Premiership·Etapa 24·
Premiership·Etapa 24·Statistici estimate
Goluri
67%
20%
13%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,000,752,75sigur1,03–2,970,00–1,600,93–4,57mai sigur0,78–3,220,00–1,830,45–5,05
Șuturi pe poartă
89%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,642,509,14sigur4,77–8,500,76–4,245,53–12,74mai sigur4,29–8,990,29–4,714,58–13,70
Total șuturi
98%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție18,517,6726,18sigur14,59–22,444,11–11,2418,70–33,67mai sigur13,50–23,533,15–12,2016,65–35,72
Șuturi din careu
96%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,304,7917,09sigur9,36–15,242,11–7,4711,47–22,71mai sigur8,53–16,071,37–8,219,90–24,28
Șuturi blocate
83%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,172,107,27sigur3,28–7,050,45–3,763,73–10,80mai sigur2,74–7,590,00–4,252,70–11,84
Cornere
84%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,933,2910,23sigur4,72–9,151,29–5,296,01–14,44mai sigur4,15–9,720,76–5,834,91–15,55
Posesie %
70%
26%
gazdeoaspețipredicție55,3845,27sigur48,59–62,1738,48–52,05mai sigur46,92–63,8436,81–53,72
Pase
81%
19%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție503400903sigur436–570333–466769–1037mai sigur418–589316–484734–1072
Precizie pase %
56%
39%
gazdeoaspețipredicție69,1067,43sigur65,07–73,1363,11–71,76mai sigur63,78–74,4261,80–73,07
Faulturi
43%
49%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,0313,3926,42sigur10,20–15,8710,44–16,3320,64–32,20mai sigur9,44–16,639,69–17,0819,13–33,70
Ofsaiduri
40%
23%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,661,603,26sigur0,50–2,820,51–2,691,01–5,52mai sigur0,20–3,120,22–2,980,42–6,11
Cartonașe galbene
20%
19%
60%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,292,323,61sigur0,24–2,341,19–3,451,43–5,79mai sigur0,00–2,610,90–3,740,87–6,35
Cartonașe roșii
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,050,110,17sigur0,00–0,210,00–0,300,00–0,52mai sigur0,00–0,360,00–0,430,00–0,80
Parade portar
78%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,084,566,63sigur0,64–3,523,00–6,113,64–9,63mai sigur0,26–3,902,57–6,542,83–10,44
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 2,00 1,03–2,97 0,78–3,22 | 0,75 0,00–1,60 0,00–1,83 | 2,75 0,93–4,57 0,45–5,05 | 67% 20% 13% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 6,64 4,77–8,50 4,29–8,99 | 2,50 0,76–4,24 0,29–4,71 | 9,14 5,53–12,74 4,58–13,70 | 89% |
| Total șuturi | 18,51 14,59–22,44 13,50–23,53 | 7,67 4,11–11,24 3,15–12,20 | 26,18 18,70–33,67 16,65–35,72 | 98% |
| Șuturi din careu | 12,30 9,36–15,24 8,53–16,07 | 4,79 2,11–7,47 1,37–8,21 | 17,09 11,47–22,71 9,90–24,28 | 96% |
| Șuturi blocate | 5,17 3,28–7,05 2,74–7,59 | 2,10 0,45–3,76 0,00–4,25 | 7,27 3,73–10,80 2,70–11,84 | 83% |
| Cornere | 6,93 4,72–9,15 4,15–9,72 | 3,29 1,29–5,29 0,76–5,83 | 10,23 6,01–14,44 4,91–15,55 | 84% |
| Posesie % | 55,38 48,59–62,17 46,92–63,84 | 45,27 38,48–52,05 36,81–53,72 | — | 70% 26% |
| Pase | 503 436–570 418–589 | 400 333–466 316–484 | 903 769–1037 734–1072 | 81% 19% |
| Precizie pase % | 69,10 65,07–73,13 63,78–74,42 | 67,43 63,11–71,76 61,80–73,07 | — | 56% 39% |
| Faulturi | 13,03 10,20–15,87 9,44–16,63 | 13,39 10,44–16,33 9,69–17,08 | 26,42 20,64–32,20 19,13–33,70 | 43% 49% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,66 0,50–2,82 0,20–3,12 | 1,60 0,51–2,69 0,22–2,98 | 3,26 1,01–5,52 0,42–6,11 | 40% 23% 37% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,29 0,24–2,34 0,00–2,61 | 2,32 1,19–3,45 0,90–3,74 | 3,61 1,43–5,79 0,87–6,35 | 20% 19% 60% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,05 0,00–0,21 0,00–0,36 | 0,11 0,00–0,30 0,00–0,43 | 0,17 0,00–0,52 0,00–0,80 | 85% |
| Parade portar | 2,08 0,64–3,52 0,26–3,90 | 4,56 3,00–6,11 2,57–6,54 | 6,63 3,64–9,63 2,83–10,44 | 78% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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