Premier League·Etapa 6·
Premier League·Etapa 6·Statistici estimate
Goluri
47%
24%
29%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,621,232,85sigur0,65–2,590,37–2,081,03–4,67mai sigur0,40–2,840,14–2,310,55–5,15
Șuturi pe poartă
56%
32%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,234,309,53sigur3,37–7,102,55–6,045,93–13,14mai sigur2,88–7,592,09–6,514,97–14,09
Total șuturi
70%
23%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,8511,6226,46sigur10,92–18,778,05–15,1818,98–33,95mai sigur9,83–19,867,09–16,1416,92–36,00
Șuturi din careu
58%
33%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,828,4818,30sigur6,88–12,765,80–11,1712,68–23,93mai sigur6,05–13,595,07–11,9011,11–25,49
Șuturi blocate
64%
13%
23%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,312,877,18sigur2,43–6,201,22–4,523,65–10,72mai sigur1,89–6,740,72–5,022,61–11,75
Cornere
63%
26%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,054,4710,52sigur3,84–8,262,47–6,476,31–14,74mai sigur3,26–8,841,94–7,015,20–15,84
Posesie %
72%
24%
gazdeoaspețipredicție55,3144,40sigur48,52–62,1037,62–51,19mai sigur46,85–63,7735,95–52,86
Pase
81%
19%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție481378859sigur414–548311–444725–993mai sigur396–567294–462690–1028
Precizie pase %
58%
37%
gazdeoaspețipredicție71,2269,09sigur67,19–75,2564,76–73,41mai sigur65,90–76,5463,45–74,72
Faulturi
27%
66%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,2912,7323,02sigur7,45–13,129,79–15,6817,24–28,80mai sigur6,69–13,889,04–16,4215,73–30,31
Ofsaiduri
21%
16%
63%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,803,024,82sigur0,64–2,961,93–4,122,57–7,07mai sigur0,34–3,261,64–4,401,98–7,66
Cartonașe galbene
25%
19%
56%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,602,444,04sigur0,55–2,651,31–3,571,87–6,22mai sigur0,29–2,921,02–3,861,31–6,78
Cartonașe roșii
87%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,060,080,14sigur0,00–0,220,00–0,270,00–0,49mai sigur0,00–0,370,00–0,400,00–0,77
Parade portar
30%
16%
54%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,733,526,24sigur1,29–4,161,96–5,073,25–9,24mai sigur0,90–4,551,54–5,502,44–10,05
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,62 0,65–2,59 0,40–2,84 | 1,23 0,37–2,08 0,14–2,31 | 2,85 1,03–4,67 0,55–5,15 | 47% 24% 29% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,23 3,37–7,10 2,88–7,59 | 4,30 2,55–6,04 2,09–6,51 | 9,53 5,93–13,14 4,97–14,09 | 56% 32% |
| Total șuturi | 14,85 10,92–18,77 9,83–19,86 | 11,62 8,05–15,18 7,09–16,14 | 26,46 18,98–33,95 16,92–36,00 | 70% 23% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,82 6,88–12,76 6,05–13,59 | 8,48 5,80–11,17 5,07–11,90 | 18,30 12,68–23,93 11,11–25,49 | 58% 33% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,31 2,43–6,20 1,89–6,74 | 2,87 1,22–4,52 0,72–5,02 | 7,18 3,65–10,72 2,61–11,75 | 64% 13% 23% |
| Cornere | 6,05 3,84–8,26 3,26–8,84 | 4,47 2,47–6,47 1,94–7,01 | 10,52 6,31–14,74 5,20–15,84 | 63% 26% |
| Posesie % | 55,31 48,52–62,10 46,85–63,77 | 44,40 37,62–51,19 35,95–52,86 | — | 72% 24% |
| Pase | 481 414–548 396–567 | 378 311–444 294–462 | 859 725–993 690–1028 | 81% 19% |
| Precizie pase % | 71,22 67,19–75,25 65,90–76,54 | 69,09 64,76–73,41 63,45–74,72 | — | 58% 37% |
| Faulturi | 10,29 7,45–13,12 6,69–13,88 | 12,73 9,79–15,68 9,04–16,42 | 23,02 17,24–28,80 15,73–30,31 | 27% 66% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,80 0,64–2,96 0,34–3,26 | 3,02 1,93–4,12 1,64–4,40 | 4,82 2,57–7,07 1,98–7,66 | 21% 16% 63% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,60 0,55–2,65 0,29–2,92 | 2,44 1,31–3,57 1,02–3,86 | 4,04 1,87–6,22 1,31–6,78 | 25% 19% 56% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,06 0,00–0,22 0,00–0,37 | 0,08 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,40 | 0,14 0,00–0,49 0,00–0,77 | 87% |
| Parade portar | 2,73 1,29–4,16 0,90–4,55 | 3,52 1,96–5,07 1,54–5,50 | 6,24 3,25–9,24 2,44–10,05 | 30% 16% 54% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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