Premier League·Etapa 11·
Premier League·Etapa 11·Statistici estimate
Goluri
42%
26%
32%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,461,252,71sigur0,50–2,430,39–2,100,89–4,53mai sigur0,25–2,680,16–2,330,41–5,01
Șuturi pe poartă
49%
13%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,684,228,90sigur2,82–6,542,48–5,965,30–12,51mai sigur2,33–7,032,01–6,434,34–13,46
Total șuturi
64%
29%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,4412,0726,51sigur10,52–18,378,51–15,6319,02–34,00mai sigur9,43–19,467,55–16,5916,97–36,05
Șuturi din careu
53%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,098,2517,34sigur6,15–12,035,57–10,9311,72–22,96mai sigur5,32–12,864,83–11,6710,15–24,53
Șuturi blocate
53%
14%
32%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,073,357,42sigur2,19–5,961,69–5,003,89–10,96mai sigur1,65–6,501,20–5,492,85–11,99
Cornere
46%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,425,2610,68sigur3,21–7,643,26–7,266,47–14,89mai sigur2,64–8,212,72–7,795,36–16,00
Posesie %
40%
55%
gazdeoaspețipredicție48,0851,38sigur41,29–54,8744,59–58,16mai sigur39,62–56,5442,92–59,83
Pase
50%
50%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție455455910sigur388–522389–522777–1044mai sigur370–541371–539741–1080
Precizie pase %
31%
64%
gazdeoaspețipredicție67,4170,71sigur63,38–71,4466,38–75,03mai sigur62,09–72,7365,07–76,34
Faulturi
41%
51%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,7311,3022,03sigur7,89–13,578,36–14,2516,25–27,82mai sigur7,14–14,327,61–15,0014,75–29,32
Ofsaiduri
19%
18%
63%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,332,513,85sigur0,17–2,491,42–3,601,59–6,10mai sigur0,00–2,801,13–3,891,00–6,69
Cartonașe galbene
34%
23%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,561,773,33sigur0,51–2,610,64–2,901,15–5,50mai sigur0,24–2,870,35–3,190,59–6,06
Cartonașe roșii
88%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,070,070,13sigur0,00–0,230,00–0,250,00–0,48mai sigur0,00–0,380,00–0,390,00–0,76
Parade portar
34%
17%
50%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,683,175,84sigur1,24–4,111,61–4,722,85–8,84mai sigur0,85–4,501,18–5,152,04–9,65
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,46 0,50–2,43 0,25–2,68 | 1,25 0,39–2,10 0,16–2,33 | 2,71 0,89–4,53 0,41–5,01 | 42% 26% 32% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,68 2,82–6,54 2,33–7,03 | 4,22 2,48–5,96 2,01–6,43 | 8,90 5,30–12,51 4,34–13,46 | 49% 13% 37% |
| Total șuturi | 14,44 10,52–18,37 9,43–19,46 | 12,07 8,51–15,63 7,55–16,59 | 26,51 19,02–34,00 16,97–36,05 | 64% 29% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,09 6,15–12,03 5,32–12,86 | 8,25 5,57–10,93 4,83–11,67 | 17,34 11,72–22,96 10,15–24,53 | 53% 37% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,07 2,19–5,96 1,65–6,50 | 3,35 1,69–5,00 1,20–5,49 | 7,42 3,89–10,96 2,85–11,99 | 53% 14% 32% |
| Cornere | 5,42 3,21–7,64 2,64–8,21 | 5,26 3,26–7,26 2,72–7,79 | 10,68 6,47–14,89 5,36–16,00 | 46% 42% |
| Posesie % | 48,08 41,29–54,87 39,62–56,54 | 51,38 44,59–58,16 42,92–59,83 | — | 40% 55% |
| Pase | 455 388–522 370–541 | 455 389–522 371–539 | 910 777–1044 741–1080 | 50% 50% |
| Precizie pase % | 67,41 63,38–71,44 62,09–72,73 | 70,71 66,38–75,03 65,07–76,34 | — | 31% 64% |
| Faulturi | 10,73 7,89–13,57 7,14–14,32 | 11,30 8,36–14,25 7,61–15,00 | 22,03 16,25–27,82 14,75–29,32 | 41% 51% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,33 0,17–2,49 0,00–2,80 | 2,51 1,42–3,60 1,13–3,89 | 3,85 1,59–6,10 1,00–6,69 | 19% 18% 63% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,56 0,51–2,61 0,24–2,87 | 1,77 0,64–2,90 0,35–3,19 | 3,33 1,15–5,50 0,59–6,06 | 34% 23% 43% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,07 0,00–0,23 0,00–0,38 | 0,07 0,00–0,25 0,00–0,39 | 0,13 0,00–0,48 0,00–0,76 | 88% |
| Parade portar | 2,68 1,24–4,11 0,85–4,50 | 3,17 1,61–4,72 1,18–5,15 | 5,84 2,85–8,84 2,04–9,65 | 34% 17% 50% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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