Premier League·Etapa 6·
Premier League·Etapa 6·Statistici estimate
Goluri
51%
25%
25%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,631,062,68sigur0,66–2,590,20–1,910,86–4,51mai sigur0,41–2,850,00–2,140,38–4,99
Șuturi pe poartă
52%
13%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,874,209,06sigur3,00–6,732,45–5,945,46–12,67mai sigur2,51–7,221,99–6,404,50–13,62
Total șuturi
54%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,5512,5226,06sigur9,62–17,478,95–16,0818,58–33,55mai sigur8,53–18,567,99–17,0416,53–35,60
Șuturi din careu
55%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,957,9216,87sigur6,01–11,905,23–10,6011,25–22,49mai sigur5,18–12,734,50–11,339,68–24,06
Șuturi blocate
52%
15%
33%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,983,327,30sigur2,09–5,861,67–4,973,76–10,83mai sigur1,55–6,401,18–5,472,73–11,87
Cornere
61%
27%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,934,5010,43sigur3,71–8,142,50–6,506,21–14,64mai sigur3,14–8,721,96–7,035,11–15,75
Posesie %
70%
26%
gazdeoaspețipredicție54,9845,34sigur48,19–61,7738,55–52,12mai sigur46,52–63,4436,88–53,79
Pase
81%
19%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție499396895sigur432–567329–462762–1029mai sigur414–585312–480726–1065
Precizie pase %
47%
48%
gazdeoaspețipredicție71,5571,63sigur67,52–75,5867,30–75,95mai sigur66,22–76,8765,99–77,26
Faulturi
34%
59%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,1512,7123,86sigur8,31–13,999,77–15,6618,08–29,65mai sigur7,56–14,749,02–16,4116,58–31,15
Ofsaiduri
38%
23%
39%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,641,653,29sigur0,48–2,800,56–2,751,04–5,55mai sigur0,18–3,100,27–3,030,45–6,14
Cartonașe galbene
32%
18%
49%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,132,614,74sigur1,08–3,181,48–3,742,56–6,92mai sigur0,82–3,451,19–4,032,01–7,48
Cartonașe roșii
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,080,090,17sigur0,00–0,240,00–0,280,00–0,52mai sigur0,00–0,390,00–0,410,00–0,80
Parade portar
38%
17%
45%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,883,095,98sigur1,45–4,321,54–4,652,99–8,97mai sigur1,06–4,711,11–5,072,17–9,78
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,63 0,66–2,59 0,41–2,85 | 1,06 0,20–1,91 0,00–2,14 | 2,68 0,86–4,51 0,38–4,99 | 51% 25% 25% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,87 3,00–6,73 2,51–7,22 | 4,20 2,45–5,94 1,99–6,40 | 9,06 5,46–12,67 4,50–13,62 | 52% 13% 35% |
| Total șuturi | 13,55 9,62–17,47 8,53–18,56 | 12,52 8,95–16,08 7,99–17,04 | 26,06 18,58–33,55 16,53–35,60 | 54% 38% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,95 6,01–11,90 5,18–12,73 | 7,92 5,23–10,60 4,50–11,33 | 16,87 11,25–22,49 9,68–24,06 | 55% 35% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,98 2,09–5,86 1,55–6,40 | 3,32 1,67–4,97 1,18–5,47 | 7,30 3,76–10,83 2,73–11,87 | 52% 15% 33% |
| Cornere | 5,93 3,71–8,14 3,14–8,72 | 4,50 2,50–6,50 1,96–7,03 | 10,43 6,21–14,64 5,11–15,75 | 61% 27% |
| Posesie % | 54,98 48,19–61,77 46,52–63,44 | 45,34 38,55–52,12 36,88–53,79 | — | 70% 26% |
| Pase | 499 432–567 414–585 | 396 329–462 312–480 | 895 762–1029 726–1065 | 81% 19% |
| Precizie pase % | 71,55 67,52–75,58 66,22–76,87 | 71,63 67,30–75,95 65,99–77,26 | — | 47% 48% |
| Faulturi | 11,15 8,31–13,99 7,56–14,74 | 12,71 9,77–15,66 9,02–16,41 | 23,86 18,08–29,65 16,58–31,15 | 34% 59% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,64 0,48–2,80 0,18–3,10 | 1,65 0,56–2,75 0,27–3,03 | 3,29 1,04–5,55 0,45–6,14 | 38% 23% 39% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,13 1,08–3,18 0,82–3,45 | 2,61 1,48–3,74 1,19–4,03 | 4,74 2,56–6,92 2,01–7,48 | 32% 18% 49% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,08 0,00–0,24 0,00–0,39 | 0,09 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,41 | 0,17 0,00–0,52 0,00–0,80 | 85% |
| Parade portar | 2,88 1,45–4,32 1,06–4,71 | 3,09 1,54–4,65 1,11–5,07 | 5,98 2,99–8,97 2,17–9,78 | 38% 17% 45% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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