Premiership·Etapa 23·
Premiership·Etapa 23·Statistici estimate
Goluri
43%
24%
33%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,651,423,07sigur0,68–2,620,57–2,281,25–4,89mai sigur0,43–2,870,34–2,500,77–5,37
Șuturi pe poartă
42%
45%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,904,999,88sigur3,03–6,763,24–6,736,28–13,49mai sigur2,55–7,252,78–7,205,32–14,45
Total șuturi
55%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,5513,3927,94sigur10,62–18,479,82–16,9520,45–35,42mai sigur9,53–19,578,86–17,9118,40–37,47
Șuturi din careu
58%
33%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,828,4418,26sigur6,88–12,765,76–11,1312,64–23,89mai sigur6,05–13,595,03–11,8611,07–25,45
Șuturi blocate
51%
14%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,123,557,67sigur2,24–6,001,90–5,214,14–11,21mai sigur1,69–6,541,41–5,703,10–12,24
Cornere
50%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,715,2310,94sigur3,49–7,923,23–7,236,73–15,15mai sigur2,92–8,492,70–7,775,62–16,26
Posesie %
18%
78%
gazdeoaspețipredicție43,0957,27sigur36,30–49,8850,49–64,06mai sigur34,63–51,5548,81–65,73
Pase
13%
87%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție405539943sigur338–472472–605810–1077mai sigur319–490455–623774–1113
Precizie pase %
87%
gazdeoaspețipredicție67,4476,53sigur63,42–71,4772,21–80,85mai sigur62,12–72,7770,90–82,16
Faulturi
41%
50%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,3111,8523,16sigur8,48–14,158,91–14,8017,38–28,95mai sigur7,72–14,918,16–15,5415,88–30,45
Ofsaiduri
37%
21%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,922,043,96sigur0,76–3,080,94–3,131,71–6,21mai sigur0,46–3,380,66–3,421,12–6,80
Cartonașe galbene
39%
23%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,611,593,20sigur0,56–2,660,46–2,721,02–5,38mai sigur0,29–2,930,17–3,010,47–5,94
Cartonașe roșii
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,090,080,17sigur0,00–0,250,00–0,270,00–0,52mai sigur0,00–0,400,00–0,400,00–0,80
Parade portar
42%
16%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,163,166,33sigur1,73–4,601,61–4,723,33–9,32mai sigur1,34–4,991,18–5,142,52–10,13
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,65 0,68–2,62 0,43–2,87 | 1,42 0,57–2,28 0,34–2,50 | 3,07 1,25–4,89 0,77–5,37 | 43% 24% 33% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,90 3,03–6,76 2,55–7,25 | 4,99 3,24–6,73 2,78–7,20 | 9,88 6,28–13,49 5,32–14,45 | 42% 45% |
| Total șuturi | 14,55 10,62–18,47 9,53–19,57 | 13,39 9,82–16,95 8,86–17,91 | 27,94 20,45–35,42 18,40–37,47 | 55% 38% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,82 6,88–12,76 6,05–13,59 | 8,44 5,76–11,13 5,03–11,86 | 18,26 12,64–23,89 11,07–25,45 | 58% 33% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,12 2,24–6,00 1,69–6,54 | 3,55 1,90–5,21 1,41–5,70 | 7,67 4,14–11,21 3,10–12,24 | 51% 14% 35% |
| Cornere | 5,71 3,49–7,92 2,92–8,49 | 5,23 3,23–7,23 2,70–7,77 | 10,94 6,73–15,15 5,62–16,26 | 50% 38% |
| Posesie % | 43,09 36,30–49,88 34,63–51,55 | 57,27 50,49–64,06 48,81–65,73 | — | 18% 78% |
| Pase | 405 338–472 319–490 | 539 472–605 455–623 | 943 810–1077 774–1113 | 13% 87% |
| Precizie pase % | 67,44 63,42–71,47 62,12–72,77 | 76,53 72,21–80,85 70,90–82,16 | — | 87% |
| Faulturi | 11,31 8,48–14,15 7,72–14,91 | 11,85 8,91–14,80 8,16–15,54 | 23,16 17,38–28,95 15,88–30,45 | 41% 50% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,92 0,76–3,08 0,46–3,38 | 2,04 0,94–3,13 0,66–3,42 | 3,96 1,71–6,21 1,12–6,80 | 37% 21% 42% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,61 0,56–2,66 0,29–2,93 | 1,59 0,46–2,72 0,17–3,01 | 3,20 1,02–5,38 0,47–5,94 | 39% 23% 38% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,09 0,00–0,25 0,00–0,40 | 0,08 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,40 | 0,17 0,00–0,52 0,00–0,80 | 85% |
| Parade portar | 3,16 1,73–4,60 1,34–4,99 | 3,16 1,61–4,72 1,18–5,14 | 6,33 3,33–9,32 2,52–10,13 | 42% 16% 42% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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