Premier League·Etapa 6·
Premier League·Etapa 6·Statistici estimate
Goluri
28%
24%
48%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,241,682,93sigur0,27–2,210,83–2,541,10–4,75mai sigur0,02–2,460,60–2,770,62–5,23
Șuturi pe poartă
33%
54%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,525,369,87sigur2,65–6,383,61–7,106,27–13,48mai sigur2,16–6,873,15–7,565,31–14,43
Total șuturi
44%
48%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,5213,8027,31sigur9,59–17,4410,23–17,3619,83–34,80mai sigur8,50–18,549,27–18,3217,78–36,85
Șuturi din careu
37%
54%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,609,4818,08sigur5,65–11,546,80–12,1712,46–23,70mai sigur4,82–12,376,07–12,9010,89–25,27
Șuturi blocate
35%
14%
51%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,534,117,64sigur1,65–5,412,45–5,764,10–11,17mai sigur1,10–5,951,96–6,253,07–12,21
Cornere
41%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,885,119,99sigur2,67–7,093,11–7,115,77–14,20mai sigur2,09–7,672,57–7,644,66–15,31
Posesie %
85%
gazdeoaspețipredicție41,0359,53sigur34,24–47,8252,75–66,32mai sigur32,57–49,4951,08–67,99
Pase
94%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție382566947sigur315–449499–632814–1081mai sigur297–467482–650778–1117
Precizie pase %
89%
gazdeoaspețipredicție72,0181,85sigur67,98–76,0477,53–86,18mai sigur66,69–77,3376,22–87,49
Faulturi
64%
28%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,839,6221,45sigur8,99–14,676,68–12,5715,67–27,24mai sigur8,24–15,425,93–13,3214,17–28,74
Ofsaiduri
46%
18%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,652,355,00sigur1,49–3,811,26–3,442,75–7,25mai sigur1,19–4,110,97–3,732,16–7,84
Cartonașe galbene
50%
20%
30%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,321,784,10sigur1,27–3,370,65–2,911,92–6,28mai sigur1,00–3,630,36–3,201,37–6,84
Cartonașe roșii
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,100,070,16sigur0,00–0,260,00–0,250,00–0,51mai sigur0,00–0,410,00–0,380,00–0,79
Parade portar
43%
16%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,273,186,45sigur1,83–4,701,63–4,743,46–9,44mai sigur1,44–5,091,20–5,162,65–10,26
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,24 0,27–2,21 0,02–2,46 | 1,68 0,83–2,54 0,60–2,77 | 2,93 1,10–4,75 0,62–5,23 | 28% 24% 48% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,52 2,65–6,38 2,16–6,87 | 5,36 3,61–7,10 3,15–7,56 | 9,87 6,27–13,48 5,31–14,43 | 33% 54% |
| Total șuturi | 13,52 9,59–17,44 8,50–18,54 | 13,80 10,23–17,36 9,27–18,32 | 27,31 19,83–34,80 17,78–36,85 | 44% 48% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,60 5,65–11,54 4,82–12,37 | 9,48 6,80–12,17 6,07–12,90 | 18,08 12,46–23,70 10,89–25,27 | 37% 54% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,53 1,65–5,41 1,10–5,95 | 4,11 2,45–5,76 1,96–6,25 | 7,64 4,10–11,17 3,07–12,21 | 35% 14% 51% |
| Cornere | 4,88 2,67–7,09 2,09–7,67 | 5,11 3,11–7,11 2,57–7,64 | 9,99 5,77–14,20 4,66–15,31 | 41% 46% |
| Posesie % | 41,03 34,24–47,82 32,57–49,49 | 59,53 52,75–66,32 51,08–67,99 | — | 85% |
| Pase | 382 315–449 297–467 | 566 499–632 482–650 | 947 814–1081 778–1117 | 94% |
| Precizie pase % | 72,01 67,98–76,04 66,69–77,33 | 81,85 77,53–86,18 76,22–87,49 | — | 89% |
| Faulturi | 11,83 8,99–14,67 8,24–15,42 | 9,62 6,68–12,57 5,93–13,32 | 21,45 15,67–27,24 14,17–28,74 | 64% 28% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,65 1,49–3,81 1,19–4,11 | 2,35 1,26–3,44 0,97–3,73 | 5,00 2,75–7,25 2,16–7,84 | 46% 18% 36% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,32 1,27–3,37 1,00–3,63 | 1,78 0,65–2,91 0,36–3,20 | 4,10 1,92–6,28 1,37–6,84 | 50% 20% 30% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,10 0,00–0,26 0,00–0,41 | 0,07 0,00–0,25 0,00–0,38 | 0,16 0,00–0,51 0,00–0,79 | 86% |
| Parade portar | 3,27 1,83–4,70 1,44–5,09 | 3,18 1,63–4,74 1,20–5,16 | 6,45 3,46–9,44 2,65–10,26 | 43% 16% 41% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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