Premiership·Etapa 30·
Premiership·Etapa 30·Statistici estimate
Goluri
20%
22%
58%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,051,922,97sigur0,08–2,011,07–2,781,14–4,79mai sigur0,00–2,270,84–3,000,66–5,27
Șuturi pe poartă
23%
64%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,354,918,26sigur1,49–5,213,17–6,654,65–11,86mai sigur1,00–5,702,70–7,123,70–12,82
Total șuturi
19%
75%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,9314,9125,84sigur7,00–14,8511,35–18,4818,36–33,33mai sigur5,91–15,9510,39–19,4416,31–35,38
Șuturi din careu
16%
77%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,409,9016,30sigur3,46–9,347,22–12,5810,67–21,92mai sigur2,63–10,176,48–13,329,11–23,49
Șuturi blocate
27%
14%
59%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,114,237,34sigur1,23–4,992,58–5,883,81–10,88mai sigur0,68–5,542,09–6,382,77–11,91
Cornere
25%
64%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,315,9310,24sigur2,09–6,523,93–7,936,03–14,46mai sigur1,52–7,103,40–8,474,92–15,56
Posesie %
19%
78%
gazdeoaspețipredicție43,4257,36sigur36,63–50,2150,57–64,14mai sigur34,96–51,8848,90–65,81
Pase
20%
80%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție380481861sigur313–447414–547727–994mai sigur295–465397–565691–1030
Precizie pase %
90%
gazdeoaspețipredicție62,8173,37sigur58,78–66,8469,05–77,70mai sigur57,48–68,1367,74–79,01
Faulturi
46%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,6112,6425,25sigur9,77–15,449,70–15,5919,47–31,03mai sigur9,01–16,208,95–16,3317,96–32,53
Ofsaiduri
30%
23%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,391,803,20sigur0,23–2,550,71–2,900,94–5,45mai sigur0,00–2,850,42–3,180,35–6,04
Cartonașe galbene
46%
21%
34%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,081,783,86sigur1,03–3,130,65–2,911,68–6,04mai sigur0,77–3,400,36–3,201,13–6,60
Cartonașe roșii
79%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,150,100,25sigur0,00–0,310,00–0,290,00–0,60mai sigur0,00–0,460,00–0,420,00–0,88
Parade portar
58%
16%
26%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,332,345,66sigur1,89–4,760,78–3,902,67–8,66mai sigur1,50–5,150,36–4,321,86–9,47
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,05 0,08–2,01 0,00–2,27 | 1,92 1,07–2,78 0,84–3,00 | 2,97 1,14–4,79 0,66–5,27 | 20% 22% 58% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 3,35 1,49–5,21 1,00–5,70 | 4,91 3,17–6,65 2,70–7,12 | 8,26 4,65–11,86 3,70–12,82 | 23% 64% |
| Total șuturi | 10,93 7,00–14,85 5,91–15,95 | 14,91 11,35–18,48 10,39–19,44 | 25,84 18,36–33,33 16,31–35,38 | 19% 75% |
| Șuturi din careu | 6,40 3,46–9,34 2,63–10,17 | 9,90 7,22–12,58 6,48–13,32 | 16,30 10,67–21,92 9,11–23,49 | 16% 77% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,11 1,23–4,99 0,68–5,54 | 4,23 2,58–5,88 2,09–6,38 | 7,34 3,81–10,88 2,77–11,91 | 27% 14% 59% |
| Cornere | 4,31 2,09–6,52 1,52–7,10 | 5,93 3,93–7,93 3,40–8,47 | 10,24 6,03–14,46 4,92–15,56 | 25% 64% |
| Posesie % | 43,42 36,63–50,21 34,96–51,88 | 57,36 50,57–64,14 48,90–65,81 | — | 19% 78% |
| Pase | 380 313–447 295–465 | 481 414–547 397–565 | 861 727–994 691–1030 | 20% 80% |
| Precizie pase % | 62,81 58,78–66,84 57,48–68,13 | 73,37 69,05–77,70 67,74–79,01 | — | 90% |
| Faulturi | 12,61 9,77–15,44 9,01–16,20 | 12,64 9,70–15,59 8,95–16,33 | 25,25 19,47–31,03 17,96–32,53 | 46% 46% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,39 0,23–2,55 0,00–2,85 | 1,80 0,71–2,90 0,42–3,18 | 3,20 0,94–5,45 0,35–6,04 | 30% 23% 47% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,08 1,03–3,13 0,77–3,40 | 1,78 0,65–2,91 0,36–3,20 | 3,86 1,68–6,04 1,13–6,60 | 46% 21% 34% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,15 0,00–0,31 0,00–0,46 | 0,10 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,42 | 0,25 0,00–0,60 0,00–0,88 | 79% |
| Parade portar | 3,33 1,89–4,76 1,50–5,15 | 2,34 0,78–3,90 0,36–4,32 | 5,66 2,67–8,66 1,86–9,47 | 58% 16% 26% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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