Premier League·Etapa 9·
Premier League·Etapa 9·Statistici estimate
Goluri
46%
26%
28%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,461,082,53sigur0,49–2,420,22–1,930,71–4,36mai sigur0,24–2,680,00–2,160,23–4,84
Șuturi pe poartă
51%
14%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,543,938,47sigur2,68–6,402,18–5,674,86–12,07mai sigur2,19–6,891,72–6,143,91–13,03
Total șuturi
64%
29%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,3611,9926,35sigur10,43–18,288,43–15,5618,86–33,84mai sigur9,34–19,377,47–16,5216,81–35,89
Șuturi din careu
51%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,008,4217,42sigur6,05–11,945,74–11,1111,80–23,04mai sigur5,22–12,775,01–11,8410,23–24,61
Șuturi blocate
53%
14%
33%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,153,457,60sigur2,27–6,031,80–5,114,07–11,14mai sigur1,72–6,581,31–5,603,03–12,17
Cornere
54%
34%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,704,8310,53sigur3,48–7,912,83–6,836,32–14,74mai sigur2,91–8,482,30–7,375,21–15,85
Posesie %
62%
33%
gazdeoaspețipredicție52,9046,59sigur46,11–59,6939,81–53,38mai sigur44,44–61,3638,13–55,05
Pase
70%
30%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție450386836sigur383–517320–453702–970mai sigur365–535302–470667–1005
Precizie pase %
54%
41%
gazdeoaspețipredicție69,2768,03sigur65,24–73,3063,70–72,35mai sigur63,95–74,5962,39–73,66
Faulturi
47%
45%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,5912,4124,99sigur9,75–15,429,46–15,3519,21–30,77mai sigur8,99–16,188,71–16,1017,70–32,28
Ofsaiduri
21%
20%
60%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,312,293,60sigur0,15–2,471,20–3,391,34–5,85mai sigur0,00–2,770,91–3,670,75–6,44
Cartonașe galbene
29%
20%
51%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,742,304,05sigur0,69–2,791,17–3,431,87–6,22mai sigur0,43–3,060,88–3,721,31–6,78
Cartonașe roșii
87%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,070,080,14sigur0,00–0,230,00–0,260,00–0,49mai sigur0,00–0,380,00–0,400,00–0,78
Parade portar
35%
17%
48%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,562,975,53sigur1,12–4,001,41–4,522,53–8,52mai sigur0,74–4,380,99–4,951,72–9,33
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,46 0,49–2,42 0,24–2,68 | 1,08 0,22–1,93 0,00–2,16 | 2,53 0,71–4,36 0,23–4,84 | 46% 26% 28% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,54 2,68–6,40 2,19–6,89 | 3,93 2,18–5,67 1,72–6,14 | 8,47 4,86–12,07 3,91–13,03 | 51% 14% 35% |
| Total șuturi | 14,36 10,43–18,28 9,34–19,37 | 11,99 8,43–15,56 7,47–16,52 | 26,35 18,86–33,84 16,81–35,89 | 64% 29% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,00 6,05–11,94 5,22–12,77 | 8,42 5,74–11,11 5,01–11,84 | 17,42 11,80–23,04 10,23–24,61 | 51% 40% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,15 2,27–6,03 1,72–6,58 | 3,45 1,80–5,11 1,31–5,60 | 7,60 4,07–11,14 3,03–12,17 | 53% 14% 33% |
| Cornere | 5,70 3,48–7,91 2,91–8,48 | 4,83 2,83–6,83 2,30–7,37 | 10,53 6,32–14,74 5,21–15,85 | 54% 34% |
| Posesie % | 52,90 46,11–59,69 44,44–61,36 | 46,59 39,81–53,38 38,13–55,05 | — | 62% 33% |
| Pase | 450 383–517 365–535 | 386 320–453 302–470 | 836 702–970 667–1005 | 70% 30% |
| Precizie pase % | 69,27 65,24–73,30 63,95–74,59 | 68,03 63,70–72,35 62,39–73,66 | — | 54% 41% |
| Faulturi | 12,59 9,75–15,42 8,99–16,18 | 12,41 9,46–15,35 8,71–16,10 | 24,99 19,21–30,77 17,70–32,28 | 47% 45% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,31 0,15–2,47 0,00–2,77 | 2,29 1,20–3,39 0,91–3,67 | 3,60 1,34–5,85 0,75–6,44 | 21% 20% 60% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,74 0,69–2,79 0,43–3,06 | 2,30 1,17–3,43 0,88–3,72 | 4,05 1,87–6,22 1,31–6,78 | 29% 20% 51% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,07 0,00–0,23 0,00–0,38 | 0,08 0,00–0,26 0,00–0,40 | 0,14 0,00–0,49 0,00–0,78 | 87% |
| Parade portar | 2,56 1,12–4,00 0,74–4,38 | 2,97 1,41–4,52 0,99–4,95 | 5,53 2,53–8,52 1,72–9,33 | 35% 17% 48% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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