Premiership·Etapa 14·
Premiership·Etapa 14·Statistici estimate
Goluri
38%
25%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,421,372,79sigur0,45–2,390,52–2,220,96–4,61mai sigur0,20–2,640,29–2,450,48–5,09
Șuturi pe poartă
34%
54%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,545,359,89sigur2,68–6,413,60–7,096,29–13,50mai sigur2,19–6,903,14–7,565,33–14,45
Total șuturi
38%
55%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,7214,9228,64sigur9,80–17,6511,36–18,4821,16–36,13mai sigur8,71–18,7410,40–19,4419,10–38,18
Șuturi din careu
34%
57%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,579,8518,42sigur5,63–11,517,17–12,5312,79–24,04mai sigur4,80–12,346,43–13,2711,23–25,61
Șuturi blocate
28%
60%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,744,988,72sigur1,85–5,623,33–6,635,18–12,25mai sigur1,31–6,162,83–7,124,14–13,29
Cornere
51%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,735,1710,90sigur3,52–7,953,17–7,176,69–15,12mai sigur2,95–8,522,63–7,705,58–16,22
Posesie %
74%
23%
gazdeoaspețipredicție56,0144,28sigur49,22–62,8037,49–51,06mai sigur47,55–64,4735,82–52,73
Pase
85%
14%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție522396918sigur455–590329–462784–1052mai sigur437–608312–480749–1087
Precizie pase %
54%
41%
gazdeoaspețipredicție72,6171,29sigur68,58–76,6466,96–75,61mai sigur67,29–77,9365,65–76,92
Faulturi
48%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,9112,6425,55sigur10,07–15,759,70–15,5819,77–31,33mai sigur9,32–16,508,95–16,3318,26–32,84
Ofsaiduri
48%
22%
30%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,931,513,44sigur0,77–3,090,42–2,601,18–5,69mai sigur0,47–3,390,13–2,890,59–6,28
Cartonașe galbene
38%
21%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,861,953,82sigur0,81–2,910,82–3,081,64–5,99mai sigur0,55–3,180,53–3,371,08–6,55
Cartonașe roșii
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,080,100,17sigur0,00–0,240,00–0,280,00–0,52mai sigur0,00–0,390,00–0,420,00–0,80
Parade portar
47%
16%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,413,056,46sigur1,97–4,841,50–4,613,47–9,46mai sigur1,58–5,231,07–5,042,66–10,27
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,42 0,45–2,39 0,20–2,64 | 1,37 0,52–2,22 0,29–2,45 | 2,79 0,96–4,61 0,48–5,09 | 38% 25% 36% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,54 2,68–6,41 2,19–6,90 | 5,35 3,60–7,09 3,14–7,56 | 9,89 6,29–13,50 5,33–14,45 | 34% 54% |
| Total șuturi | 13,72 9,80–17,65 8,71–18,74 | 14,92 11,36–18,48 10,40–19,44 | 28,64 21,16–36,13 19,10–38,18 | 38% 55% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,57 5,63–11,51 4,80–12,34 | 9,85 7,17–12,53 6,43–13,27 | 18,42 12,79–24,04 11,23–25,61 | 34% 57% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,74 1,85–5,62 1,31–6,16 | 4,98 3,33–6,63 2,83–7,12 | 8,72 5,18–12,25 4,14–13,29 | 28% 60% |
| Cornere | 5,73 3,52–7,95 2,95–8,52 | 5,17 3,17–7,17 2,63–7,70 | 10,90 6,69–15,12 5,58–16,22 | 51% 37% |
| Posesie % | 56,01 49,22–62,80 47,55–64,47 | 44,28 37,49–51,06 35,82–52,73 | — | 74% 23% |
| Pase | 522 455–590 437–608 | 396 329–462 312–480 | 918 784–1052 749–1087 | 85% 14% |
| Precizie pase % | 72,61 68,58–76,64 67,29–77,93 | 71,29 66,96–75,61 65,65–76,92 | — | 54% 41% |
| Faulturi | 12,91 10,07–15,75 9,32–16,50 | 12,64 9,70–15,58 8,95–16,33 | 25,55 19,77–31,33 18,26–32,84 | 48% 44% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,93 0,77–3,09 0,47–3,39 | 1,51 0,42–2,60 0,13–2,89 | 3,44 1,18–5,69 0,59–6,28 | 48% 22% 30% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,86 0,81–2,91 0,55–3,18 | 1,95 0,82–3,08 0,53–3,37 | 3,82 1,64–5,99 1,08–6,55 | 38% 21% 41% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,08 0,00–0,24 0,00–0,39 | 0,10 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,42 | 0,17 0,00–0,52 0,00–0,80 | 85% |
| Parade portar | 3,41 1,97–4,84 1,58–5,23 | 3,05 1,50–4,61 1,07–5,04 | 6,46 3,47–9,46 2,66–10,27 | 47% 16% 37% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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