Premiership·Etapa 20·
Premiership·Etapa 20·Statistici estimate
Goluri
35%
26%
39%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,271,372,63sigur0,30–2,240,51–2,220,81–4,46mai sigur0,05–2,490,28–2,450,33–4,94
Șuturi pe poartă
42%
14%
45%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,394,528,90sigur2,53–6,252,77–6,265,30–12,51mai sigur2,04–6,742,31–6,724,34–13,47
Total șuturi
50%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,6713,1626,83sigur9,75–17,599,60–16,7219,34–34,32mai sigur8,65–18,698,64–17,6817,29–36,37
Șuturi din careu
41%
49%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,599,0117,61sigur5,65–11,546,33–11,6911,98–23,23mai sigur4,82–12,375,59–12,4310,42–24,80
Șuturi blocate
48%
14%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,093,697,78sigur2,20–5,972,04–5,354,24–11,31mai sigur1,66–6,511,55–5,843,21–12,35
Cornere
52%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,554,8910,44sigur3,33–7,762,89–6,896,23–14,65mai sigur2,76–8,332,36–7,435,12–15,76
Posesie %
47%
48%
gazdeoaspețipredicție49,7050,05sigur42,91–56,4943,26–56,83mai sigur41,24–58,1641,59–58,50
Pase
52%
48%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție435429863sigur368–502362–495730–997mai sigur350–520345–513694–1033
Precizie pase %
26%
70%
gazdeoaspețipredicție65,9170,46sigur61,88–69,9466,14–74,79mai sigur60,58–71,2364,83–76,10
Faulturi
40%
53%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,8313,6826,51sigur9,99–15,6610,74–16,6320,73–32,29mai sigur9,23–16,429,99–17,3819,22–33,80
Ofsaiduri
32%
23%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,431,703,14sigur0,27–2,590,61–2,800,88–5,39mai sigur0,00–2,890,32–3,080,29–5,98
Cartonașe galbene
34%
20%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,912,234,14sigur0,86–2,961,10–3,361,96–6,32mai sigur0,60–3,230,81–3,651,40–6,88
Cartonașe roșii
82%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,080,130,21sigur0,00–0,250,00–0,310,00–0,56mai sigur0,00–0,400,00–0,450,00–0,84
Parade portar
44%
16%
39%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,142,996,13sigur1,70–4,581,43–4,553,14–9,12mai sigur1,32–4,961,01–4,972,33–9,94
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,27 0,30–2,24 0,05–2,49 | 1,37 0,51–2,22 0,28–2,45 | 2,63 0,81–4,46 0,33–4,94 | 35% 26% 39% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,39 2,53–6,25 2,04–6,74 | 4,52 2,77–6,26 2,31–6,72 | 8,90 5,30–12,51 4,34–13,47 | 42% 14% 45% |
| Total șuturi | 13,67 9,75–17,59 8,65–18,69 | 13,16 9,60–16,72 8,64–17,68 | 26,83 19,34–34,32 17,29–36,37 | 50% 42% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,59 5,65–11,54 4,82–12,37 | 9,01 6,33–11,69 5,59–12,43 | 17,61 11,98–23,23 10,42–24,80 | 41% 49% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,09 2,20–5,97 1,66–6,51 | 3,69 2,04–5,35 1,55–5,84 | 7,78 4,24–11,31 3,21–12,35 | 48% 14% 37% |
| Cornere | 5,55 3,33–7,76 2,76–8,33 | 4,89 2,89–6,89 2,36–7,43 | 10,44 6,23–14,65 5,12–15,76 | 52% 36% |
| Posesie % | 49,70 42,91–56,49 41,24–58,16 | 50,05 43,26–56,83 41,59–58,50 | — | 47% 48% |
| Pase | 435 368–502 350–520 | 429 362–495 345–513 | 863 730–997 694–1033 | 52% 48% |
| Precizie pase % | 65,91 61,88–69,94 60,58–71,23 | 70,46 66,14–74,79 64,83–76,10 | — | 26% 70% |
| Faulturi | 12,83 9,99–15,66 9,23–16,42 | 13,68 10,74–16,63 9,99–17,38 | 26,51 20,73–32,29 19,22–33,80 | 40% 53% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,43 0,27–2,59 0,00–2,89 | 1,70 0,61–2,80 0,32–3,08 | 3,14 0,88–5,39 0,29–5,98 | 32% 23% 44% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,91 0,86–2,96 0,60–3,23 | 2,23 1,10–3,36 0,81–3,65 | 4,14 1,96–6,32 1,40–6,88 | 34% 20% 46% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,08 0,00–0,25 0,00–0,40 | 0,13 0,00–0,31 0,00–0,45 | 0,21 0,00–0,56 0,00–0,84 | 82% |
| Parade portar | 3,14 1,70–4,58 1,32–4,96 | 2,99 1,43–4,55 1,01–4,97 | 6,13 3,14–9,12 2,33–9,94 | 44% 16% 39% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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