Premiership·Etapa 15·
Premiership·Etapa 15·Statistici estimate
Goluri
58%
23%
19%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,770,912,67sigur0,80–2,730,05–1,760,85–4,49mai sigur0,55–2,990,00–1,990,37–4,97
Șuturi pe poartă
69%
20%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,583,589,16sigur3,71–7,441,84–5,325,55–12,76mai sigur3,22–7,931,37–5,794,60–13,72
Total șuturi
77%
17%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție15,4211,0826,50sigur11,49–19,347,52–14,6419,01–33,99mai sigur10,40–20,436,56–15,6016,96–36,04
Șuturi din careu
83%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,166,7017,86sigur8,21–14,104,02–9,3812,23–23,48mai sigur7,38–14,933,28–10,1210,67–25,05
Șuturi blocate
59%
14%
27%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,393,247,63sigur2,50–6,271,59–4,904,10–11,17mai sigur1,96–6,811,10–5,393,06–12,20
Cornere
66%
23%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,984,1410,13sigur3,77–8,202,14–6,145,92–14,34mai sigur3,20–8,771,61–6,684,81–15,45
Posesie %
56%
39%
gazdeoaspețipredicție51,6548,13sigur44,86–58,4441,35–54,92mai sigur43,19–60,1139,68–56,59
Pase
67%
32%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție482427909sigur415–549361–494775–1043mai sigur397–567343–511740–1078
Precizie pase %
54%
41%
gazdeoaspețipredicție71,3670,06sigur67,33–75,3965,74–74,39mai sigur66,04–76,6864,43–75,70
Faulturi
43%
49%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,7612,1323,89sigur8,92–14,609,18–15,0718,11–29,67mai sigur8,17–15,368,44–15,8216,60–31,18
Ofsaiduri
48%
24%
28%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,721,252,97sigur0,56–2,880,16–2,340,72–5,22mai sigur0,26–3,180,00–2,630,13–5,81
Cartonașe galbene
32%
22%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,581,943,51sigur0,53–2,620,81–3,061,33–5,69mai sigur0,26–2,890,52–3,360,78–6,25
Cartonașe roșii
84%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,070,110,18sigur0,00–0,230,00–0,290,00–0,52mai sigur0,00–0,380,00–0,430,00–0,81
Parade portar
25%
15%
60%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,593,766,36sigur1,16–4,032,21–5,323,36–9,35mai sigur0,77–4,421,78–5,742,55–10,16
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,77 0,80–2,73 0,55–2,99 | 0,91 0,05–1,76 0,00–1,99 | 2,67 0,85–4,49 0,37–4,97 | 58% 23% 19% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,58 3,71–7,44 3,22–7,93 | 3,58 1,84–5,32 1,37–5,79 | 9,16 5,55–12,76 4,60–13,72 | 69% 20% |
| Total șuturi | 15,42 11,49–19,34 10,40–20,43 | 11,08 7,52–14,64 6,56–15,60 | 26,50 19,01–33,99 16,96–36,04 | 77% 17% |
| Șuturi din careu | 11,16 8,21–14,10 7,38–14,93 | 6,70 4,02–9,38 3,28–10,12 | 17,86 12,23–23,48 10,67–25,05 | 83% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,39 2,50–6,27 1,96–6,81 | 3,24 1,59–4,90 1,10–5,39 | 7,63 4,10–11,17 3,06–12,20 | 59% 14% 27% |
| Cornere | 5,98 3,77–8,20 3,20–8,77 | 4,14 2,14–6,14 1,61–6,68 | 10,13 5,92–14,34 4,81–15,45 | 66% 23% |
| Posesie % | 51,65 44,86–58,44 43,19–60,11 | 48,13 41,35–54,92 39,68–56,59 | — | 56% 39% |
| Pase | 482 415–549 397–567 | 427 361–494 343–511 | 909 775–1043 740–1078 | 67% 32% |
| Precizie pase % | 71,36 67,33–75,39 66,04–76,68 | 70,06 65,74–74,39 64,43–75,70 | — | 54% 41% |
| Faulturi | 11,76 8,92–14,60 8,17–15,36 | 12,13 9,18–15,07 8,44–15,82 | 23,89 18,11–29,67 16,60–31,18 | 43% 49% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,72 0,56–2,88 0,26–3,18 | 1,25 0,16–2,34 0,00–2,63 | 2,97 0,72–5,22 0,13–5,81 | 48% 24% 28% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,58 0,53–2,62 0,26–2,89 | 1,94 0,81–3,06 0,52–3,36 | 3,51 1,33–5,69 0,78–6,25 | 32% 22% 46% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,07 0,00–0,23 0,00–0,38 | 0,11 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,43 | 0,18 0,00–0,52 0,00–0,81 | 84% |
| Parade portar | 2,59 1,16–4,03 0,77–4,42 | 3,76 2,21–5,32 1,78–5,74 | 6,36 3,36–9,35 2,55–10,16 | 25% 15% 60% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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