Premier League·Etapa 8·
Premier League·Etapa 8·Statistici estimate
Goluri
35%
28%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,171,202,37sigur0,21–2,140,35–2,060,55–4,20mai sigur0,00–2,390,12–2,280,07–4,68
Șuturi pe poartă
45%
14%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,053,917,96sigur2,19–5,922,17–5,654,36–11,57mai sigur1,70–6,411,70–6,123,40–12,52
Total șuturi
57%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,6811,3123,99sigur8,75–16,607,75–14,8716,50–31,47mai sigur7,66–17,696,79–15,8314,45–33,53
Șuturi din careu
45%
45%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție7,977,9915,96sigur5,03–10,925,31–10,6710,34–21,58mai sigur4,20–11,754,57–11,408,77–23,15
Șuturi blocate
45%
15%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,843,707,53sigur1,96–5,722,04–5,354,00–11,07mai sigur1,41–6,261,55–5,842,96–12,10
Cornere
52%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,404,7410,13sigur3,18–7,612,74–6,745,92–14,35mai sigur2,61–8,182,21–7,274,81–15,45
Posesie %
34%
62%
gazdeoaspețipredicție47,5353,52sigur40,74–54,3246,73–60,30mai sigur39,07–55,9945,06–61,97
Pase
37%
63%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție391430821sigur324–458364–497688–955mai sigur306–476346–514652–991
Precizie pase %
23%
73%
gazdeoaspețipredicție66,0071,31sigur61,97–70,0366,99–75,64mai sigur60,68–71,3265,68–76,94
Faulturi
47%
45%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,4412,3624,80sigur9,60–15,289,41–15,3019,02–30,58mai sigur8,85–16,038,67–16,0517,51–32,09
Ofsaiduri
51%
22%
27%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,931,363,28sigur0,77–3,090,26–2,451,03–5,54mai sigur0,47–3,390,00–2,740,44–6,13
Cartonașe galbene
37%
20%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,972,104,07sigur0,92–3,020,97–3,231,89–6,25mai sigur0,66–3,290,68–3,521,33–6,80
Cartonașe roșii
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,090,080,17sigur0,00–0,250,00–0,270,00–0,52mai sigur0,00–0,400,00–0,400,00–0,80
Parade portar
36%
18%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,482,815,29sigur1,05–3,921,25–4,372,30–8,28mai sigur0,66–4,310,83–4,791,49–9,10
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,17 0,21–2,14 0,00–2,39 | 1,20 0,35–2,06 0,12–2,28 | 2,37 0,55–4,20 0,07–4,68 | 35% 28% 37% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,05 2,19–5,92 1,70–6,41 | 3,91 2,17–5,65 1,70–6,12 | 7,96 4,36–11,57 3,40–12,52 | 45% 14% 41% |
| Total șuturi | 12,68 8,75–16,60 7,66–17,69 | 11,31 7,75–14,87 6,79–15,83 | 23,99 16,50–31,47 14,45–33,53 | 57% 35% |
| Șuturi din careu | 7,97 5,03–10,92 4,20–11,75 | 7,99 5,31–10,67 4,57–11,40 | 15,96 10,34–21,58 8,77–23,15 | 45% 45% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,84 1,96–5,72 1,41–6,26 | 3,70 2,04–5,35 1,55–5,84 | 7,53 4,00–11,07 2,96–12,10 | 45% 15% 41% |
| Cornere | 5,40 3,18–7,61 2,61–8,18 | 4,74 2,74–6,74 2,21–7,27 | 10,13 5,92–14,35 4,81–15,45 | 52% 36% |
| Posesie % | 47,53 40,74–54,32 39,07–55,99 | 53,52 46,73–60,30 45,06–61,97 | — | 34% 62% |
| Pase | 391 324–458 306–476 | 430 364–497 346–514 | 821 688–955 652–991 | 37% 63% |
| Precizie pase % | 66,00 61,97–70,03 60,68–71,32 | 71,31 66,99–75,64 65,68–76,94 | — | 23% 73% |
| Faulturi | 12,44 9,60–15,28 8,85–16,03 | 12,36 9,41–15,30 8,67–16,05 | 24,80 19,02–30,58 17,51–32,09 | 47% 45% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,93 0,77–3,09 0,47–3,39 | 1,36 0,26–2,45 0,00–2,74 | 3,28 1,03–5,54 0,44–6,13 | 51% 22% 27% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,97 0,92–3,02 0,66–3,29 | 2,10 0,97–3,23 0,68–3,52 | 4,07 1,89–6,25 1,33–6,80 | 37% 20% 42% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,09 0,00–0,25 0,00–0,40 | 0,08 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,40 | 0,17 0,00–0,52 0,00–0,80 | 85% |
| Parade portar | 2,48 1,05–3,92 0,66–4,31 | 2,81 1,25–4,37 0,83–4,79 | 5,29 2,30–8,28 1,49–9,10 | 36% 18% 47% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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