Premiership·Etapa 30·
Premiership·Etapa 30·Statistici estimate
Goluri
52%
24%
25%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,741,132,87sigur0,77–2,710,28–1,991,05–4,70mai sigur0,52–2,960,05–2,220,57–5,18
Șuturi pe poartă
64%
24%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,734,079,81sigur3,87–7,602,33–5,826,20–13,41mai sigur3,38–8,091,86–6,285,25–14,37
Total șuturi
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție16,6910,5827,27sigur12,77–20,627,01–14,1419,78–34,75mai sigur11,68–21,716,05–15,1017,73–36,81
Șuturi din careu
81%
13%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,337,0518,38sigur8,39–14,274,36–9,7312,75–24,00mai sigur7,56–15,103,63–10,4611,19–25,57
Șuturi blocate
73%
16%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,862,667,52sigur2,98–6,751,00–4,313,98–11,05mai sigur2,44–7,290,51–4,802,95–12,09
Cornere
66%
23%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,304,4210,72sigur4,08–8,512,42–6,426,51–14,93mai sigur3,51–9,081,89–6,955,40–16,04
Posesie %
35%
61%
gazdeoaspețipredicție47,3252,85sigur40,53–54,1146,06–59,63mai sigur38,86–55,7844,39–61,30
Pase
30%
70%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție418481899sigur351–485414–547765–1032mai sigur333–503397–565729–1068
Precizie pase %
19%
77%
gazdeoaspețipredicție68,9175,14sigur64,88–72,9470,81–79,46mai sigur63,59–74,2369,50–80,77
Faulturi
36%
56%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,8113,0624,86sigur8,97–14,6410,11–16,0019,08–30,65mai sigur8,21–15,409,36–16,7517,58–32,15
Ofsaiduri
38%
22%
39%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,741,763,50sigur0,58–2,900,67–2,851,24–5,75mai sigur0,28–3,200,38–3,140,66–6,34
Cartonașe galbene
24%
20%
55%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,442,233,68sigur0,39–2,491,11–3,361,50–5,86mai sigur0,13–2,760,81–3,650,94–6,41
Cartonașe roșii
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,060,100,17sigur0,00–0,220,00–0,290,00–0,51mai sigur0,00–0,370,00–0,420,00–0,80
Parade portar
25%
14%
61%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,733,936,66sigur1,30–4,172,38–5,493,67–9,66mai sigur0,91–4,551,95–5,912,86–10,47
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,74 0,77–2,71 0,52–2,96 | 1,13 0,28–1,99 0,05–2,22 | 2,87 1,05–4,70 0,57–5,18 | 52% 24% 25% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,73 3,87–7,60 3,38–8,09 | 4,07 2,33–5,82 1,86–6,28 | 9,81 6,20–13,41 5,25–14,37 | 64% 24% |
| Total șuturi | 16,69 12,77–20,62 11,68–21,71 | 10,58 7,01–14,14 6,05–15,10 | 27,27 19,78–34,75 17,73–36,81 | 86% |
| Șuturi din careu | 11,33 8,39–14,27 7,56–15,10 | 7,05 4,36–9,73 3,63–10,46 | 18,38 12,75–24,00 11,19–25,57 | 81% 13% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,86 2,98–6,75 2,44–7,29 | 2,66 1,00–4,31 0,51–4,80 | 7,52 3,98–11,05 2,95–12,09 | 73% 16% |
| Cornere | 6,30 4,08–8,51 3,51–9,08 | 4,42 2,42–6,42 1,89–6,95 | 10,72 6,51–14,93 5,40–16,04 | 66% 23% |
| Posesie % | 47,32 40,53–54,11 38,86–55,78 | 52,85 46,06–59,63 44,39–61,30 | — | 35% 61% |
| Pase | 418 351–485 333–503 | 481 414–547 397–565 | 899 765–1032 729–1068 | 30% 70% |
| Precizie pase % | 68,91 64,88–72,94 63,59–74,23 | 75,14 70,81–79,46 69,50–80,77 | — | 19% 77% |
| Faulturi | 11,81 8,97–14,64 8,21–15,40 | 13,06 10,11–16,00 9,36–16,75 | 24,86 19,08–30,65 17,58–32,15 | 36% 56% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,74 0,58–2,90 0,28–3,20 | 1,76 0,67–2,85 0,38–3,14 | 3,50 1,24–5,75 0,66–6,34 | 38% 22% 39% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,44 0,39–2,49 0,13–2,76 | 2,23 1,11–3,36 0,81–3,65 | 3,68 1,50–5,86 0,94–6,41 | 24% 20% 55% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,06 0,00–0,22 0,00–0,37 | 0,10 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,42 | 0,17 0,00–0,51 0,00–0,80 | 85% |
| Parade portar | 2,73 1,30–4,17 0,91–4,55 | 3,93 2,38–5,49 1,95–5,91 | 6,66 3,67–9,66 2,86–10,47 | 25% 14% 61% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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