Premiership·Etapa 26·
Premiership·Etapa 26·Statistici estimate
Goluri
41%
25%
34%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,471,302,77sigur0,50–2,440,45–2,160,95–4,59mai sigur0,25–2,690,22–2,390,47–5,07
Șuturi pe poartă
44%
13%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,844,849,67sigur2,97–6,703,09–6,586,07–13,28mai sigur2,49–7,192,63–7,045,11–14,23
Total șuturi
48%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,8813,6027,48sigur9,95–17,8010,04–17,1619,99–34,96mai sigur8,86–18,899,08–18,1217,94–37,01
Șuturi din careu
45%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,888,9217,80sigur5,94–11,826,24–11,6012,18–23,42mai sigur5,11–12,655,50–12,3410,61–24,99
Șuturi blocate
44%
15%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,603,497,08sigur1,71–5,481,83–5,143,55–10,62mai sigur1,17–6,021,34–5,632,51–11,65
Cornere
47%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,575,2910,86sigur3,35–7,783,29–7,296,64–15,07mai sigur2,78–8,352,76–7,825,54–16,18
Posesie %
45%
50%
gazdeoaspețipredicție49,8650,93sigur43,07–56,6644,15–57,72mai sigur41,40–58,3242,48–59,39
Pase
51%
48%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție450445895sigur383–517379–512761–1029mai sigur364–535361–529726–1064
Precizie pase %
44%
51%
gazdeoaspețipredicție70,3770,98sigur66,35–74,4066,66–75,30mai sigur65,05–75,7065,35–76,61
Faulturi
28%
64%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,5512,8323,39sigur7,72–13,399,89–15,7817,61–29,17mai sigur6,96–14,159,14–16,5316,10–30,68
Ofsaiduri
48%
21%
31%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,061,643,70sigur0,90–3,220,55–2,731,45–5,96mai sigur0,60–3,530,26–3,020,86–6,55
Cartonașe galbene
32%
22%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,581,943,52sigur0,53–2,630,81–3,071,34–5,70mai sigur0,27–2,900,52–3,360,79–6,26
Cartonașe roșii
84%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,080,110,18sigur0,00–0,240,00–0,290,00–0,53mai sigur0,00–0,390,00–0,430,00–0,81
Parade portar
38%
16%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,033,316,34sigur1,59–4,461,75–4,873,34–9,33mai sigur1,20–4,851,33–5,292,53–10,14
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,47 0,50–2,44 0,25–2,69 | 1,30 0,45–2,16 0,22–2,39 | 2,77 0,95–4,59 0,47–5,07 | 41% 25% 34% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,84 2,97–6,70 2,49–7,19 | 4,84 3,09–6,58 2,63–7,04 | 9,67 6,07–13,28 5,11–14,23 | 44% 13% 43% |
| Total șuturi | 13,88 9,95–17,80 8,86–18,89 | 13,60 10,04–17,16 9,08–18,12 | 27,48 19,99–34,96 17,94–37,01 | 48% 44% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,88 5,94–11,82 5,11–12,65 | 8,92 6,24–11,60 5,50–12,34 | 17,80 12,18–23,42 10,61–24,99 | 45% 46% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,60 1,71–5,48 1,17–6,02 | 3,49 1,83–5,14 1,34–5,63 | 7,08 3,55–10,62 2,51–11,65 | 44% 15% 41% |
| Cornere | 5,57 3,35–7,78 2,78–8,35 | 5,29 3,29–7,29 2,76–7,82 | 10,86 6,64–15,07 5,54–16,18 | 47% 41% |
| Posesie % | 49,86 43,07–56,66 41,40–58,32 | 50,93 44,15–57,72 42,48–59,39 | — | 45% 50% |
| Pase | 450 383–517 364–535 | 445 379–512 361–529 | 895 761–1029 726–1064 | 51% 48% |
| Precizie pase % | 70,37 66,35–74,40 65,05–75,70 | 70,98 66,66–75,30 65,35–76,61 | — | 44% 51% |
| Faulturi | 10,55 7,72–13,39 6,96–14,15 | 12,83 9,89–15,78 9,14–16,53 | 23,39 17,61–29,17 16,10–30,68 | 28% 64% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,06 0,90–3,22 0,60–3,53 | 1,64 0,55–2,73 0,26–3,02 | 3,70 1,45–5,96 0,86–6,55 | 48% 21% 31% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,58 0,53–2,63 0,27–2,90 | 1,94 0,81–3,07 0,52–3,36 | 3,52 1,34–5,70 0,79–6,26 | 32% 22% 46% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,08 0,00–0,24 0,00–0,39 | 0,11 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,43 | 0,18 0,00–0,53 0,00–0,81 | 84% |
| Parade portar | 3,03 1,59–4,46 1,20–4,85 | 3,31 1,75–4,87 1,33–5,29 | 6,34 3,34–9,33 2,53–10,14 | 38% 16% 46% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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