Premiership·Etapa 31·
Premiership·Etapa 31·Statistici estimate
Goluri
46%
25%
28%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,541,142,68sigur0,57–2,500,29–1,990,85–4,50mai sigur0,32–2,760,06–2,220,37–4,98
Șuturi pe poartă
61%
27%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,963,658,61sigur3,10–6,821,91–5,405,01–12,22mai sigur2,61–7,311,44–5,864,05–13,17
Total șuturi
74%
20%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,8511,1526,00sigur10,92–18,777,59–14,7118,51–33,48mai sigur9,83–19,866,63–15,6716,46–35,53
Șuturi din careu
71%
21%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,776,9816,75sigur6,83–12,724,30–9,6611,13–22,38mai sigur6,00–13,553,56–10,409,56–23,94
Șuturi blocate
56%
15%
29%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,933,026,95sigur2,04–5,811,37–4,683,41–10,48mai sigur1,50–6,350,88–5,172,38–11,52
Cornere
63%
26%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,934,3510,28sigur3,72–8,142,35–6,356,06–14,49mai sigur3,14–8,721,81–6,884,96–15,60
Posesie %
67%
29%
gazdeoaspețipredicție54,3246,00sigur47,53–61,1139,21–52,78mai sigur45,86–62,7837,54–54,45
Pase
78%
22%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție475381856sigur408–542315–447722–990mai sigur390–560297–465687–1025
Precizie pase %
47%
48%
gazdeoaspețipredicție66,8166,89sigur62,78–70,8462,57–71,22mai sigur61,49–72,1361,26–72,53
Faulturi
33%
60%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,4414,2226,66sigur9,60–15,2811,28–17,1720,88–32,45mai sigur8,85–16,0310,53–17,9219,38–33,95
Ofsaiduri
42%
23%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,761,583,34sigur0,60–2,920,49–2,681,09–5,59mai sigur0,30–3,220,20–2,960,50–6,18
Cartonașe galbene
32%
21%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,782,163,94sigur0,73–2,831,03–3,291,76–6,12mai sigur0,46–3,100,74–3,581,21–6,68
Cartonașe roșii
83%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,070,120,20sigur0,00–0,240,00–0,310,00–0,54mai sigur0,00–0,390,00–0,440,00–0,83
Parade portar
27%
16%
57%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,483,445,92sigur1,04–3,911,89–5,002,93–8,91mai sigur0,65–4,301,46–5,422,11–9,72
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,54 0,57–2,50 0,32–2,76 | 1,14 0,29–1,99 0,06–2,22 | 2,68 0,85–4,50 0,37–4,98 | 46% 25% 28% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,96 3,10–6,82 2,61–7,31 | 3,65 1,91–5,40 1,44–5,86 | 8,61 5,01–12,22 4,05–13,17 | 61% 27% |
| Total șuturi | 14,85 10,92–18,77 9,83–19,86 | 11,15 7,59–14,71 6,63–15,67 | 26,00 18,51–33,48 16,46–35,53 | 74% 20% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,77 6,83–12,72 6,00–13,55 | 6,98 4,30–9,66 3,56–10,40 | 16,75 11,13–22,38 9,56–23,94 | 71% 21% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,93 2,04–5,81 1,50–6,35 | 3,02 1,37–4,68 0,88–5,17 | 6,95 3,41–10,48 2,38–11,52 | 56% 15% 29% |
| Cornere | 5,93 3,72–8,14 3,14–8,72 | 4,35 2,35–6,35 1,81–6,88 | 10,28 6,06–14,49 4,96–15,60 | 63% 26% |
| Posesie % | 54,32 47,53–61,11 45,86–62,78 | 46,00 39,21–52,78 37,54–54,45 | — | 67% 29% |
| Pase | 475 408–542 390–560 | 381 315–447 297–465 | 856 722–990 687–1025 | 78% 22% |
| Precizie pase % | 66,81 62,78–70,84 61,49–72,13 | 66,89 62,57–71,22 61,26–72,53 | — | 47% 48% |
| Faulturi | 12,44 9,60–15,28 8,85–16,03 | 14,22 11,28–17,17 10,53–17,92 | 26,66 20,88–32,45 19,38–33,95 | 33% 60% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,76 0,60–2,92 0,30–3,22 | 1,58 0,49–2,68 0,20–2,96 | 3,34 1,09–5,59 0,50–6,18 | 42% 23% 35% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,78 0,73–2,83 0,46–3,10 | 2,16 1,03–3,29 0,74–3,58 | 3,94 1,76–6,12 1,21–6,68 | 32% 21% 47% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,07 0,00–0,24 0,00–0,39 | 0,12 0,00–0,31 0,00–0,44 | 0,20 0,00–0,54 0,00–0,83 | 83% |
| Parade portar | 2,48 1,04–3,91 0,65–4,30 | 3,44 1,89–5,00 1,46–5,42 | 5,92 2,93–8,91 2,11–9,72 | 27% 16% 57% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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