Premier League·Etapa 7·
Premier League·Etapa 7·Statistici estimate
Goluri
81%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,910,773,68sigur1,94–3,870,00–1,631,85–5,50mai sigur1,69–4,120,00–1,851,37–5,98
Șuturi pe poartă
88%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție7,583,3310,92sigur5,72–9,441,59–5,087,31–14,52mai sigur5,23–9,931,13–5,546,36–15,48
Total șuturi
97%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție20,279,4029,67sigur16,35–24,205,83–12,9622,18–37,16mai sigur15,26–25,294,87–13,9220,13–39,21
Șuturi din careu
96%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,975,9919,96sigur11,03–16,913,30–8,6714,33–25,58mai sigur10,20–17,742,57–9,4012,77–27,15
Șuturi blocate
89%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,721,917,63sigur3,84–7,610,26–3,564,10–11,17mai sigur3,30–8,150,00–4,053,06–12,20
Cornere
92%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,243,1111,35sigur6,03–10,461,11–5,117,14–15,57mai sigur5,46–11,030,58–5,646,03–16,67
Posesie %
98%
gazdeoaspețipredicție66,8732,50sigur60,08–73,6625,71–39,28mai sigur58,41–75,3324,04–40,95
Pase
100%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție673322995sigur606–740256–389862–1129mai sigur588–758238–406826–1165
Precizie pase %
95%
gazdeoaspețipredicție84,5271,47sigur80,49–88,5567,15–75,79mai sigur79,20–89,8465,84–77,10
Faulturi
30%
62%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,4911,4020,88sigur6,65–12,328,45–14,3415,10–26,66mai sigur5,89–13,087,70–15,0913,59–28,17
Ofsaiduri
27%
19%
54%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,672,414,08sigur0,51–2,831,32–3,501,83–6,34mai sigur0,21–3,141,03–3,791,24–6,93
Cartonașe galbene
21%
20%
59%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,212,153,36sigur0,16–2,261,02–3,281,18–5,54mai sigur0,00–2,520,73–3,570,62–6,10
Cartonașe roșii
89%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,040,070,11sigur0,00–0,200,00–0,260,00–0,46mai sigur0,00–0,350,00–0,390,00–0,74
Parade portar
77%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,284,706,97sigur0,84–3,713,14–6,253,98–9,97mai sigur0,45–4,102,72–6,683,17–10,78
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 2,91 1,94–3,87 1,69–4,12 | 0,77 0,00–1,63 0,00–1,85 | 3,68 1,85–5,50 1,37–5,98 | 81% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 7,58 5,72–9,44 5,23–9,93 | 3,33 1,59–5,08 1,13–5,54 | 10,92 7,31–14,52 6,36–15,48 | 88% |
| Total șuturi | 20,27 16,35–24,20 15,26–25,29 | 9,40 5,83–12,96 4,87–13,92 | 29,67 22,18–37,16 20,13–39,21 | 97% |
| Șuturi din careu | 13,97 11,03–16,91 10,20–17,74 | 5,99 3,30–8,67 2,57–9,40 | 19,96 14,33–25,58 12,77–27,15 | 96% |
| Șuturi blocate | 5,72 3,84–7,61 3,30–8,15 | 1,91 0,26–3,56 0,00–4,05 | 7,63 4,10–11,17 3,06–12,20 | 89% |
| Cornere | 8,24 6,03–10,46 5,46–11,03 | 3,11 1,11–5,11 0,58–5,64 | 11,35 7,14–15,57 6,03–16,67 | 92% |
| Posesie % | 66,87 60,08–73,66 58,41–75,33 | 32,50 25,71–39,28 24,04–40,95 | — | 98% |
| Pase | 673 606–740 588–758 | 322 256–389 238–406 | 995 862–1129 826–1165 | 100% |
| Precizie pase % | 84,52 80,49–88,55 79,20–89,84 | 71,47 67,15–75,79 65,84–77,10 | — | 95% |
| Faulturi | 9,49 6,65–12,32 5,89–13,08 | 11,40 8,45–14,34 7,70–15,09 | 20,88 15,10–26,66 13,59–28,17 | 30% 62% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,67 0,51–2,83 0,21–3,14 | 2,41 1,32–3,50 1,03–3,79 | 4,08 1,83–6,34 1,24–6,93 | 27% 19% 54% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,21 0,16–2,26 0,00–2,52 | 2,15 1,02–3,28 0,73–3,57 | 3,36 1,18–5,54 0,62–6,10 | 21% 20% 59% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,04 0,00–0,20 0,00–0,35 | 0,07 0,00–0,26 0,00–0,39 | 0,11 0,00–0,46 0,00–0,74 | 89% |
| Parade portar | 2,28 0,84–3,71 0,45–4,10 | 4,70 3,14–6,25 2,72–6,68 | 6,97 3,98–9,97 3,17–10,78 | 77% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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