Premier League·Etapa 8·
Premier League·Etapa 8·Statistici estimate
Goluri
54%
23%
23%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,821,102,92sigur0,85–2,790,25–1,951,10–4,74mai sigur0,60–3,040,02–2,180,62–5,22
Șuturi pe poartă
68%
21%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,923,919,84sigur4,06–7,792,17–5,666,23–13,44mai sigur3,57–8,281,70–6,125,28–14,40
Total șuturi
74%
20%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție15,4511,6427,09sigur11,52–19,378,08–15,2019,60–34,58mai sigur10,43–20,467,12–16,1617,55–36,63
Șuturi din careu
71%
22%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,137,3617,50sigur7,19–13,084,68–10,0411,87–23,12mai sigur6,36–13,913,94–10,7810,31–24,69
Șuturi blocate
57%
14%
30%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,473,487,95sigur2,59–6,351,83–5,144,42–11,49mai sigur2,04–6,891,34–5,633,38–12,52
Cornere
68%
21%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,104,0710,16sigur3,88–8,312,07–6,075,95–14,38mai sigur3,31–8,881,53–6,604,84–15,48
Posesie %
81%
16%
gazdeoaspețipredicție58,1642,52sigur51,37–64,9535,74–49,31mai sigur49,70–66,6234,07–50,98
Pase
88%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție537393929sigur469–604326–459795–1063mai sigur451–622309–477760–1098
Precizie pase %
64%
32%
gazdeoaspețipredicție74,3171,13sigur70,28–78,3466,80–75,45mai sigur68,99–79,6465,50–76,76
Faulturi
38%
54%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,0411,9823,02sigur8,20–13,889,03–14,9217,24–28,80mai sigur7,45–14,648,28–15,6715,73–30,31
Ofsaiduri
38%
23%
39%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,641,683,33sigur0,48–2,800,59–2,781,07–5,58mai sigur0,18–3,100,30–3,070,48–6,17
Cartonașe galbene
28%
19%
53%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,732,414,13sigur0,68–2,771,28–3,541,96–6,31mai sigur0,41–3,040,99–3,831,40–6,87
Cartonașe roșii
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,060,090,15sigur0,00–0,220,00–0,280,00–0,50mai sigur0,00–0,370,00–0,410,00–0,78
Parade portar
29%
15%
56%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,723,636,34sigur1,28–4,152,07–5,183,35–9,33mai sigur0,89–4,541,64–5,612,54–10,15
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,82 0,85–2,79 0,60–3,04 | 1,10 0,25–1,95 0,02–2,18 | 2,92 1,10–4,74 0,62–5,22 | 54% 23% 23% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,92 4,06–7,79 3,57–8,28 | 3,91 2,17–5,66 1,70–6,12 | 9,84 6,23–13,44 5,28–14,40 | 68% 21% |
| Total șuturi | 15,45 11,52–19,37 10,43–20,46 | 11,64 8,08–15,20 7,12–16,16 | 27,09 19,60–34,58 17,55–36,63 | 74% 20% |
| Șuturi din careu | 10,13 7,19–13,08 6,36–13,91 | 7,36 4,68–10,04 3,94–10,78 | 17,50 11,87–23,12 10,31–24,69 | 71% 22% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,47 2,59–6,35 2,04–6,89 | 3,48 1,83–5,14 1,34–5,63 | 7,95 4,42–11,49 3,38–12,52 | 57% 14% 30% |
| Cornere | 6,10 3,88–8,31 3,31–8,88 | 4,07 2,07–6,07 1,53–6,60 | 10,16 5,95–14,38 4,84–15,48 | 68% 21% |
| Posesie % | 58,16 51,37–64,95 49,70–66,62 | 42,52 35,74–49,31 34,07–50,98 | — | 81% 16% |
| Pase | 537 469–604 451–622 | 393 326–459 309–477 | 929 795–1063 760–1098 | 88% |
| Precizie pase % | 74,31 70,28–78,34 68,99–79,64 | 71,13 66,80–75,45 65,50–76,76 | — | 64% 32% |
| Faulturi | 11,04 8,20–13,88 7,45–14,64 | 11,98 9,03–14,92 8,28–15,67 | 23,02 17,24–28,80 15,73–30,31 | 38% 54% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,64 0,48–2,80 0,18–3,10 | 1,68 0,59–2,78 0,30–3,07 | 3,33 1,07–5,58 0,48–6,17 | 38% 23% 39% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,73 0,68–2,77 0,41–3,04 | 2,41 1,28–3,54 0,99–3,83 | 4,13 1,96–6,31 1,40–6,87 | 28% 19% 53% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,06 0,00–0,22 0,00–0,37 | 0,09 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,41 | 0,15 0,00–0,50 0,00–0,78 | 86% |
| Parade portar | 2,72 1,28–4,15 0,89–4,54 | 3,63 2,07–5,18 1,64–5,61 | 6,34 3,35–9,33 2,54–10,15 | 29% 15% 56% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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