Premiership·Etapa 21·
Premiership·Etapa 21·Statistici estimate
Goluri
25%
23%
52%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,161,772,94sigur0,20–2,130,92–2,631,11–4,76mai sigur0,00–2,380,69–2,860,63–5,24
Șuturi pe poartă
25%
63%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,045,599,62sigur2,17–5,903,84–7,336,02–13,23mai sigur1,68–6,393,38–7,795,06–14,18
Total șuturi
28%
65%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,2215,8129,04sigur9,30–17,1512,25–19,3821,55–36,53mai sigur8,21–18,2411,29–20,3419,50–38,58
Șuturi din careu
27%
64%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,0810,1318,21sigur5,13–11,027,45–12,8112,58–23,83mai sigur4,30–11,856,71–13,5511,02–25,40
Șuturi blocate
39%
14%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,994,278,25sigur2,10–5,872,61–5,924,72–11,79mai sigur1,56–6,412,12–6,413,68–12,82
Cornere
30%
58%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,575,7410,32sigur2,36–6,793,74–7,746,10–14,53mai sigur1,79–7,363,21–8,285,00–15,64
Posesie %
20%
77%
gazdeoaspețipredicție43,7857,08sigur36,99–50,5750,30–63,87mai sigur35,32–52,2448,63–65,54
Pase
16%
84%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție418536953sigur350–485469–602820–1087mai sigur332–503452–620784–1123
Precizie pase %
13%
84%
gazdeoaspețipredicție68,3776,48sigur64,34–72,4072,16–80,81mai sigur63,05–73,6970,85–82,12
Faulturi
33%
59%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,3711,9422,31sigur7,54–13,218,99–14,8816,53–28,09mai sigur6,78–13,978,24–15,6315,02–29,60
Ofsaiduri
38%
23%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,621,623,23sigur0,46–2,780,53–2,710,98–5,49mai sigur0,15–3,080,24–3,000,39–6,08
Cartonașe galbene
36%
22%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,761,913,67sigur0,71–2,810,78–3,041,50–5,85mai sigur0,45–3,080,49–3,330,94–6,41
Cartonașe roșii
82%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,100,110,21sigur0,00–0,270,00–0,290,00–0,56mai sigur0,00–0,410,00–0,430,00–0,84
Parade portar
51%
16%
33%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,352,806,15sigur1,92–4,791,24–4,353,16–9,14mai sigur1,53–5,180,82–4,782,35–9,96
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,16 0,20–2,13 0,00–2,38 | 1,77 0,92–2,63 0,69–2,86 | 2,94 1,11–4,76 0,63–5,24 | 25% 23% 52% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,04 2,17–5,90 1,68–6,39 | 5,59 3,84–7,33 3,38–7,79 | 9,62 6,02–13,23 5,06–14,18 | 25% 63% |
| Total șuturi | 13,22 9,30–17,15 8,21–18,24 | 15,81 12,25–19,38 11,29–20,34 | 29,04 21,55–36,53 19,50–38,58 | 28% 65% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,08 5,13–11,02 4,30–11,85 | 10,13 7,45–12,81 6,71–13,55 | 18,21 12,58–23,83 11,02–25,40 | 27% 64% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,99 2,10–5,87 1,56–6,41 | 4,27 2,61–5,92 2,12–6,41 | 8,25 4,72–11,79 3,68–12,82 | 39% 14% 47% |
| Cornere | 4,57 2,36–6,79 1,79–7,36 | 5,74 3,74–7,74 3,21–8,28 | 10,32 6,10–14,53 5,00–15,64 | 30% 58% |
| Posesie % | 43,78 36,99–50,57 35,32–52,24 | 57,08 50,30–63,87 48,63–65,54 | — | 20% 77% |
| Pase | 418 350–485 332–503 | 536 469–602 452–620 | 953 820–1087 784–1123 | 16% 84% |
| Precizie pase % | 68,37 64,34–72,40 63,05–73,69 | 76,48 72,16–80,81 70,85–82,12 | — | 13% 84% |
| Faulturi | 10,37 7,54–13,21 6,78–13,97 | 11,94 8,99–14,88 8,24–15,63 | 22,31 16,53–28,09 15,02–29,60 | 33% 59% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,62 0,46–2,78 0,15–3,08 | 1,62 0,53–2,71 0,24–3,00 | 3,23 0,98–5,49 0,39–6,08 | 38% 23% 38% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,76 0,71–2,81 0,45–3,08 | 1,91 0,78–3,04 0,49–3,33 | 3,67 1,50–5,85 0,94–6,41 | 36% 22% 42% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,10 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,41 | 0,11 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,43 | 0,21 0,00–0,56 0,00–0,84 | 82% |
| Parade portar | 3,35 1,92–4,79 1,53–5,18 | 2,80 1,24–4,35 0,82–4,78 | 6,15 3,16–9,14 2,35–9,96 | 51% 16% 33% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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