Premiership·Etapa 27·
Premiership·Etapa 27·Statistici estimate
Goluri
31%
26%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,211,492,70sigur0,24–2,180,63–2,340,88–4,52mai sigur0,00–2,430,41–2,570,40–5,00
Șuturi pe poartă
35%
13%
52%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,024,678,69sigur2,16–5,892,92–6,415,09–12,30mai sigur1,67–6,382,46–6,874,13–13,25
Total șuturi
35%
57%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,1914,6727,85sigur9,26–17,1111,11–18,2320,37–35,34mai sigur8,17–18,2010,15–19,1918,32–37,39
Șuturi din careu
33%
58%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,309,6217,91sigur5,35–11,246,94–12,3012,29–23,54mai sigur4,52–12,076,20–13,0410,72–25,10
Șuturi blocate
42%
14%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,994,048,02sigur2,11–5,872,38–5,694,49–11,56mai sigur1,56–6,411,89–6,183,45–12,59
Cornere
41%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,325,5410,86sigur3,10–7,533,54–7,546,64–15,07mai sigur2,53–8,103,01–8,075,54–16,18
Posesie %
34%
62%
gazdeoaspețipredicție46,9853,05sigur40,19–53,7746,27–59,84mai sigur38,52–55,4444,59–61,51
Pase
35%
64%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție404448852sigur336–471382–515718–986mai sigur318–489364–532683–1021
Precizie pase %
19%
77%
gazdeoaspețipredicție66,0672,30sigur62,03–70,0967,97–76,62mai sigur60,74–71,3966,67–77,93
Faulturi
41%
51%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,2612,8825,15sigur9,43–15,109,94–15,8319,36–30,93mai sigur8,67–15,869,19–16,5817,86–32,43
Ofsaiduri
31%
23%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,431,803,23sigur0,27–2,590,70–2,890,98–5,49mai sigur0,00–2,900,42–3,180,39–6,08
Cartonașe galbene
39%
21%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,901,913,81sigur0,85–2,950,78–3,041,63–5,99mai sigur0,58–3,220,49–3,331,08–6,55
Cartonașe roșii
82%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,100,110,21sigur0,00–0,260,00–0,290,00–0,56mai sigur0,00–0,410,00–0,430,00–0,84
Parade portar
45%
17%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,112,875,98sigur1,67–4,541,31–4,422,98–8,97mai sigur1,28–4,930,89–4,852,17–9,78
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,21 0,24–2,18 0,00–2,43 | 1,49 0,63–2,34 0,41–2,57 | 2,70 0,88–4,52 0,40–5,00 | 31% 26% 44% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,02 2,16–5,89 1,67–6,38 | 4,67 2,92–6,41 2,46–6,87 | 8,69 5,09–12,30 4,13–13,25 | 35% 13% 52% |
| Total șuturi | 13,19 9,26–17,11 8,17–18,20 | 14,67 11,11–18,23 10,15–19,19 | 27,85 20,37–35,34 18,32–37,39 | 35% 57% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,30 5,35–11,24 4,52–12,07 | 9,62 6,94–12,30 6,20–13,04 | 17,91 12,29–23,54 10,72–25,10 | 33% 58% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,99 2,11–5,87 1,56–6,41 | 4,04 2,38–5,69 1,89–6,18 | 8,02 4,49–11,56 3,45–12,59 | 42% 14% 43% |
| Cornere | 5,32 3,10–7,53 2,53–8,10 | 5,54 3,54–7,54 3,01–8,07 | 10,86 6,64–15,07 5,54–16,18 | 41% 47% |
| Posesie % | 46,98 40,19–53,77 38,52–55,44 | 53,05 46,27–59,84 44,59–61,51 | — | 34% 62% |
| Pase | 404 336–471 318–489 | 448 382–515 364–532 | 852 718–986 683–1021 | 35% 64% |
| Precizie pase % | 66,06 62,03–70,09 60,74–71,39 | 72,30 67,97–76,62 66,67–77,93 | — | 19% 77% |
| Faulturi | 12,26 9,43–15,10 8,67–15,86 | 12,88 9,94–15,83 9,19–16,58 | 25,15 19,36–30,93 17,86–32,43 | 41% 51% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,43 0,27–2,59 0,00–2,90 | 1,80 0,70–2,89 0,42–3,18 | 3,23 0,98–5,49 0,39–6,08 | 31% 23% 46% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,90 0,85–2,95 0,58–3,22 | 1,91 0,78–3,04 0,49–3,33 | 3,81 1,63–5,99 1,08–6,55 | 39% 21% 40% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,10 0,00–0,26 0,00–0,41 | 0,11 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,43 | 0,21 0,00–0,56 0,00–0,84 | 82% |
| Parade portar | 3,11 1,67–4,54 1,28–4,93 | 2,87 1,31–4,42 0,89–4,85 | 5,98 2,98–8,97 2,17–9,78 | 45% 17% 38% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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