Premiership·Etapa 20·
Premiership·Etapa 20·Statistici estimate
Goluri
62%
19%
19%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,271,183,45sigur1,31–3,240,32–2,031,63–5,28mai sigur1,05–3,490,10–2,261,15–5,75
Șuturi pe poartă
69%
21%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,374,2710,65sigur4,51–8,242,53–6,027,04–14,25mai sigur4,02–8,732,06–6,486,09–15,21
Total șuturi
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție17,3511,2028,55sigur13,42–21,277,64–14,7621,06–36,03mai sigur12,33–22,366,68–15,7219,01–38,08
Șuturi din careu
84%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,887,0818,96sigur8,94–14,824,40–9,7613,34–24,59mai sigur8,11–15,653,66–10,5011,77–26,15
Șuturi blocate
62%
13%
25%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,583,227,80sigur2,70–6,461,56–4,874,26–11,33mai sigur2,15–7,001,07–5,363,23–12,37
Cornere
75%
16%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,834,1310,96sigur4,61–9,042,13–6,136,74–15,17mai sigur4,04–9,611,60–6,665,64–16,28
Posesie %
58%
38%
gazdeoaspețipredicție52,2147,94sigur45,42–59,0041,15–54,72mai sigur43,75–60,6739,48–56,39
Pase
68%
32%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5474911038sigur480–615424–557904–1172mai sigur462–633407–575869–1208
Precizie pase %
47%
48%
gazdeoaspețipredicție75,5775,70sigur71,55–79,6071,38–80,03mai sigur70,25–80,9070,07–81,34
Faulturi
45%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,9311,0121,95sigur8,10–13,778,07–13,9616,16–27,73mai sigur7,34–14,537,32–14,7114,66–29,23
Ofsaiduri
51%
23%
27%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,871,313,19sigur0,71–3,030,22–2,410,93–5,44mai sigur0,41–3,330,00–2,700,34–6,03
Cartonașe galbene
29%
23%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,351,763,11sigur0,30–2,400,63–2,890,93–5,29mai sigur0,03–2,660,34–3,180,37–5,85
Cartonașe roșii
87%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,060,080,14sigur0,00–0,220,00–0,270,00–0,49mai sigur0,00–0,370,00–0,400,00–0,77
Parade portar
24%
13%
63%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,884,287,15sigur1,44–4,312,72–5,844,16–10,15mai sigur1,05–4,702,30–6,263,35–10,96
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 2,27 1,31–3,24 1,05–3,49 | 1,18 0,32–2,03 0,10–2,26 | 3,45 1,63–5,28 1,15–5,75 | 62% 19% 19% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 6,37 4,51–8,24 4,02–8,73 | 4,27 2,53–6,02 2,06–6,48 | 10,65 7,04–14,25 6,09–15,21 | 69% 21% |
| Total șuturi | 17,35 13,42–21,27 12,33–22,36 | 11,20 7,64–14,76 6,68–15,72 | 28,55 21,06–36,03 19,01–38,08 | 86% |
| Șuturi din careu | 11,88 8,94–14,82 8,11–15,65 | 7,08 4,40–9,76 3,66–10,50 | 18,96 13,34–24,59 11,77–26,15 | 84% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,58 2,70–6,46 2,15–7,00 | 3,22 1,56–4,87 1,07–5,36 | 7,80 4,26–11,33 3,23–12,37 | 62% 13% 25% |
| Cornere | 6,83 4,61–9,04 4,04–9,61 | 4,13 2,13–6,13 1,60–6,66 | 10,96 6,74–15,17 5,64–16,28 | 75% 16% |
| Posesie % | 52,21 45,42–59,00 43,75–60,67 | 47,94 41,15–54,72 39,48–56,39 | — | 58% 38% |
| Pase | 547 480–615 462–633 | 491 424–557 407–575 | 1038 904–1172 869–1208 | 68% 32% |
| Precizie pase % | 75,57 71,55–79,60 70,25–80,90 | 75,70 71,38–80,03 70,07–81,34 | — | 47% 48% |
| Faulturi | 10,93 8,10–13,77 7,34–14,53 | 11,01 8,07–13,96 7,32–14,71 | 21,95 16,16–27,73 14,66–29,23 | 45% 46% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,87 0,71–3,03 0,41–3,33 | 1,31 0,22–2,41 0,00–2,70 | 3,19 0,93–5,44 0,34–6,03 | 51% 23% 27% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,35 0,30–2,40 0,03–2,66 | 1,76 0,63–2,89 0,34–3,18 | 3,11 0,93–5,29 0,37–5,85 | 29% 23% 47% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,06 0,00–0,22 0,00–0,37 | 0,08 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,40 | 0,14 0,00–0,49 0,00–0,77 | 87% |
| Parade portar | 2,88 1,44–4,31 1,05–4,70 | 4,28 2,72–5,84 2,30–6,26 | 7,15 4,16–10,15 3,35–10,96 | 24% 13% 63% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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