Premiership·Etapa 16·
Premiership·Etapa 16·Statistici estimate
Goluri
53%
24%
23%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,711,042,74sigur0,74–2,670,18–1,890,92–4,57mai sigur0,49–2,930,00–2,120,44–5,05
Șuturi pe poartă
73%
17%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,783,439,21sigur3,92–7,641,68–5,175,60–12,81mai sigur3,43–8,131,22–5,634,65–13,77
Total șuturi
91%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție17,339,9527,28sigur13,40–21,256,39–13,5119,79–34,77mai sigur12,31–22,355,43–14,4717,74–36,82
Șuturi din careu
81%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,916,7217,63sigur7,97–13,854,04–9,4012,00–23,25mai sigur7,14–14,683,30–10,1310,44–24,82
Șuturi blocate
78%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,502,788,28sigur3,62–7,391,13–4,434,75–11,82mai sigur3,08–7,930,64–4,933,71–12,85
Cornere
75%
16%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,663,9910,65sigur4,45–8,871,99–5,996,44–14,87mai sigur3,87–9,451,46–6,535,33–15,97
Posesie %
63%
32%
gazdeoaspețipredicție53,3446,52sigur46,55–60,1339,73–53,30mai sigur44,88–61,8038,06–54,97
Pase
69%
31%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție453394847sigur386–520328–460713–981mai sigur368–538310–478677–1016
Precizie pase %
46%
49%
gazdeoaspețipredicție68,7068,98sigur64,67–72,7364,65–73,30mai sigur63,38–74,0263,34–74,61
Faulturi
43%
49%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,8113,1725,97sigur9,97–15,6410,22–16,1120,19–31,75mai sigur9,21–16,409,47–16,8618,69–33,26
Ofsaiduri
33%
23%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,481,733,21sigur0,32–2,640,63–2,820,96–5,47mai sigur0,02–2,950,35–3,110,37–6,05
Cartonașe galbene
22%
19%
59%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,452,413,86sigur0,40–2,501,28–3,541,68–6,04mai sigur0,14–2,770,99–3,831,13–6,60
Cartonașe roșii
83%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,070,130,20sigur0,00–0,230,00–0,310,00–0,54mai sigur0,00–0,380,00–0,450,00–0,83
Parade portar
24%
15%
61%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,503,746,24sigur1,07–3,942,18–5,293,25–9,23mai sigur0,68–4,331,76–5,722,44–10,04
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,71 0,74–2,67 0,49–2,93 | 1,04 0,18–1,89 0,00–2,12 | 2,74 0,92–4,57 0,44–5,05 | 53% 24% 23% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,78 3,92–7,64 3,43–8,13 | 3,43 1,68–5,17 1,22–5,63 | 9,21 5,60–12,81 4,65–13,77 | 73% 17% |
| Total șuturi | 17,33 13,40–21,25 12,31–22,35 | 9,95 6,39–13,51 5,43–14,47 | 27,28 19,79–34,77 17,74–36,82 | 91% |
| Șuturi din careu | 10,91 7,97–13,85 7,14–14,68 | 6,72 4,04–9,40 3,30–10,13 | 17,63 12,00–23,25 10,44–24,82 | 81% |
| Șuturi blocate | 5,50 3,62–7,39 3,08–7,93 | 2,78 1,13–4,43 0,64–4,93 | 8,28 4,75–11,82 3,71–12,85 | 78% |
| Cornere | 6,66 4,45–8,87 3,87–9,45 | 3,99 1,99–5,99 1,46–6,53 | 10,65 6,44–14,87 5,33–15,97 | 75% 16% |
| Posesie % | 53,34 46,55–60,13 44,88–61,80 | 46,52 39,73–53,30 38,06–54,97 | — | 63% 32% |
| Pase | 453 386–520 368–538 | 394 328–460 310–478 | 847 713–981 677–1016 | 69% 31% |
| Precizie pase % | 68,70 64,67–72,73 63,38–74,02 | 68,98 64,65–73,30 63,34–74,61 | — | 46% 49% |
| Faulturi | 12,81 9,97–15,64 9,21–16,40 | 13,17 10,22–16,11 9,47–16,86 | 25,97 20,19–31,75 18,69–33,26 | 43% 49% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,48 0,32–2,64 0,02–2,95 | 1,73 0,63–2,82 0,35–3,11 | 3,21 0,96–5,47 0,37–6,05 | 33% 23% 44% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,45 0,40–2,50 0,14–2,77 | 2,41 1,28–3,54 0,99–3,83 | 3,86 1,68–6,04 1,13–6,60 | 22% 19% 59% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,07 0,00–0,23 0,00–0,38 | 0,13 0,00–0,31 0,00–0,45 | 0,20 0,00–0,54 0,00–0,83 | 83% |
| Parade portar | 2,50 1,07–3,94 0,68–4,33 | 3,74 2,18–5,29 1,76–5,72 | 6,24 3,25–9,23 2,44–10,04 | 24% 15% 61% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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