Premiership·Etapa 33·
Premiership·Etapa 33·Statistici estimate
Goluri
61%
20%
19%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,121,083,20sigur1,15–3,090,23–1,941,38–5,02mai sigur0,90–3,340,00–2,160,90–5,50
Șuturi pe poartă
65%
24%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,084,3410,42sigur4,22–7,942,60–6,086,82–14,03mai sigur3,73–8,432,13–6,555,86–14,98
Total șuturi
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție17,8611,6629,52sigur13,94–21,798,10–15,2222,03–37,01mai sigur12,84–22,887,14–16,1819,98–39,06
Șuturi din careu
81%
13%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,607,3318,93sigur8,66–14,544,65–10,0113,31–24,55mai sigur7,83–15,373,91–10,7511,74–26,12
Șuturi blocate
68%
21%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,253,368,61sigur3,37–7,131,71–5,025,08–12,15mai sigur2,82–7,671,22–5,514,04–13,18
Cornere
80%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,943,7510,69sigur4,73–9,151,75–5,756,48–14,91mai sigur4,15–9,731,22–6,295,37–16,01
Posesie %
83%
14%
gazdeoaspețipredicție58,9641,52sigur52,17–65,7534,73–48,30mai sigur50,50–67,4233,06–49,98
Pase
92%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție575409984sigur508–642342–475850–1117mai sigur490–660325–493814–1153
Precizie pase %
68%
27%
gazdeoaspețipredicție76,1071,88sigur72,07–80,1367,55–76,20mai sigur70,78–81,4366,24–77,51
Faulturi
56%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,5410,3121,84sigur8,70–14,377,36–13,2516,06–27,62mai sigur7,94–15,136,61–14,0014,55–29,13
Ofsaiduri
43%
24%
33%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,601,382,98sigur0,44–2,760,29–2,470,73–5,23mai sigur0,14–3,060,00–2,760,14–5,82
Cartonașe galbene
31%
23%
45%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,391,723,11sigur0,34–2,440,59–2,850,93–5,29mai sigur0,07–2,710,30–3,140,37–5,84
Cartonașe roșii
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,060,090,15sigur0,00–0,220,00–0,280,00–0,50mai sigur0,00–0,370,00–0,410,00–0,78
Parade portar
25%
14%
60%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,773,976,73sigur1,33–4,202,41–5,523,74–9,73mai sigur0,94–4,591,99–5,952,93–10,54
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 2,12 1,15–3,09 0,90–3,34 | 1,08 0,23–1,94 0,00–2,16 | 3,20 1,38–5,02 0,90–5,50 | 61% 20% 19% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 6,08 4,22–7,94 3,73–8,43 | 4,34 2,60–6,08 2,13–6,55 | 10,42 6,82–14,03 5,86–14,98 | 65% 24% |
| Total șuturi | 17,86 13,94–21,79 12,84–22,88 | 11,66 8,10–15,22 7,14–16,18 | 29,52 22,03–37,01 19,98–39,06 | 85% |
| Șuturi din careu | 11,60 8,66–14,54 7,83–15,37 | 7,33 4,65–10,01 3,91–10,75 | 18,93 13,31–24,55 11,74–26,12 | 81% 13% |
| Șuturi blocate | 5,25 3,37–7,13 2,82–7,67 | 3,36 1,71–5,02 1,22–5,51 | 8,61 5,08–12,15 4,04–13,18 | 68% 21% |
| Cornere | 6,94 4,73–9,15 4,15–9,73 | 3,75 1,75–5,75 1,22–6,29 | 10,69 6,48–14,91 5,37–16,01 | 80% |
| Posesie % | 58,96 52,17–65,75 50,50–67,42 | 41,52 34,73–48,30 33,06–49,98 | — | 83% 14% |
| Pase | 575 508–642 490–660 | 409 342–475 325–493 | 984 850–1117 814–1153 | 92% |
| Precizie pase % | 76,10 72,07–80,13 70,78–81,43 | 71,88 67,55–76,20 66,24–77,51 | — | 68% 27% |
| Faulturi | 11,54 8,70–14,37 7,94–15,13 | 10,31 7,36–13,25 6,61–14,00 | 21,84 16,06–27,62 14,55–29,13 | 56% 36% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,60 0,44–2,76 0,14–3,06 | 1,38 0,29–2,47 0,00–2,76 | 2,98 0,73–5,23 0,14–5,82 | 43% 24% 33% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,39 0,34–2,44 0,07–2,71 | 1,72 0,59–2,85 0,30–3,14 | 3,11 0,93–5,29 0,37–5,84 | 31% 23% 45% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,06 0,00–0,22 0,00–0,37 | 0,09 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,41 | 0,15 0,00–0,50 0,00–0,78 | 86% |
| Parade portar | 2,77 1,33–4,20 0,94–4,59 | 3,97 2,41–5,52 1,99–5,95 | 6,73 3,74–9,73 2,93–10,54 | 25% 14% 60% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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