Premier League·Etapa 10·
Premier League·Etapa 10·Statistici estimate
Goluri
58%
22%
20%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,951,063,01sigur0,98–2,920,21–1,921,19–4,83mai sigur0,73–3,170,00–2,150,71–5,31
Șuturi pe poartă
71%
19%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,093,849,93sigur4,23–7,952,10–5,586,33–13,54mai sigur3,74–8,441,63–6,055,37–14,49
Total șuturi
83%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție16,3610,8927,24sigur12,43–20,287,32–14,4519,76–34,73mai sigur11,34–21,376,36–15,4117,71–36,78
Șuturi din careu
77%
16%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,107,3818,48sigur8,16–14,044,70–10,0612,86–24,10mai sigur7,33–14,873,96–10,8011,29–25,67
Șuturi blocate
54%
14%
32%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,483,688,16sigur2,59–6,362,03–5,344,62–11,70mai sigur2,05–6,901,54–5,833,59–12,73
Cornere
69%
20%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,103,9810,08sigur3,88–8,311,98–5,985,86–14,29mai sigur3,31–8,881,44–6,514,75–15,40
Posesie %
70%
26%
gazdeoaspețipredicție55,1545,25sigur48,36–61,9438,47–52,04mai sigur46,69–63,6136,80–53,71
Pase
80%
20%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție528426954sigur461–595359–492820–1088mai sigur443–613342–510785–1123
Precizie pase %
62%
33%
gazdeoaspețipredicție76,1273,31sigur72,09–80,1568,99–77,64mai sigur70,80–81,4467,68–78,95
Faulturi
44%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,8811,0521,93sigur8,04–13,728,10–13,9916,14–27,71mai sigur7,29–14,477,35–14,7414,64–29,21
Ofsaiduri
65%
16%
18%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,841,514,35sigur1,68–4,000,42–2,602,10–6,60mai sigur1,38–4,300,13–2,891,51–7,19
Cartonașe galbene
29%
20%
51%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,642,223,86sigur0,59–2,691,09–3,351,68–6,04mai sigur0,32–2,950,80–3,641,12–6,60
Cartonașe roșii
87%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,060,080,14sigur0,00–0,220,00–0,270,00–0,49mai sigur0,00–0,370,00–0,400,00–0,77
Parade portar
22%
14%
64%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,594,056,63sigur1,15–4,022,49–5,603,64–9,63mai sigur0,76–4,412,07–6,032,83–10,44
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,95 0,98–2,92 0,73–3,17 | 1,06 0,21–1,92 0,00–2,15 | 3,01 1,19–4,83 0,71–5,31 | 58% 22% 20% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 6,09 4,23–7,95 3,74–8,44 | 3,84 2,10–5,58 1,63–6,05 | 9,93 6,33–13,54 5,37–14,49 | 71% 19% |
| Total șuturi | 16,36 12,43–20,28 11,34–21,37 | 10,89 7,32–14,45 6,36–15,41 | 27,24 19,76–34,73 17,71–36,78 | 83% |
| Șuturi din careu | 11,10 8,16–14,04 7,33–14,87 | 7,38 4,70–10,06 3,96–10,80 | 18,48 12,86–24,10 11,29–25,67 | 77% 16% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,48 2,59–6,36 2,05–6,90 | 3,68 2,03–5,34 1,54–5,83 | 8,16 4,62–11,70 3,59–12,73 | 54% 14% 32% |
| Cornere | 6,10 3,88–8,31 3,31–8,88 | 3,98 1,98–5,98 1,44–6,51 | 10,08 5,86–14,29 4,75–15,40 | 69% 20% |
| Posesie % | 55,15 48,36–61,94 46,69–63,61 | 45,25 38,47–52,04 36,80–53,71 | — | 70% 26% |
| Pase | 528 461–595 443–613 | 426 359–492 342–510 | 954 820–1088 785–1123 | 80% 20% |
| Precizie pase % | 76,12 72,09–80,15 70,80–81,44 | 73,31 68,99–77,64 67,68–78,95 | — | 62% 33% |
| Faulturi | 10,88 8,04–13,72 7,29–14,47 | 11,05 8,10–13,99 7,35–14,74 | 21,93 16,14–27,71 14,64–29,21 | 44% 47% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,84 1,68–4,00 1,38–4,30 | 1,51 0,42–2,60 0,13–2,89 | 4,35 2,10–6,60 1,51–7,19 | 65% 16% 18% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,64 0,59–2,69 0,32–2,95 | 2,22 1,09–3,35 0,80–3,64 | 3,86 1,68–6,04 1,12–6,60 | 29% 20% 51% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,06 0,00–0,22 0,00–0,37 | 0,08 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,40 | 0,14 0,00–0,49 0,00–0,77 | 87% |
| Parade portar | 2,59 1,15–4,02 0,76–4,41 | 4,05 2,49–5,60 2,07–6,03 | 6,63 3,64–9,63 2,83–10,44 | 22% 14% 64% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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