Premiership·Etapa 33·
Premiership·Etapa 33·Statistici estimate
Goluri
35%
25%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,371,502,87sigur0,40–2,340,65–2,361,05–4,69mai sigur0,15–2,590,42–2,590,57–5,17
Șuturi pe poartă
35%
13%
52%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,074,718,78sigur2,20–5,932,97–6,455,17–12,38mai sigur1,71–6,422,50–6,924,22–13,34
Total șuturi
35%
57%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,7313,1724,90sigur7,80–15,659,61–16,7317,41–32,38mai sigur6,71–16,748,65–17,6915,36–34,44
Șuturi din careu
36%
55%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție7,868,8516,71sigur4,92–10,806,17–11,5311,09–22,33mai sigur4,09–11,635,43–12,279,52–23,90
Șuturi blocate
39%
15%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,603,857,45sigur1,72–5,492,20–5,503,92–10,99mai sigur1,18–6,031,71–6,002,88–12,03
Cornere
38%
50%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,765,2510,01sigur2,54–6,973,25–7,255,80–14,22mai sigur1,97–7,552,72–7,784,69–15,33
Posesie %
33%
63%
gazdeoaspețipredicție46,7753,37sigur39,98–53,5646,59–60,16mai sigur38,31–55,2344,92–61,83
Pase
41%
59%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție430457887sigur363–498390–523754–1021mai sigur345–516373–541718–1057
Precizie pase %
16%
81%
gazdeoaspețipredicție64,4171,68sigur60,38–68,4467,36–76,00mai sigur59,09–69,7366,05–77,31
Faulturi
52%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,7711,9724,74sigur9,93–15,619,02–14,9118,96–30,52mai sigur9,18–16,378,27–15,6617,45–32,03
Ofsaiduri
29%
21%
50%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,522,053,57sigur0,36–2,680,95–3,141,31–5,82mai sigur0,06–2,980,66–3,430,73–6,41
Cartonașe galbene
47%
22%
32%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,991,613,59sigur0,94–3,040,48–2,741,42–5,77mai sigur0,67–3,300,19–3,030,86–6,33
Cartonașe roșii
81%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,130,100,23sigur0,00–0,290,00–0,280,00–0,58mai sigur0,00–0,440,00–0,420,00–0,86
Parade portar
49%
17%
34%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,112,625,73sigur1,67–4,541,07–4,182,74–8,72mai sigur1,28–4,930,64–4,611,93–9,54
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,37 0,40–2,34 0,15–2,59 | 1,50 0,65–2,36 0,42–2,59 | 2,87 1,05–4,69 0,57–5,17 | 35% 25% 41% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,07 2,20–5,93 1,71–6,42 | 4,71 2,97–6,45 2,50–6,92 | 8,78 5,17–12,38 4,22–13,34 | 35% 13% 52% |
| Total șuturi | 11,73 7,80–15,65 6,71–16,74 | 13,17 9,61–16,73 8,65–17,69 | 24,90 17,41–32,38 15,36–34,44 | 35% 57% |
| Șuturi din careu | 7,86 4,92–10,80 4,09–11,63 | 8,85 6,17–11,53 5,43–12,27 | 16,71 11,09–22,33 9,52–23,90 | 36% 55% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,60 1,72–5,49 1,18–6,03 | 3,85 2,20–5,50 1,71–6,00 | 7,45 3,92–10,99 2,88–12,03 | 39% 15% 46% |
| Cornere | 4,76 2,54–6,97 1,97–7,55 | 5,25 3,25–7,25 2,72–7,78 | 10,01 5,80–14,22 4,69–15,33 | 38% 50% |
| Posesie % | 46,77 39,98–53,56 38,31–55,23 | 53,37 46,59–60,16 44,92–61,83 | — | 33% 63% |
| Pase | 430 363–498 345–516 | 457 390–523 373–541 | 887 754–1021 718–1057 | 41% 59% |
| Precizie pase % | 64,41 60,38–68,44 59,09–69,73 | 71,68 67,36–76,00 66,05–77,31 | — | 16% 81% |
| Faulturi | 12,77 9,93–15,61 9,18–16,37 | 11,97 9,02–14,91 8,27–15,66 | 24,74 18,96–30,52 17,45–32,03 | 52% 40% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,52 0,36–2,68 0,06–2,98 | 2,05 0,95–3,14 0,66–3,43 | 3,57 1,31–5,82 0,73–6,41 | 29% 21% 50% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,99 0,94–3,04 0,67–3,30 | 1,61 0,48–2,74 0,19–3,03 | 3,59 1,42–5,77 0,86–6,33 | 47% 22% 32% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,13 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,44 | 0,10 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,42 | 0,23 0,00–0,58 0,00–0,86 | 81% |
| Parade portar | 3,11 1,67–4,54 1,28–4,93 | 2,62 1,07–4,18 0,64–4,61 | 5,73 2,74–8,72 1,93–9,54 | 49% 17% 34% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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