Premiership·Etapa 23·
Premiership·Etapa 23·Statistici estimate
Goluri
35%
28%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,171,212,38sigur0,20–2,140,36–2,070,56–4,21mai sigur0,00–2,390,13–2,300,08–4,69
Șuturi pe poartă
52%
14%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,423,808,23sigur2,56–6,292,06–5,544,62–11,83mai sigur2,07–6,781,59–6,013,66–12,79
Total șuturi
59%
33%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,3411,6625,00sigur9,41–17,268,09–15,2217,51–32,48mai sigur8,32–18,367,13–16,1815,46–34,53
Șuturi din careu
53%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,427,6216,03sigur5,47–11,364,94–10,3010,41–21,66mai sigur4,64–12,194,20–11,048,84–23,22
Șuturi blocate
42%
15%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,553,577,12sigur1,66–5,431,92–5,233,59–10,66mai sigur1,12–5,971,43–5,722,55–11,69
Cornere
43%
13%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,694,689,37sigur2,48–6,902,68–6,685,16–13,59mai sigur1,90–7,482,15–7,224,05–14,69
Posesie %
54%
41%
gazdeoaspețipredicție51,5048,72sigur44,71–58,2941,93–55,50mai sigur43,04–59,9640,26–57,17
Pase
61%
39%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție465431896sigur397–532365–498762–1030mai sigur379–550347–515727–1065
Precizie pase %
29%
67%
gazdeoaspețipredicție65,6269,43sigur61,59–69,6465,10–73,75mai sigur60,29–70,9463,80–75,06
Faulturi
44%
49%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,1113,4326,54sigur10,27–15,9510,48–16,3720,76–32,32mai sigur9,52–16,719,74–17,1219,25–33,83
Ofsaiduri
39%
23%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,641,603,24sigur0,48–2,800,51–2,700,99–5,50mai sigur0,18–3,100,22–2,990,40–6,09
Cartonașe galbene
34%
21%
45%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,852,133,98sigur0,80–2,901,00–3,251,80–6,16mai sigur0,54–3,170,71–3,551,24–6,71
Cartonașe roșii
83%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,090,110,20sigur0,00–0,250,00–0,300,00–0,55mai sigur0,00–0,400,00–0,430,00–0,83
Parade portar
33%
17%
50%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,673,195,85sigur1,23–4,111,63–4,742,86–8,85mai sigur0,85–4,491,20–5,172,05–9,66
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,17 0,20–2,14 0,00–2,39 | 1,21 0,36–2,07 0,13–2,30 | 2,38 0,56–4,21 0,08–4,69 | 35% 28% 37% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,42 2,56–6,29 2,07–6,78 | 3,80 2,06–5,54 1,59–6,01 | 8,23 4,62–11,83 3,66–12,79 | 52% 14% 35% |
| Total șuturi | 13,34 9,41–17,26 8,32–18,36 | 11,66 8,09–15,22 7,13–16,18 | 25,00 17,51–32,48 15,46–34,53 | 59% 33% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,42 5,47–11,36 4,64–12,19 | 7,62 4,94–10,30 4,20–11,04 | 16,03 10,41–21,66 8,84–23,22 | 53% 37% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,55 1,66–5,43 1,12–5,97 | 3,57 1,92–5,23 1,43–5,72 | 7,12 3,59–10,66 2,55–11,69 | 42% 15% 43% |
| Cornere | 4,69 2,48–6,90 1,90–7,48 | 4,68 2,68–6,68 2,15–7,22 | 9,37 5,16–13,59 4,05–14,69 | 43% 13% 43% |
| Posesie % | 51,50 44,71–58,29 43,04–59,96 | 48,72 41,93–55,50 40,26–57,17 | — | 54% 41% |
| Pase | 465 397–532 379–550 | 431 365–498 347–515 | 896 762–1030 727–1065 | 61% 39% |
| Precizie pase % | 65,62 61,59–69,64 60,29–70,94 | 69,43 65,10–73,75 63,80–75,06 | — | 29% 67% |
| Faulturi | 13,11 10,27–15,95 9,52–16,71 | 13,43 10,48–16,37 9,74–17,12 | 26,54 20,76–32,32 19,25–33,83 | 44% 49% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,64 0,48–2,80 0,18–3,10 | 1,60 0,51–2,70 0,22–2,99 | 3,24 0,99–5,50 0,40–6,09 | 39% 23% 38% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,85 0,80–2,90 0,54–3,17 | 2,13 1,00–3,25 0,71–3,55 | 3,98 1,80–6,16 1,24–6,71 | 34% 21% 45% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,09 0,00–0,25 0,00–0,40 | 0,11 0,00–0,30 0,00–0,43 | 0,20 0,00–0,55 0,00–0,83 | 83% |
| Parade portar | 2,67 1,23–4,11 0,85–4,49 | 3,19 1,63–4,74 1,20–5,17 | 5,85 2,86–8,85 2,05–9,66 | 33% 17% 50% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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