Premiership·Etapa 25·
Premiership·Etapa 25·Statistici estimate
Goluri
69%
18%
13%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,380,943,32sigur1,41–3,340,09–1,801,50–5,14mai sigur1,16–3,590,00–2,031,02–5,62
Șuturi pe poartă
83%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,833,3110,13sigur4,96–8,691,56–5,056,53–13,74mai sigur4,47–9,181,10–5,515,57–14,69
Total șuturi
92%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție18,1610,1828,34sigur14,24–22,096,61–13,7420,85–35,83mai sigur13,15–23,185,65–14,7018,80–37,88
Șuturi din careu
90%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,466,5218,98sigur9,52–15,403,84–9,2013,35–24,60mai sigur8,69–16,233,10–9,9411,79–26,17
Șuturi blocate
72%
17%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,802,707,50sigur2,92–6,681,04–4,353,96–11,03mai sigur2,38–7,230,55–4,842,93–12,07
Cornere
75%
16%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,693,9710,66sigur4,48–8,901,97–5,976,45–14,88mai sigur3,90–9,481,44–6,515,34–15,98
Posesie %
70%
26%
gazdeoaspețipredicție54,9045,04sigur48,11–61,6938,26–51,83mai sigur46,44–63,3636,59–53,50
Pase
80%
20%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție524422947sigur457–592356–489813–1080mai sigur439–610338–506777–1116
Precizie pase %
62%
33%
gazdeoaspețipredicție73,0870,25sigur69,05–77,1165,93–74,58mai sigur67,76–78,4164,62–75,88
Faulturi
42%
50%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,3811,8923,27sigur8,55–14,228,94–14,8317,49–29,05mai sigur7,79–14,988,19–15,5815,98–30,56
Ofsaiduri
54%
22%
23%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,881,153,03sigur0,72–3,040,06–2,240,78–5,29mai sigur0,42–3,340,00–2,530,19–5,88
Cartonașe galbene
22%
21%
57%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,282,153,44sigur0,23–2,331,02–3,281,26–5,62mai sigur0,00–2,600,73–3,570,70–6,17
Cartonașe roșii
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,050,120,17sigur0,00–0,210,00–0,310,00–0,52mai sigur0,00–0,360,00–0,440,00–0,80
Parade portar
15%
73%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,324,456,77sigur0,89–3,762,89–6,013,78–9,76mai sigur0,50–4,142,47–6,432,97–10,57
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 2,38 1,41–3,34 1,16–3,59 | 0,94 0,09–1,80 0,00–2,03 | 3,32 1,50–5,14 1,02–5,62 | 69% 18% 13% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 6,83 4,96–8,69 4,47–9,18 | 3,31 1,56–5,05 1,10–5,51 | 10,13 6,53–13,74 5,57–14,69 | 83% |
| Total șuturi | 18,16 14,24–22,09 13,15–23,18 | 10,18 6,61–13,74 5,65–14,70 | 28,34 20,85–35,83 18,80–37,88 | 92% |
| Șuturi din careu | 12,46 9,52–15,40 8,69–16,23 | 6,52 3,84–9,20 3,10–9,94 | 18,98 13,35–24,60 11,79–26,17 | 90% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,80 2,92–6,68 2,38–7,23 | 2,70 1,04–4,35 0,55–4,84 | 7,50 3,96–11,03 2,93–12,07 | 72% 17% |
| Cornere | 6,69 4,48–8,90 3,90–9,48 | 3,97 1,97–5,97 1,44–6,51 | 10,66 6,45–14,88 5,34–15,98 | 75% 16% |
| Posesie % | 54,90 48,11–61,69 46,44–63,36 | 45,04 38,26–51,83 36,59–53,50 | — | 70% 26% |
| Pase | 524 457–592 439–610 | 422 356–489 338–506 | 947 813–1080 777–1116 | 80% 20% |
| Precizie pase % | 73,08 69,05–77,11 67,76–78,41 | 70,25 65,93–74,58 64,62–75,88 | — | 62% 33% |
| Faulturi | 11,38 8,55–14,22 7,79–14,98 | 11,89 8,94–14,83 8,19–15,58 | 23,27 17,49–29,05 15,98–30,56 | 42% 50% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,88 0,72–3,04 0,42–3,34 | 1,15 0,06–2,24 0,00–2,53 | 3,03 0,78–5,29 0,19–5,88 | 54% 22% 23% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,28 0,23–2,33 0,00–2,60 | 2,15 1,02–3,28 0,73–3,57 | 3,44 1,26–5,62 0,70–6,17 | 22% 21% 57% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,05 0,00–0,21 0,00–0,36 | 0,12 0,00–0,31 0,00–0,44 | 0,17 0,00–0,52 0,00–0,80 | 85% |
| Parade portar | 2,32 0,89–3,76 0,50–4,14 | 4,45 2,89–6,01 2,47–6,43 | 6,77 3,78–9,76 2,97–10,57 | 15% 73% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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