Premiership·Etapa 29·
Premiership·Etapa 29·Statistici estimate
Goluri
60%
21%
19%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,041,073,11sigur1,07–3,010,22–1,931,29–4,93mai sigur0,82–3,260,00–2,160,81–5,41
Șuturi pe poartă
72%
18%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,933,619,55sigur4,07–7,791,87–5,365,94–13,15mai sigur3,58–8,281,40–5,824,99–14,11
Total șuturi
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție16,6710,6627,34sigur12,75–20,607,10–14,2319,85–34,82mai sigur11,66–21,696,14–15,1917,80–36,87
Șuturi din careu
79%
14%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,237,2218,45sigur8,29–14,174,54–9,9012,83–24,07mai sigur7,46–15,003,80–10,6411,26–25,64
Șuturi blocate
68%
20%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,213,318,53sigur3,33–7,101,66–4,974,99–12,06mai sigur2,79–7,641,17–5,463,96–13,10
Cornere
73%
18%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,564,0810,64sigur4,34–8,772,08–6,086,42–14,85mai sigur3,77–9,341,55–6,615,32–15,96
Posesie %
67%
28%
gazdeoaspețipredicție54,3245,69sigur47,53–61,1138,90–52,47mai sigur45,86–62,7837,23–54,15
Pase
78%
22%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție496402899sigur429–563336–469765–1032mai sigur411–582319–486729–1068
Precizie pase %
54%
41%
gazdeoaspețipredicție72,5671,26sigur68,53–76,5966,93–75,58mai sigur67,24–77,8865,62–76,89
Faulturi
35%
57%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,3212,7024,03sigur8,49–14,169,76–15,6518,24–29,81mai sigur7,73–14,929,01–16,3916,74–31,31
Ofsaiduri
44%
25%
31%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,511,242,75sigur0,35–2,670,15–2,330,50–5,01mai sigur0,05–2,970,00–2,620,00–5,60
Cartonașe galbene
21%
20%
59%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,242,193,43sigur0,19–2,291,06–3,311,25–5,60mai sigur0,00–2,560,76–3,610,69–6,16
Cartonașe roșii
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,050,120,17sigur0,00–0,210,00–0,310,00–0,52mai sigur0,00–0,360,00–0,440,00–0,80
Parade portar
21%
14%
65%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,333,816,14sigur0,89–3,762,26–5,373,15–9,13mai sigur0,50–4,151,83–5,792,33–9,94
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 2,04 1,07–3,01 0,82–3,26 | 1,07 0,22–1,93 0,00–2,16 | 3,11 1,29–4,93 0,81–5,41 | 60% 21% 19% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,93 4,07–7,79 3,58–8,28 | 3,61 1,87–5,36 1,40–5,82 | 9,55 5,94–13,15 4,99–14,11 | 72% 18% |
| Total șuturi | 16,67 12,75–20,60 11,66–21,69 | 10,66 7,10–14,23 6,14–15,19 | 27,34 19,85–34,82 17,80–36,87 | 86% |
| Șuturi din careu | 11,23 8,29–14,17 7,46–15,00 | 7,22 4,54–9,90 3,80–10,64 | 18,45 12,83–24,07 11,26–25,64 | 79% 14% |
| Șuturi blocate | 5,21 3,33–7,10 2,79–7,64 | 3,31 1,66–4,97 1,17–5,46 | 8,53 4,99–12,06 3,96–13,10 | 68% 20% |
| Cornere | 6,56 4,34–8,77 3,77–9,34 | 4,08 2,08–6,08 1,55–6,61 | 10,64 6,42–14,85 5,32–15,96 | 73% 18% |
| Posesie % | 54,32 47,53–61,11 45,86–62,78 | 45,69 38,90–52,47 37,23–54,15 | — | 67% 28% |
| Pase | 496 429–563 411–582 | 402 336–469 319–486 | 899 765–1032 729–1068 | 78% 22% |
| Precizie pase % | 72,56 68,53–76,59 67,24–77,88 | 71,26 66,93–75,58 65,62–76,89 | — | 54% 41% |
| Faulturi | 11,32 8,49–14,16 7,73–14,92 | 12,70 9,76–15,65 9,01–16,39 | 24,03 18,24–29,81 16,74–31,31 | 35% 57% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,51 0,35–2,67 0,05–2,97 | 1,24 0,15–2,33 0,00–2,62 | 2,75 0,50–5,01 0,00–5,60 | 44% 25% 31% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,24 0,19–2,29 0,00–2,56 | 2,19 1,06–3,31 0,76–3,61 | 3,43 1,25–5,60 0,69–6,16 | 21% 20% 59% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,05 0,00–0,21 0,00–0,36 | 0,12 0,00–0,31 0,00–0,44 | 0,17 0,00–0,52 0,00–0,80 | 85% |
| Parade portar | 2,33 0,89–3,76 0,50–4,15 | 3,81 2,26–5,37 1,83–5,79 | 6,14 3,15–9,13 2,33–9,94 | 21% 14% 65% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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