Premier League·Etapa 9·
Premier League·Etapa 9·Statistici estimate
Goluri
55%
22%
23%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,891,143,03sigur0,92–2,860,28–1,991,21–4,85mai sigur0,67–3,110,06–2,220,73–5,33
Șuturi pe poartă
60%
28%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,634,349,98sigur3,77–7,502,60–6,096,37–13,58mai sigur3,28–7,992,14–6,555,42–14,54
Total șuturi
80%
15%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție15,9211,0927,00sigur11,99–19,847,53–14,6519,52–34,49mai sigur10,90–20,936,57–15,6117,47–36,54
Șuturi din careu
73%
20%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,188,0319,21sigur8,23–14,125,35–10,7113,59–24,83mai sigur7,40–14,954,61–11,4512,02–26,40
Șuturi blocate
70%
18%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,452,587,03sigur2,57–6,330,93–4,243,50–10,57mai sigur2,02–6,870,44–4,732,46–11,60
Cornere
66%
23%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,034,1810,21sigur3,82–8,252,18–6,186,00–14,42mai sigur3,25–8,821,64–6,714,89–15,53
Posesie %
58%
38%
gazdeoaspețipredicție52,0347,71sigur45,24–58,8240,93–54,50mai sigur43,57–60,4939,26–56,17
Pase
62%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție497458954sigur429–564391–524821–1088mai sigur411–582374–542785–1124
Precizie pase %
57%
38%
gazdeoaspețipredicție74,6172,83sigur70,58–78,6468,50–77,15mai sigur69,29–79,9367,19–78,46
Faulturi
39%
53%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,3811,2121,59sigur7,54–13,228,27–14,1615,81–27,37mai sigur6,79–13,977,52–14,9114,31–28,88
Ofsaiduri
27%
17%
56%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,032,894,92sigur0,87–3,191,80–3,982,66–7,17mai sigur0,57–3,491,51–4,272,07–7,76
Cartonașe galbene
23%
20%
57%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,452,333,78sigur0,40–2,501,21–3,461,60–5,96mai sigur0,13–2,760,91–3,751,05–6,52
Cartonașe roșii
88%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,060,080,14sigur0,00–0,220,00–0,260,00–0,48mai sigur0,00–0,370,00–0,400,00–0,77
Parade portar
29%
15%
56%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,753,626,37sigur1,31–4,182,07–5,183,38–9,36mai sigur0,92–4,571,64–5,602,57–10,18
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,89 0,92–2,86 0,67–3,11 | 1,14 0,28–1,99 0,06–2,22 | 3,03 1,21–4,85 0,73–5,33 | 55% 22% 23% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,63 3,77–7,50 3,28–7,99 | 4,34 2,60–6,09 2,14–6,55 | 9,98 6,37–13,58 5,42–14,54 | 60% 28% |
| Total șuturi | 15,92 11,99–19,84 10,90–20,93 | 11,09 7,53–14,65 6,57–15,61 | 27,00 19,52–34,49 17,47–36,54 | 80% 15% |
| Șuturi din careu | 11,18 8,23–14,12 7,40–14,95 | 8,03 5,35–10,71 4,61–11,45 | 19,21 13,59–24,83 12,02–26,40 | 73% 20% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,45 2,57–6,33 2,02–6,87 | 2,58 0,93–4,24 0,44–4,73 | 7,03 3,50–10,57 2,46–11,60 | 70% 18% |
| Cornere | 6,03 3,82–8,25 3,25–8,82 | 4,18 2,18–6,18 1,64–6,71 | 10,21 6,00–14,42 4,89–15,53 | 66% 23% |
| Posesie % | 52,03 45,24–58,82 43,57–60,49 | 47,71 40,93–54,50 39,26–56,17 | — | 58% 38% |
| Pase | 497 429–564 411–582 | 458 391–524 374–542 | 954 821–1088 785–1124 | 62% 37% |
| Precizie pase % | 74,61 70,58–78,64 69,29–79,93 | 72,83 68,50–77,15 67,19–78,46 | — | 57% 38% |
| Faulturi | 10,38 7,54–13,22 6,79–13,97 | 11,21 8,27–14,16 7,52–14,91 | 21,59 15,81–27,37 14,31–28,88 | 39% 53% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,03 0,87–3,19 0,57–3,49 | 2,89 1,80–3,98 1,51–4,27 | 4,92 2,66–7,17 2,07–7,76 | 27% 17% 56% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,45 0,40–2,50 0,13–2,76 | 2,33 1,21–3,46 0,91–3,75 | 3,78 1,60–5,96 1,05–6,52 | 23% 20% 57% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,06 0,00–0,22 0,00–0,37 | 0,08 0,00–0,26 0,00–0,40 | 0,14 0,00–0,48 0,00–0,77 | 88% |
| Parade portar | 2,75 1,31–4,18 0,92–4,57 | 3,62 2,07–5,18 1,64–5,60 | 6,37 3,38–9,36 2,57–10,18 | 29% 15% 56% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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