04 2,04–6,04 1,51–6,58 | 9,80 5,59–14,01 4,48–15,12 | 65% 24% |
| Posesie % | 49,38 42,58–56,17 40,92–57,84 | 50,72 43,94–57,51 42,27–59,18 | — | 44% 51% |
| Pase | 452 384–519 366–537 | 441 374–507 357–525 | 892 759–1026 723–1062 | 53% 46% |
| Precizie pase % | 65,28 61,25–69,31 59,95–70,60 | 68,18 63,85–72,50 62,54–73,81 | — | 33% 62% |
| Faulturi | 13,19 10,36–16,03 9,60–16,79 | 14,19 11,25–17,13 10,50–17,88 | 27,38 21,60–33,17 20,10–34,67 | 39% 54% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,61 0,45–2,77 0,14–3,07 | 1,62 0,53–2,72 0,24–3,01 | 3,23 0,98–5,48 0,39–6,07 | 38% 23% 39% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,94 0,89–2,99 0,62–3,25 | 2,22 1,09–3,35 0,80–3,64 | 4,16 1,98–6,34 1,42–6,89 | 35% 20% 45% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,09 0,00–0,25 0,00–0,40 | 0,12 0,00–0,31 0,00–0,44 | 0,20 0,00–0,55 0,00–0,84 | 82% |
| Parade portar | 2,64 1,20–4,08 0,82–4,46 | 3,41 1,86–4,97 1,43–5,39 | 6,05 3,06–9,04 2,25–9,86 | 30% 16% 54% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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