Premier League·Etapa 9·
Premier League·Etapa 9·Statistici estimate
Goluri
38%
27%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,271,222,48sigur0,30–2,230,36–2,070,66–4,31mai sigur0,05–2,480,14–2,300,18–4,79
Șuturi pe poartă
43%
14%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,254,298,54sigur2,39–6,112,55–6,034,94–12,15mai sigur1,90–6,602,08–6,503,98–13,10
Total șuturi
52%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,1612,4425,61sigur9,24–17,098,88–16,0018,12–33,09mai sigur8,15–18,187,92–16,9616,07–35,14
Șuturi din careu
47%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,658,4117,05sigur5,70–11,595,73–11,0911,43–22,68mai sigur4,87–12,424,99–11,839,86–24,24
Șuturi blocate
46%
15%
39%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,693,457,14sigur1,81–5,581,79–5,103,61–10,68mai sigur1,27–6,121,30–5,592,57–11,71
Cornere
48%
39%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,264,8910,15sigur3,05–7,482,89–6,895,94–14,37mai sigur2,48–8,052,35–7,424,83–15,47
Posesie %
55%
41%
gazdeoaspețipredicție51,8448,82sigur45,05–58,6342,03–55,60mai sigur43,38–60,3040,36–57,27
Pase
60%
39%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție422390812sigur355–489324–457678–946mai sigur336–507306–474643–981
Precizie pase %
35%
60%
gazdeoaspețipredicție65,9468,44sigur61,91–69,9764,11–72,76mai sigur60,61–71,2662,81–74,07
Faulturi
43%
49%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,5011,9023,40sigur8,66–14,348,96–14,8517,62–29,18mai sigur7,91–15,098,21–15,6016,12–30,69
Ofsaiduri
29%
20%
51%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,722,273,99sigur0,56–2,881,18–3,361,73–6,24mai sigur0,26–3,180,89–3,651,15–6,83
Cartonașe galbene
33%
21%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,772,133,89sigur0,72–2,811,00–3,251,71–6,07mai sigur0,45–3,080,70–3,551,15–6,63
Cartonașe roșii
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,080,090,16sigur0,00–0,240,00–0,270,00–0,51mai sigur0,00–0,390,00–0,410,00–0,79
Parade portar
40%
17%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,963,056,00sigur1,52–4,401,49–4,603,01–9,00mai sigur1,14–4,781,06–5,032,20–9,81
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,27 0,30–2,23 0,05–2,48 | 1,22 0,36–2,07 0,14–2,30 | 2,48 0,66–4,31 0,18–4,79 | 38% 27% 35% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,25 2,39–6,11 1,90–6,60 | 4,29 2,55–6,03 2,08–6,50 | 8,54 4,94–12,15 3,98–13,10 | 43% 14% 44% |
| Total șuturi | 13,16 9,24–17,09 8,15–18,18 | 12,44 8,88–16,00 7,92–16,96 | 25,61 18,12–33,09 16,07–35,14 | 52% 40% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,65 5,70–11,59 4,87–12,42 | 8,41 5,73–11,09 4,99–11,83 | 17,05 11,43–22,68 9,86–24,24 | 47% 43% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,69 1,81–5,58 1,27–6,12 | 3,45 1,79–5,10 1,30–5,59 | 7,14 3,61–10,68 2,57–11,71 | 46% 15% 39% |
| Cornere | 5,26 3,05–7,48 2,48–8,05 | 4,89 2,89–6,89 2,35–7,42 | 10,15 5,94–14,37 4,83–15,47 | 48% 39% |
| Posesie % | 51,84 45,05–58,63 43,38–60,30 | 48,82 42,03–55,60 40,36–57,27 | — | 55% 41% |
| Pase | 422 355–489 336–507 | 390 324–457 306–474 | 812 678–946 643–981 | 60% 39% |
| Precizie pase % | 65,94 61,91–69,97 60,61–71,26 | 68,44 64,11–72,76 62,81–74,07 | — | 35% 60% |
| Faulturi | 11,50 8,66–14,34 7,91–15,09 | 11,90 8,96–14,85 8,21–15,60 | 23,40 17,62–29,18 16,12–30,69 | 43% 49% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,72 0,56–2,88 0,26–3,18 | 2,27 1,18–3,36 0,89–3,65 | 3,99 1,73–6,24 1,15–6,83 | 29% 20% 51% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,77 0,72–2,81 0,45–3,08 | 2,13 1,00–3,25 0,70–3,55 | 3,89 1,71–6,07 1,15–6,63 | 33% 21% 47% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,08 0,00–0,24 0,00–0,39 | 0,09 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,41 | 0,16 0,00–0,51 0,00–0,79 | 86% |
| Parade portar | 2,96 1,52–4,40 1,14–4,78 | 3,05 1,49–4,60 1,06–5,03 | 6,00 3,01–9,00 2,20–9,81 | 40% 17% 43% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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