Premiership·Etapa 26·
Premiership·Etapa 26·Statistici estimate
Goluri
69%
19%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,200,823,02sigur1,24–3,170,00–1,681,20–4,85mai sigur0,98–3,420,00–1,900,72–5,33
Șuturi pe poartă
87%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,522,719,23sigur4,66–8,380,97–4,455,63–12,84mai sigur4,17–8,870,50–4,924,67–13,79
Total șuturi
98%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție20,758,9029,65sigur16,83–24,685,34–12,4622,16–37,14mai sigur15,73–25,774,38–13,4220,11–39,19
Șuturi din careu
95%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,025,5218,54sigur10,08–15,962,83–8,2012,91–24,16mai sigur9,25–16,792,10–8,9311,35–25,73
Șuturi blocate
83%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,812,548,35sigur3,93–7,690,88–4,194,81–11,88mai sigur3,39–8,240,39–4,683,78–12,92
Cornere
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție7,523,6411,16sigur5,31–9,741,64–5,646,95–15,38mai sigur4,74–10,311,11–6,185,84–16,49
Posesie %
88%
gazdeoaspețipredicție60,4339,15sigur53,64–67,2232,36–45,93mai sigur51,97–68,8930,69–47,60
Pase
96%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție558349907sigur491–625283–416773–1041mai sigur472–643265–433738–1076
Precizie pase %
85%
gazdeoaspețipredicție74,6866,13sigur70,65–78,7161,81–70,46mai sigur69,36–80,0060,50–71,76
Faulturi
40%
52%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,0511,7522,80sigur8,22–13,898,80–14,6917,02–28,59mai sigur7,46–14,658,06–15,4415,52–30,09
Ofsaiduri
57%
22%
22%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,961,133,10sigur0,80–3,120,04–2,230,84–5,35mai sigur0,50–3,420,00–2,520,25–5,94
Cartonașe galbene
23%
22%
56%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,181,973,15sigur0,13–2,230,84–3,100,97–5,33mai sigur0,00–2,500,55–3,390,41–5,88
Cartonașe roșii
87%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,050,100,15sigur0,00–0,210,00–0,290,00–0,49mai sigur0,00–0,360,00–0,420,00–0,78
Parade portar
77%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,944,316,25sigur0,51–3,382,75–5,863,26–9,24mai sigur0,12–3,772,32–6,292,44–10,05
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 2,20 1,24–3,17 0,98–3,42 | 0,82 0,00–1,68 0,00–1,90 | 3,02 1,20–4,85 0,72–5,33 | 69% 19% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 6,52 4,66–8,38 4,17–8,87 | 2,71 0,97–4,45 0,50–4,92 | 9,23 5,63–12,84 4,67–13,79 | 87% |
| Total șuturi | 20,75 16,83–24,68 15,73–25,77 | 8,90 5,34–12,46 4,38–13,42 | 29,65 22,16–37,14 20,11–39,19 | 98% |
| Șuturi din careu | 13,02 10,08–15,96 9,25–16,79 | 5,52 2,83–8,20 2,10–8,93 | 18,54 12,91–24,16 11,35–25,73 | 95% |
| Șuturi blocate | 5,81 3,93–7,69 3,39–8,24 | 2,54 0,88–4,19 0,39–4,68 | 8,35 4,81–11,88 3,78–12,92 | 83% |
| Cornere | 7,52 5,31–9,74 4,74–10,31 | 3,64 1,64–5,64 1,11–6,18 | 11,16 6,95–15,38 5,84–16,49 | 85% |
| Posesie % | 60,43 53,64–67,22 51,97–68,89 | 39,15 32,36–45,93 30,69–47,60 | — | 88% |
| Pase | 558 491–625 472–643 | 349 283–416 265–433 | 907 773–1041 738–1076 | 96% |
| Precizie pase % | 74,68 70,65–78,71 69,36–80,00 | 66,13 61,81–70,46 60,50–71,76 | — | 85% |
| Faulturi | 11,05 8,22–13,89 7,46–14,65 | 11,75 8,80–14,69 8,06–15,44 | 22,80 17,02–28,59 15,52–30,09 | 40% 52% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,96 0,80–3,12 0,50–3,42 | 1,13 0,04–2,23 0,00–2,52 | 3,10 0,84–5,35 0,25–5,94 | 57% 22% 22% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,18 0,13–2,23 0,00–2,50 | 1,97 0,84–3,10 0,55–3,39 | 3,15 0,97–5,33 0,41–5,88 | 23% 22% 56% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,05 0,00–0,21 0,00–0,36 | 0,10 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,42 | 0,15 0,00–0,49 0,00–0,78 | 87% |
| Parade portar | 1,94 0,51–3,38 0,12–3,77 | 4,31 2,75–5,86 2,32–6,29 | 6,25 3,26–9,24 2,44–10,05 | 77% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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